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✓ 34h USS Rafael Peralta reinforces US blockade on Iranian ports in Hormuz Strait
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 34h USS Rafael Peralta reinforces US blockade on Iranian ports in Hormuz Strait
▼ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
51% (was 58%, ▼7¢ in 4h)
YES ▲5¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
· 8h ago
91%
▲5¢
8h US blockade traps 20+ vessels at Chah Bahar, Iran maritime action likely
YES ▲4¢
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
· 2h ago
15%
▲4¢
2h Bitcoin’s April price drop linked to leverage liquidations: CryptoQuant
YES ▲4¢
Bitcoin price predictions in april
1 article
· 2h ago
15%
▲4¢
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 11% FLAT
2h White House director predicts crypto surge post-CLARITY Act passage
YES ▲3¢
Iran successfully targets ships by april 30
2 articles
· 4h ago
91%
▲3¢
4h Panama Canal sees transit growth amid Middle East tensions, Iran threat persists
6h Russian missile strike spills 6,000 tons of sunflower oil into Black Sea
NO ▲3¢
Iran coup attempt
1 article
· 6h ago
16%
▼3¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 18% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 60% FLAT
✓ 26h Iran proposes military control of Strait of Hormuz, raising tensions
YES ▲2¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
· 5h ago
19%
▲2¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 16% FLAT
⚡ Putin meeting with Iranian officials 100% FLAT
5h Iran blames US for failed peace talks during Putin visit
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
3 articles
· 4h ago
22%
▼1¢
4h Wheat futures hit 2-year high as Iran war disrupts fertilizer supply
5h Iran achieves atomic power status amid US-Israeli tensions
7h US natural gas exports maxed out as Strait of Hormuz closure impacts supply
NO ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 5h ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Gulf state military action against Iran 2% FLAT
5h Israel deploys Iron Dome, troops to UAE amid Iran conflict
YES ▲1¢
Fed decision in april 2026
1 article
· 7h ago
87%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed decision in july 2026 86% FLAT
7h Middle East tensions keep central banks cautious on rate cuts amid inflation
NO ▲1¢
Starmer out timing predictions
1 article
· 7h ago
66%
▼1¢
✓ 27h UK MPs reject probe into PM Starmer over Mandelson appointment
YES ▲1¢
Fed rate cuts in 2026
1 article
· 7h ago
44%
▲1¢
7h Fed likely to hold rates steady despite leadership change, oil prices rise
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns by may 31
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
40m Trump calls for Jimmy Kimmel’s firing; FCC reviews Disney licenses
Likely NO
Fed decision april and june
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decisions in june and july 4% FLAT
50m Australia inflation amid Iran war oil shock, rate hike likely
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting by date
1 article
Developing
30%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's visits to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
✓ 41h Trump plans extended Iran blockade, imposes new sanctions
Likely NO
Gangwon province governor election
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
1h Kim Jong UN endorses troops’ suicide to avoid capture, backs Russia in Ukraine war
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's blockade of hormuz announcement 50% FLAT
1h Panama Canal fees hit $4M as Hormuz blockade reroutes shipping traffic
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire extensions
1 article
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
1h Hezbollah claims drone attacks on Israeli forces, ceasefire at risk
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
1h US silence on Iran school strike raises strategic questions
2h Iran launches airstrikes on US bases in Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h White House envoy to meet Iranian officials in Islamabad amid tensions
2h Iran skips US talks, opts for Pakistan mediation amid ceasefire uncertainty
✓ 23h Trump claims Iran seeks end to naval blockade amid diplomatic hints
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
2h Ukrainian drone attack ignites Tuapse oil refinery, escalating energy strikes
4h Ukraine drone strikes intensify, complicating peace outlook
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium 0% FLAT
✓ 32h Trump orders extended Iran blockade, escalating diplomatic tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil prices by end of june
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
4h Middle East tensions push WTI crude price expectations to $160 by April 2026
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 3% FLAT
✓ 34h Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz post-war, US rejects conditions
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 4h ago
4%
▼0¢
4h BeYachad alliance opposes Netanyahu, impacts Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire prospects
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
3 articles
· 4h ago
30%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 1% FLAT
4h Vance questions Pentagon war narrative, highlights US weapons stockpile concerns
6h Iran hardliners clash over US nuclear talks as deal hopes fade
8h US intelligence assesses Iran’s potential response to Trump victory claim
Likely NO
US crude oil reserves by may 1
1 article
· 4h ago
0%
▼0¢
4h Sweden warns of jet fuel shortage amid Middle East conflict concerns
Likely NO
Ethereum price in 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% FLAT
✓ 24h Bitcoin ETF outflows hit $263M, ending nine-day inflow streak before FOMC meeting
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
2 articles
· 5h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions april 20-26 100% FLAT
5h Robinhood Q1 crypto revenue falls 47% amid global retail activity decline
✓ 27h Strategy buys 3,273 Bitcoin for $255M amid Strait of Hormuz crisis
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
1 article
· 6h ago
3%
▼0¢
6h Bitmine amasses $13.3B Ethereum treasury, aims for 5% supply control
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
2 articles
· 6h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
✓ 26h IDF strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon, ceasefire credibility strained
7h Contractor linked to Israeli Defense Ministry killed in Lebanon
Likely NO
China annual GDP growth 2026
1 article
· 6h ago
0%
▼0¢
6h China property prices hit 20-year low, impacting GDP growth forecasts
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions in april
1 article
· 6h ago
92%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in june 92% FLAT
✓ 36h Tech selloff raises AI concerns, Nvidia market cap odds dip
Likely NO
Iran military action against countries
1 article
· 7h ago
100%
▼0¢
7h Hezbollah upgrades drones with fiber-optic tech, impacting Israel ceasefire outlook
Likely NO
Putin meeting with Iranian officials
1 article
· 7h ago
4%
▼0¢
7h Putin meets Iranian officials, confirming diplomatic ties without military shift
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
1 article
· 7h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
✓ 37h Trump considers Iranian offer to reopen Strait of Hormuz, easing oil tensions
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
2 articles
· 7h ago
8%
▼0¢
7h Iran internet blackout hits 60 days, deepens economic disruption
8h Tehran-Moscow flights resume, signaling de-escalation amid Iran ceasefire
Likely NO
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
· 8h ago
100%
▼0¢
8h Iran uranium enrichment standoff persists as April 30 deadline looms