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1h US economic confidence hits lowest since Nov 2023 amid trade, Iran tensions
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
1h US economic confidence hits lowest since Nov 2023 amid trade, Iran tensions
▲ Bitcoin price on april 24
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 1h)
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price on april 24
2 articles
Developing
100%
▲100¢
1h ✓ 73h White House hints at potential Bitcoin reserve purchase, market remains steady
YES ▲1¢
Richest person on december 31, 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
92%
▲1¢
2h Musk’s Tesla compensation weakens Ellison’s chances of topping billionaires index
Likely NO
Trump's Iranian demands
1 article
Developing
3%
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 58% FLAT
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
just now Rubio accuses Iran of using Strait of Hormuz as “economic nuclear weapon”
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in 2026 4% FLAT
7m Ethereum faces bearish outlook as $2.4K resistance holds firm
Likely NO
Trump Iran demands (april)
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april 3% FLAT
25m EU considers sanctions on Israeli entities over Russian grain imports
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO
1 article
Developing
19%
▼0¢
✓ 229m Rubio rejects Iran’s tolling demands in Strait of Hormuz, prolonging standoff
Likely NO
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
30m Iran faces crude oil storage crunch, potential forced output cuts looming
1h Bank of Japan likely to maintain rates amid Iran conflict concerns
Likely NO
Bitcoin price in april
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
31m Novogratz: US retail Bitcoin demand resurges with ETF inflows, Strategy buys
✓ 22h SEC shifts focus to regulatory clarity for Bitcoin, easing market fears
Likely NO
Starmer out prediction markets
1 article
Developing
69%
▼0¢
32m Labour MPs soften stance on welfare cuts, boosting Starmer’s leadership stability
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
39m Israel threatens to “burn” Lebanon as Hezbollah rejects peace talks
1h Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon kill four, escalating conflict with Hezbollah
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
Developing
19%
▼0¢
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 58% FLAT
44m UN Security Council deadlocked on Strait of Hormuz reopening
✓ 22h Iran blames US for Gulf navigation disruptions amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Largest company predictions for june
1 article
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap 92% FLAT
⚡ Largest company by market cap in april 2026 100% FLAT
46m Nvidia hits $5.2T market cap, poised to be largest by April 30
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu leaving office 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu's tenure 6% FLAT
47m Bennett and Lapid form alliance to challenge Netanyahu’s leadership
2h Israeli opposition forms ‘Together’ alliance to challenge Netanyahu
Likely NO
Iranian demands Trump
1 article
Developing
19%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's Iranian demands 3% FLAT
53m US warns firms servicing Iran’s airlines of potential sanctions
Likely NO
Silver price predictions by end of june
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
54m Goldman warns of petrochemical shock, crude oil market eyes supply disruptions
Likely NO
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
✓ 257m Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz, hints at US talks by April 30
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
59m Iran peace deal prospects dim as US-Israel conflict continues
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT
1h US and Iran clash at UN amid nuclear deal deadline tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
✓ 21h US blockade threatens Iran oil supply, potential crude price spike by June
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
3 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
1h Trump doubts Iran’s nuclear intentions, dims hope for June US-Iran talks
✓ 22h Russia hosts Iran’s FM in St. Petersburg for US-Iran talks discussion
✓ 63h US warns against Iranian airline ties, sanctions risk looms
Likely YES
US escorts in hormuz
2 articles
Developing
2%
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ Iran military action 100% FLAT
3m Iran accuses US of piracy over naval blockade amid Hormuz tensions
38m US deploys three aircraft carriers to Middle East amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran diplomatic meetings 58% FLAT
✓ 21h Trump skeptical of Iran’s Strait of Hormuz proposal: WSJ
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in april 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 58% FLAT
1h Trump doubts Iran proposal, Strait of Hormuz blockade remains, oil prices steady
Likely NO
GPT-5.5 release dates
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ GPT-5.5 release timing 100% FLAT
⚡ GPT-5.5 release dates 100% FLAT
1h OpenAI releases GPT-5.5, outperforming GPT-5.4 for paid ChatGPT users
Likely NO
Iran military action
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
1h Iran condemns US seizure of oil tankers, maritime tensions rise
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
3 articles
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
2h Trump administration refunds $885M to firms abandoning offshore wind projects
2h WTI crude oil surges 44% amid Iran war, traders skeptical of record highs
2h US and Iran near deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz without restrictions
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Budget airlines seek $2.5B from Trump admin amid rising fuel costs due to US-Iran tensions
3h Iran-US tensions fail to boost crude oil all-time high odds by April 30
Likely NO
Trump insult prediction market
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's public insults 100% FLAT
2h Trump criticizes Kimmel after White House Correspondents’ Dinner parody
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% FLAT
2h US spot Bitcoin ETFs acquire 18,991 BTC in five days, outpacing new supply
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal
1 article
· 2h ago
59%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 57% FLAT
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 57% FLAT
✓ 42h US accuses Iran of holding global economy hostage with Hormuz blockade at UN
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
1m Hezbollah adopts Ukraine-style drones, complicating Israel ceasefire talks
2h Trump extends Israel-Lebanon ceasefire by three weeks
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 32h Western Union to launch Solana-based stablecoin next month
Likely NO
Anthropic IPO market cap predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
2h Google employees urge CEO to block Pentagon AI use in open letter
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran diplomatic meetings 60% FLAT
2h Pakistan urges diplomacy at UN amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
3h Trump ends Pakistan talks, US-Iran ceasefire collapse seen as inevitable
Likely NO
US escorts through hormuz
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 58% FLAT
3h Iranian tankers evade US blockade, head to Asia with 4M barrels of oil
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran 6% FLAT
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% FLAT
3h Iran protests, economic woes fuel speculation on regime stability