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✓ 24h Rubio rejects Iran’s tolling demands in Strait of Hormuz, prolonging standoff
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 24h Rubio rejects Iran’s tolling demands in Strait of Hormuz, prolonging standoff
▼ US withdrawal from NATO
14% (was 19%, ▼5¢ in 4h)
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼1¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 0% FLAT
37m Brent crude tops $108 as US-Iran tensions escalate
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
3 articles
Developing
2%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 1% FLAT
39m UK warns Iran against economic disruption amid US-Israeli tensions
✓ 32h US rejects Iran proposal, nuclear deal by April 30 unlikely
✓ 33h Trump rejects Iran proposal, dims chance of US-Iran meeting by June 2026
NO ▲1¢
Iran successfully targets ships by april 30
1 article
Developing
79%
▼1¢
51m Tehran condemns US seizure of Iranian oil tankers as piracy
YES ▲1¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
Developing
2%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
✓ 655m Trump unlikely to accept Iran proposal, casting doubt on Hormuz blockade talks
✓ 355m Iran strengthens Russia ties, complicating US-Iran nuclear deal talks
NO ▲1¢
Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation
1 article
· 2h ago
91%
▼1¢
2h GOP senators doubt Hegseth’s leadership amid Pentagon turmoil
NO ▲1¢
Crude oil price predictions for june 2023
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼1¢
✓ 22h Brent crude nears $110 as US-Iran talks stall
NO ▲1¢
Best Chinese AI company by april 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
83%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump China visit 0% FLAT
3h US accuses Chinese firms of AI theft, impacting Alibaba AI market expectations
YES ▲1¢
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% FLAT
3h Iran fears inevitable protests amid economic crisis: Iran Intl
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
3 articles
Developing
96%
▼0¢
1m Rep. Begich revives Bitcoin reserve bill as American Reserves Modernization Act
2h First LNG shipment through Hormuz signals possible Middle East de-escalation
3h Bitcoin contract YES amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 25% FLAT
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium 1% FLAT
9m US and Iran clash at UN over Tehran’s nuclear non-proliferation role
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
44m Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin to hit $125K by December amid war spending, deregulation
1h BlackRock’s Larry Fink predicts Bitcoin could hit $500K–$700K
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
45m Israel-Hezbollah conflict persists despite ceasefire market certainty
3h Hezbollah adopts Ukraine-style drones, complicating Israel ceasefire talks
Likely NO
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
4 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
✓ 448m Bank of Japan likely to hold rates amid inflation concerns
2h Japan’s 40-year bond yield falls amid BOJ rate cut speculation
✓ 32h Japan signals potential forex intervention amid yen weakness and oil price impact
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts in 2026
1 article
Developing
39%
▼0¢
⚡ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 1% FLAT
53m Kevin Warsh Fed chair nomination faces Senate resistance, mid-May resolution likely
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap
1 article
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions for april 2026 100% FLAT
⚡ Largest company predictions for june 92% FLAT
1h Nvidia surpasses Japan in MSCI ACWI weight, traders unfazed by market odds
Likely NO
Ethereum price on april 25
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Bitmine becomes largest ETH staker with 3.8M ETH, raising centralization concerns
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h 1,139 Bitcoin worth $87.9M transferred to Kraken, hinting at potential sell-off
Likely NO
GPT-5.5 release dates
1 article
Developing
96%
▼0¢
⚡ GPT-5.5 release timing 100% FLAT
✓ 61h OpenAI misses targets, but GPT-5.5 release timeline remains firm
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Bitcoin reaches new all-time high in 2026 amid IBIT options surge
Likely NO
ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Kazimir hints at possible ECB rate hike amid Iran conflict pressures
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO timing
1 article
Developing
92%
▼0¢
1h Tech stocks hit bear territory as US-Iran tensions rise, Nvidia remains strong
Likely NO
Crypto hack predictions for 2023
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Lazarus Group linked to 10 crypto protocol exploits in past week
Likely NO
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 16% FLAT
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
2h US sends third aircraft carrier as Iran talks collapse, diplomatic freeze looms
Likely NO
Ethereum price prediction for 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
2h GSR’s Crypto Core3 ETF debuts on NASDAQ with Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana
Likely NO
Claude 4.7 release dates
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Anthropic’s Claude AI deletes PocketOS production database
Likely NO
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
✓ 22h First LNG shipment exits Strait of Hormuz since 2026 Iran war began
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
2h Israel and Lebanon pursue peace talks, Hezbollah excluded
Likely NO
2026 midterms balance of power
1 article
· 3h ago
0%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Schumer pushes for sixth War Powers vote to end Iran war this week
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
3h Trump team reviews Iranian peace proposal amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
3 articles
· 3h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1% FLAT
3h US-Iran nuclear deal talks stall, odds plummet
3h Iran and US blockades of Hormuz fail to spike oil price expectations
3h Iran blockade of Strait of Hormuz disrupts global oil transit routes
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 23h USS Rafael Peralta intercepts tanker bound for Iran amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Stablecoins depeg before 2027
1 article
· 3h ago
93%
▼0¢
3h Morgan Stanley offers stablecoin issuers access to $10M money market fund
Likely NO
Trump Iran demands (april)
2 articles
· 3h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
3h Iran demands US-Israeli guarantees for Gulf security before peace talks
3h EU considers sanctions on Israeli entities over Russian grain imports
Likely NO
Trump's Iranian demands
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 58% FLAT
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
✓ 33h Rubio accuses Iran of using Strait of Hormuz as “economic nuclear weapon”
Likely NO
US escorts in hormuz
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ Iran military action 100% FLAT
3h Iran accuses US of piracy over naval blockade amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in 2026 4% FLAT
3h Ethereum faces bearish outlook as $2.4K resistance holds firm