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3h Bitcoin exchange netflows surge by 9,905 BTC, largest inflow in 30 days
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
3h Bitcoin exchange netflows surge by 9,905 BTC, largest inflow in 30 days
▲ Bitcoin price predictions in april
21% (was 13%, ▲8¢ in 3h)
⚡ Bitcoin price targets: 14% FLAT
YES ▲8¢
Bitcoin price predictions in april
2 articles
· 3h ago
21%
▲8¢
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 14% FLAT
3h 4h Bitcoin transaction volume surpasses Visa, Mastercard in 2025
NO ▲5¢
Trump visit China
1 article
Developing
60%
▼5¢
⚡ Trump's visits to China 0% FLAT
1h Taiwan tops Beijing agenda for Trump-Xi summit on May 14-15
YES ▲1¢
James comey arrest predictions
1 article
Developing
9%
▲1¢
29m Justice Department indicts former FBI Director Comey over threats to Trump
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price targets
4 articles
Developing
21%
▼1¢
✓ 254m Bitcoin spot volumes hit 2-year low amid US-Iran tensions
1h 75% of institutions see Bitcoin as undervalued, potential buying interest grows
2h Bitcoin futures funding rates hit one-year low as price nears record
NO ▲1¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair
2 articles
· 2h ago
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Fed chair confirmation 92% FLAT
2h Kevin Warsh Fed chair nomination heads to Senate Banking Committee vote
✓ 43h Jerome Powell likely chairs final FOMC meeting, Kevin Warsh to succeed
NO ▲1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
30%
▼1¢
2h Trump orders extended Hormuz blockade, escalating US-Iran tensions
NO ▲1¢
Fed rate decisions
1 article
· 4h ago
4%
▼1¢
4h US Treasury yields climb as Fed meeting nears amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Solana price predictions in april
1 article
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
5m Circle mints $500M USDC on Solana amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Zelensky praises Ukrainian drone strikes deep in Russia, ceasefire odds unchanged
Likely NO
Iran uranium stockpile surrender
3 articles
Developing
30%
▼0¢
⚡ US x Iran ceasefire extensions 0% FLAT
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
1h Trump’s hardline Iran stance impacts Polymarket contracts, peace deal odds drop
4h Trump cancels delegations, rejects Iran proposal amid uranium talks limbo
4h Iran weighs Trump’s negotiation proposal, ceasefire unlikely by April 30
Likely YES
Bitcoin price predictions by 2026
2 articles
Developing
5%
3m Czech National Bank eyes 1% Bitcoin reserve allocation for improved returns
10m Bitcoin holds steady at $75K-$76K amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
4 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 0% FLAT
✓ 29m UN reports Iran executes 21, arrests 4,000 amid Israel conflict crackdown
12m Iran’s rial hits record low amid US-Israel ceasefire, oil prices expected to rise
1h Tehran’s Imam Khomeini Airport reopens after 57-day suspension
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
1 article
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
✓ 218m Iran Strait closure raises market tensions, Bitcoin faces potential volatility
Likely NO
Crude oil price by end of june
2 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
22m UAE oil stocks plummet 66% to record lows amid US-Iran conflict
2h Brent crude oil hits $115 amid Iran-Israel conflict, highest since 2022
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire extensions 100% FLAT
43m Hezbollah’s Qassem rejects talks with Israel, vows response to aggression
3h Israeli airstrikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon test ceasefire stability
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire extensions 100% FLAT
46m Trump extends Israel-Lebanon ceasefire as Hezbollah launches rockets
1h Hezbollah drone attack dims hopes for long-term Israel ceasefire
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US x Iran ceasefire extensions 0% FLAT
1h Iran asserts defense rights, casting doubt on US-Iran ceasefire stability
Likely NO
Which party will win the house in 2026?
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h DOJ cuts voting rights staff, shifts focus to voter fraud investigations
Likely NO
Military action against Iran by april 30
3 articles
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire extensions 100% FLAT
1h New IRA bombing raises fears of Iran, Hezbollah militant ties in Northern Ireland
2h Google-Pentagon AI deal boosts confidence in Gemini model quality
3h US base damage in Gulf highlights UK-Iran strike contract on Polymarket
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
3 articles
· 2h ago
16%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Japanese tankers cross Hormuz after talks with Iran
2h Somali piracy surges as Iran conflict diverts naval forces
✓ 24h Japan’s PM engages with Iran for safe Strait of Hormuz passage
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns by may 31
1 article
· 3h ago
6%
▼0¢
✓ 43h FCC orders review of Disney’s ABC licenses after Trump demands Kimmel firing
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
3h Pentagon under scrutiny for Minab school strike amid Iran regime pressure
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors by april 30
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
3h Ukraine intercepts 30,000 drones in March amid ongoing conflict with Russia
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
22%
▼0¢
3h Pentagon chief Hegseth to testify on Iran conflict amid market watch
Likely NO
Crude oil prices by end of june
2 articles
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 3% FLAT
3h EU maintains Iran sanctions, impacting crude oil and US-Iran ceasefire outlook
3h Iran’s ex-fuel suppliers seek energy deals, impacting crude oil market
Likely NO
MegaETH token launch timeline
1 article
· 3h ago
97%
▼0¢
3h MegaETH confirms token generation event for April 30, 2026
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 3h ago
8%
▼0¢
3h Iran cuts gas consumption after losing 18.5M gallons of fuel in facility damage
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting by date
1 article
· 3h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ US x Iran ceasefire extensions 0% FLAT
✓ 63h Trump rejects Tehran’s plea, calls Iran in ‘state of collapse’
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 0% FLAT
✓ 24h Mojtaba Khamenei halts US talks, raising focus on Iran leadership change
Likely NO
Fed decisions in june and july
1 article
· 4h ago
86%
▼0¢
4h Lloyds profits jump 33% on higher rates as BOE holds steady
Likely NO
US recession 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
1%
▼0¢
4h Oil supply disruption raises US recession risk for 2026