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19m US-Israel conflict escalates, gold targets $8K, Bitcoin dips to $60K
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
19m US-Israel conflict escalates, gold targets $8K, Bitcoin dips to $60K
▲ Gold price predictions by end of june
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 19m)
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions april 20-26: 0% FLAT
YES ▲100¢
Gold price predictions by end of june
1 article
Developing
100%
▲100¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions april 20-26 0% FLAT
19m 
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price predictions april 20-26
1 article
Developing
100%
▲100¢
✓ 238m White House hints at potential US Bitcoin reserve expansion policy shift
NO ▲100¢
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼100¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 100% FLAT
2h Iran conflict disrupts oil markets, boosts electric vehicle sales in March
NO ▲97¢
Richest person on december 31, 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼97¢
2h Oil prices jump 3% as US-Iran tensions keep Strait of Hormuz closed
NO ▲49¢
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
Developing
1%
▼49¢
1h US warns firms aiding Iranian airlines amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
NO ▲48¢
US withdrawal from NATO
1 article
Developing
2%
▼48¢
1h NATO may end annual summits as tensions with Trump escalate
NO ▲47¢
Reza pahlavi entering Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼47¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 51% FLAT
2h US-Israel strikes on Iran boost regime fall market amid unrest
NO ▲47¢
WTI crude oil price predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼47¢
2h First LNG tanker clears Hormuz, easing crude supply fears
NO ▲47¢
Gulf state military action against Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼47¢
✓ 62h Saudi Aramco extends LPG delivery suspension after Iranian attacks
NO ▲37¢
Iran nuclear agreement
1 article
Developing
1%
▼37¢
⚡ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april 50% FLAT
1h IDF targets 1,000 Hezbollah sites as Trump criticizes Iran
NO ▲25¢
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
1 article
Developing
1%
▼25¢
1h Strait of Hormuz ship transits drop to 35 amid US-Iran tensions
NO ▲11¢
Fed decision in june 2026
1 article
Developing
39%
▼11¢
⚡ Fed rate cuts in 2026 50% FLAT
1h US job growth slows, boosting Fed rate cut bets for June 2026
NO ▲10¢
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
2%
▼10¢
⚡ US crude oil reserves by may 1 12% FLAT
1h Oil prices surge as Strait of Hormuz blockade intensifies US-Iran conflict
1h Iran ceasefire eases oil supply fears, Strait of Hormuz reopens
NO ▲2¢
Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼2¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 51% FLAT
2h Trump set to reject Iran’s offer to reopen Strait of Hormuz without nuclear deal
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Crypto FDV predictions after launch 96% FLAT
41m Galaxy Digital reports $216M Q1 loss amid crypto price slump
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
1%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 16% FLAT
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium 1% FLAT
42m China prioritizes energy security over US-Iran diplomacy amid conflict
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price in april
1 article
Developing
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 4% FLAT
1h Bitcoin drops 3% to $76.3K, ending 4-week rally amid oil price surge
NO ▲1¢
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
Developing
1%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 50% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
1h Germany’s Merz criticizes Iran for humiliating US amid stalled talks
NO ▲1¢
S&P 500 movement on april 16, 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
0%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price hit in april 1% FLAT
2h Central banks’ hawkish stance rattles S&P 500, Bitcoin holds steady
2h OpenAI misses targets, triggering semiconductor and AI stock sell-off
NO ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap in june
1 article
· 2h ago
92%
▼1¢
⚡ Largest company by june 92% FLAT
2h Nvidia stock dips 2.8% as OpenAI misses targets, market cap odds YES
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
3 articles
Developing
20%
▼0¢
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 2% FLAT
3m Iran asserts full control over Strait of Hormuz, raising oil flow concerns
1h Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing tensions
✓ 22h Iran to enforce protocols for Strait of Hormuz passage post-war
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
6 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
7m UAE to exit OPEC on May 1, crude oil could hit $90 by June
32m Trump calls for US to open Strait of Hormuz amid Iran ‘collapse’ claim
✓ 1840m Trump claims Iran in “state of collapse” amid ongoing blockades
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 15% FLAT
11m Germany’s Merz criticizes US handling of Iran talks, fueling European frustration
21m Tehran: US VP Vance lacked authority in Iran talks, complicating peace deal
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
13m IDF demolishes Bint Jbeil Stadium, Hezbollah symbol in southern Lebanon
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
3 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action 100% FLAT
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
✓ 513m Iran rejects ceasefire terms, maintains war status amid military tensions
58m Trump rejects Iran offer, Tehran claims resilience amid US pressure
2h Iran internet blackout hits two-month mark amid regime instability concerns
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
18m Beirut’s Hezbollah disarmament promise dismissed as rhetoric by expert
2h Israeli minister suggests reduced military presence if Hezbollah disarms
2h Hezbollah’s influence complicates Israel-Lebanon talks despite 100% odds
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Crypto hack predictions for 2023 100% FLAT
26m $290M Kelp DAO hack raises AI threat concerns, Bitcoin may dip to $60K in April
39m $266M in Bitcoin long positions liquidated as price falls below $76,000
Likely NO
Iran's uranium stockpile surrender
1 article
Developing
22%
▼0¢
28m IDF orders evacuations in southern Lebanon amid Hezbollah ceasefire tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
38m World Bank forecasts Brent crude at $95-$115 amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
US crude oil reserves by may 1
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april 1% FLAT
✓ 246m US Energy Secretary: Hormuz reopening possible without full demining
Likely NO
USD.AI FDV after launch
1 article
Developing
92%
▼0¢
50m Nvidia hits record highs amid Middle East de-escalation, eyes top market cap spot
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
1h Trump’s control over Israeli military actions pushes Lebanon ceasefire endorsement
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 4% FLAT
1h Gulf state leaders meet in Saudi Arabia to address Iranian drone attacks
Likely NO
Russia enter rai-oleksandrivka
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia entry into kupiansk-vuzlovyi 100% FLAT
⚡ Russia's entry into dovha balka 100% FLAT
1h Ukraine to produce 50,000 ground robots in 2026 war effort against Russia
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran coup attempt 48% FLAT
⚡ Reza pahlavi enter Iran 99% FLAT
1h Iranian embassies recruit for ‘sacrificing life’ campaign amid US-Israel conflict