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✓ 32h Justice Department indicts former FBI Director Comey over threats to Trump
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 32h Justice Department indicts former FBI Director Comey over threats to Trump
▲ James comey arrest predictions
77% (was 8%, ▲69¢ in 2h)
NO ▲11¢
Bitcoin price targets
3 articles
· 3h ago
11%
▼11¢
✓ 23h Bitcoin spot volumes hit 2-year low amid US-Iran tensions
3h 75% of institutions see Bitcoin as undervalued, potential buying interest grows
4h Bitcoin futures funding rates hit one-year low as price nears record
NO ▲3¢
WTI crude oil price april 2026
1 article
Developing
47%
▼3¢
1h Trump plans extended Hormuz blockade, WTI crude oil hits $160 in April
NO ▲2¢
Trump visit China
1 article
· 4h ago
63%
▼2¢
⚡ Trump's visits to China 0% FLAT
4h Taiwan tops Beijing agenda for Trump-Xi summit on May 14-15
NO ▲1¢
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire extensions 100% FLAT
3h Hezbollah’s Qassem rejects talks with Israel, vows response to aggression
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ US x Iran ceasefire extensions 0% FLAT
3h Iran asserts defense rights, casting doubt on US-Iran ceasefire stability
NO ▲1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 4h ago
30%
▼1¢
4h Trump orders extended Hormuz blockade, escalating US-Iran tensions
NO ▲1¢
Crude oil prices by end of june
1 article
· 5h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 3% FLAT
5h EU maintains Iran sanctions, impacting crude oil and US-Iran ceasefire outlook
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
2 articles
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by end of april 100% FLAT
⚡ Second largest company by end of april 0% FLAT
6m Tech giants report earnings today; Fed rate decision at 2 PM ET
✓ 25h Bitcoin exchange netflows surge by 9,905 BTC, largest inflow in 30 days
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
4 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
✓ 217m Iran, Hezbollah regroup during Israel ceasefire, warns Israeli spokesperson
✓ 22h Israeli strike in Bint Jbeil kills two, including Lebanese soldier
3h Trump extends Israel-Lebanon ceasefire as Hezbollah launches rockets
Likely NO
Gold price by end of june
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
21m Investor bets against gold as Fed meeting approaches
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting by date
1 article
Developing
22%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium stockpile surrender 0% FLAT
✓ 324m Iran issues military warning over US vessel seizures amid uranium tensions
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
5 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 0% FLAT
37m Iranian embassies recruit for “sacrifice of life” campaign amid US tensions
✓ 32h UN reports Iran executes 21, arrests 4,000 amid Israel conflict crackdown
✓ 42h Iran’s rial hits record low amid US-Israel ceasefire, oil prices expected to rise
Likely NO
Ethereum price in 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
53m Binance Gold Futures hit $100B volume, traders eye $8,000 gold target
Likely NO
Military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's visits to pakistan 8% FLAT
✓ 31h Pakistan PM Sharif mediates US-Iran peace amid Trump visit speculation
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
2 articles
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
1h Missile strikes in Qatar spike costs, impact Nvidia supply chain
✓ 22h Iran Strait closure raises market tensions, Bitcoin faces potential volatility
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed chair confirmation 92% FLAT
1h Jerome Powell’s final Fed rate decision could come April 29 amid regime change
4h Kevin Warsh Fed chair nomination heads to Senate Banking Committee vote
Likely NO
US recession 2026
1 article
Developing
86%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decisions in june and july 4% FLAT
1h US-Iran tensions heighten economic uncertainty, recession fears grow
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Strait of Hormuz remains closed despite Iran’s reopening announcement
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors by april 30
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h French Rafale jets intercept Iranian drones targeting UAE bases
5h Ukraine intercepts 30,000 drones in March amid ongoing conflict with Russia
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Putin scales back Victory Day parade amid Ukrainian strike concerns
4h Zelensky praises Ukrainian drone strikes deep in Russia, ceasefire odds unchanged
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
· 2h ago
22%
▼0¢
✓ 52h Trump warns Iran amid Hegseth’s Capitol Hill testimony
5h Pentagon chief Hegseth to testify on Iran conflict amid market watch
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions by 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
2h Czech National Bank eyes 1% Bitcoin reserve allocation for improved returns
2h Bitcoin holds steady at $75K-$76K amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Solana price predictions in april
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Circle mints $500M USDC on Solana amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price by end of june
2 articles
· 2h ago
8%
▼0¢
2h UAE oil stocks plummet 66% to record lows amid US-Iran conflict
4h Brent crude oil hits $115 amid Iran-Israel conflict, highest since 2022
Likely NO
Which party will win the house in 2026?
1 article
· 3h ago
0%
▼0¢
3h DOJ cuts voting rights staff, shifts focus to voter fraud investigations
Likely NO
Military action against Iran by april 30
2 articles
· 3h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire extensions 100% FLAT
3h New IRA bombing raises fears of Iran, Hezbollah militant ties in Northern Ireland
4h Google-Pentagon AI deal boosts confidence in Gemini model quality
Likely NO
Iran uranium stockpile surrender
1 article
· 4h ago
30%
▼0¢
⚡ US x Iran ceasefire extensions 0% FLAT
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
4h Trump’s hardline Iran stance impacts Polymarket contracts, peace deal odds drop
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
2 articles
· 4h ago
16%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Japanese tankers cross Hormuz after talks with Iran
4h Somali piracy surges as Iran conflict diverts naval forces
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns by may 31
1 article
· 5h ago
6%
▼0¢
✓ 45h FCC orders review of Disney’s ABC licenses after Trump demands Kimmel firing
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
· 5h ago
3%
▼0¢
5h Pentagon under scrutiny for Minab school strike amid Iran regime pressure