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✓ 35h USS Rafael Peralta reinforces US blockade on Iranian ports in Hormuz Strait
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 35h USS Rafael Peralta reinforces US blockade on Iranian ports in Hormuz Strait
▼ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
51% (was 58%, ▼7¢ in 5h)
YES ▲4¢
Ethereum price in 2026
2 articles
Developing
18%
▲4¢
59m Bitmine buys 45,000 ETH for $95.3M, holding 4.1% of total supply
✓ 26h Bitcoin ETF outflows hit $263M, ending nine-day inflow streak before FOMC meeting
YES ▲4¢
Iran successfully targets ships by april 30
2 articles
· 5h ago
92%
▲4¢
5h Panama Canal sees transit growth amid Middle East tensions, Iran threat persists
8h Russian missile strike spills 6,000 tons of sunflower oil into Black Sea
NO ▲3¢
Iran coup attempt
1 article
· 7h ago
16%
▼3¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 18% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 60% FLAT
✓ 27h Iran proposes military control of Strait of Hormuz, raising tensions
NO ▲2¢
Bitcoin price predictions in april
2 articles
Developing
18%
▼2¢
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 16% FLAT
31m Bitcoin hits $77,000 as Fed decision looms, Trump eyes Hormuz blockade
3h White House director predicts crypto surge post-CLARITY Act passage
YES ▲2¢
Zelenskyy and putin meeting locations
1 article
Developing
17%
▲2¢
34m James Comey indicted again over Instagram post allegedly threatening Trump
YES ▲2¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
· 6h ago
19%
▲2¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 16% FLAT
⚡ Putin meeting with Iranian officials 100% FLAT
6h Iran blames US for failed peace talks during Putin visit
NO ▲1¢
Gangwon province governor election
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼1¢
2h Kim Jong UN endorses troops’ suicide to avoid capture, backs Russia in Ukraine war
NO ▲1¢
Fall of the Iranian regime
2 articles
· 3h ago
3%
▼1¢
3h US silence on Iran school strike raises strategic questions
4h Iran launches airstrikes on US bases in Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
2 articles
· 5h ago
22%
▼1¢
5h Wheat futures hit 2-year high as Iran war disrupts fertilizer supply
6h Iran achieves atomic power status amid US-Israeli tensions
NO ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 7h ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Gulf state military action against Iran 2% FLAT
7h Israel deploys Iron Dome, troops to UAE amid Iran conflict
YES ▲1¢
Fed decision in april 2026
1 article
· 8h ago
87%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed decision in july 2026 86% FLAT
8h Middle East tensions keep central banks cautious on rate cuts amid inflation
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 3% FLAT
3m US blockade halts Iranian sea trade, Strait of Hormuz traffic stalls
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire extensions
2 articles
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
6m Hesder Yeshiva students mobilize for defense amid Hezbollah tensions
2h Hezbollah claims drone attacks on Israeli forces, ceasefire at risk
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
6m Russian strikes kill 21 in Ukraine on Chernobyl anniversary
3h Ukrainian drone attack ignites Tuapse oil refinery, escalating energy strikes
5h Ukraine drone strikes intensify, complicating peace outlook
Likely NO
Military action against Iran by april 30
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
22m GCC summit in Saudi Arabia focuses on Iranian missile threat
27m Pentagon may downplay US missile shortage severity, impacting Iran conflict bets
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
Developing
18%
▼0¢
25m $292M liquidated in crypto market amid US-Iran tensions
3h Bitcoin’s April price drop linked to leverage liquidations: CryptoQuant
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
29m Lebanon PM condemns Israel for ‘war crimes’ after attack kills 3 rescue workers
5h BeYachad alliance opposes Netanyahu, impacts Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire prospects
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
38m HRW accuses Israel of war crimes over Golan Heights settlements
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
44m Iranian escalation fears coincide with US-Iran ceasefire odds collapse
Likely NO
Starmer out
1 article
Developing
67%
▼0¢
1h UK parliament votes against inquiry into PM Starmer over Mandelson scandal
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns by may 31
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
1h Trump calls for Jimmy Kimmel’s firing; FCC reviews Disney licenses
Likely NO
Fed decision april and june
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decisions in june and july 4% FLAT
2h Australia inflation amid Iran war oil shock, rate hike likely
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting by date
1 article
· 2h ago
30%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's visits to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
✓ 52h Trump plans extended Iran blockade, imposes new sanctions
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
· 2h ago
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's blockade of hormuz announcement 50% FLAT
2h Panama Canal fees hit $4M as Hormuz blockade reroutes shipping traffic
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
3 articles
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
3h White House envoy to meet Iranian officials in Islamabad amid tensions
✓ 23h Iran skips US talks, opts for Pakistan mediation amid ceasefire uncertainty
✓ 24h Trump claims Iran seeks end to naval blockade amid diplomatic hints
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 3h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium 0% FLAT
✓ 33h Trump orders extended Iran blockade, escalating diplomatic tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil prices by end of june
1 article
· 5h ago
3%
▼0¢
5h Middle East tensions push WTI crude price expectations to $160 by April 2026
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 5h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 3% FLAT
✓ 35h Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz post-war, US rejects conditions
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
· 5h ago
30%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 1% FLAT
5h Vance questions Pentagon war narrative, highlights US weapons stockpile concerns
8h Iran hardliners clash over US nuclear talks as deal hopes fade
Likely NO
US crude oil reserves by may 1
1 article
· 5h ago
0%
▼0¢
5h Sweden warns of jet fuel shortage amid Middle East conflict concerns
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
1 article
· 6h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions april 20-26 100% FLAT
6h Robinhood Q1 crypto revenue falls 47% amid global retail activity decline
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
1 article
· 7h ago
3%
▼0¢
7h Bitmine amasses $13.3B Ethereum treasury, aims for 5% supply control
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 7h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
✓ 27h IDF strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon, ceasefire credibility strained
Likely NO
China annual GDP growth 2026
1 article
· 7h ago
0%
▼0¢
7h China property prices hit 20-year low, impacting GDP growth forecasts
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions in april
1 article
· 8h ago
92%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in june 92% FLAT
✓ 38h Tech selloff raises AI concerns, Nvidia market cap odds dip