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56m Ty Cobb calls Comey indictment ‘vindictive,’ predicts dismissal
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
56m Ty Cobb calls Comey indictment ‘vindictive,’ predicts dismissal
▲ James comey arrest predictions
84% (was 68%, ▲16¢ in 56m)
YES ▲16¢
James comey arrest predictions
2 articles
Developing
84%
▲16¢
56m ✓ 34h Justice Department indicts former FBI Director Comey over threats to Trump
NO ▲5¢
WTI crude oil price april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
45%
▼5¢
2h Trump plans extended Hormuz blockade, WTI crude oil hits $160 in April
NO ▲3¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
· 5h ago
13%
▼3¢
✓ 25h Japanese tankers cross Hormuz after talks with Iran
NO ▲2¢
Bitcoin price predictions by 2026
4 articles
Developing
6%
▼2¢
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 11% FLAT
✓ 232m Bitcoin steady above $77K despite ETF outflows, Powell’s FOMC meeting looming
1h Paul Tudor Jones calls Bitcoin best inflation hedge amid Middle East tensions
3h Czech National Bank eyes 1% Bitcoin reserve allocation for improved returns
NO ▲2¢
Trump visit China
1 article
· 5h ago
63%
▼2¢
⚡ Trump's visits to China 0% FLAT
5h Taiwan tops Beijing agenda for Trump-Xi summit on May 14-15
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
· 4h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ US x Iran ceasefire extensions 0% FLAT
4h Iran asserts defense rights, casting doubt on US-Iran ceasefire stability
NO ▲1¢
Iran uranium stockpile surrender
1 article
· 5h ago
29%
▼1¢
⚡ US x Iran ceasefire extensions 0% FLAT
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
5h Trump’s hardline Iran stance impacts Polymarket contracts, peace deal odds drop
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
6m Russia scales back Victory Day parade citing Ukraine threat, ceasefire hopes dim
3h Putin scales back Victory Day parade amid Ukrainian strike concerns
5h Zelensky praises Ukrainian drone strikes deep in Russia, ceasefire odds unchanged
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
3 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions in april 100% FLAT
18m Bitcoin conviction buyers grow 69% in Q1 2026, but $80K target fades
✓ 24h Bitcoin spot volumes hit 2-year low amid US-Iran tensions
4h 75% of institutions see Bitcoin as undervalued, potential buying interest grows
Likely NO
Fed decision april and june
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate decisions 0% FLAT
21m Treasury yields hit highest since 2026 amid US-Iran conflict
Likely NO
Trump out as president
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
30m Democrats consider lawsuit against Trump over Iran conflict
Likely NO
US x Iran ceasefire extensions
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
✓ 635m White House considers extending Iran blockade, impacting ceasefire odds
✓ 247m Trump urges Iran deal amid potential US blockade extension
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair
3 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed chair confirmation 92% FLAT
1h Powell may stay at Fed past chair term, impacting Warsh confirmation timeline
✓ 32h Jerome Powell’s final Fed rate decision could come April 29 amid regime change
5h Kevin Warsh Fed chair nomination heads to Senate Banking Committee vote
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
2 articles
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
✓ 21h Netanyahu not invited to Washington amid US-Iran tensions
4h Hezbollah’s Qassem rejects talks with Israel, vows response to aggression
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
1 article
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by end of april 100% FLAT
⚡ Second largest company by end of april 0% FLAT
1h Tech giants report earnings today; Fed rate decision at 2 PM ET
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
4 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Iran, Hezbollah regroup during Israel ceasefire, warns Israeli spokesperson
✓ 23h Israeli strike in Bint Jbeil kills two, including Lebanese soldier
4h Trump extends Israel-Lebanon ceasefire as Hezbollah launches rockets
Likely NO
Gold price by end of june
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h Investor bets against gold as Fed meeting approaches
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting by date
1 article
Developing
22%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium stockpile surrender 0% FLAT
✓ 31h Iran issues military warning over US vessel seizures amid uranium tensions
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
4 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 0% FLAT
1h Iranian embassies recruit for “sacrifice of life” campaign amid US tensions
✓ 33h UN reports Iran executes 21, arrests 4,000 amid Israel conflict crackdown
✓ 43h Iran’s rial hits record low amid US-Israel ceasefire, oil prices expected to rise
Likely NO
Ethereum price in 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Binance Gold Futures hit $100B volume, traders eye $8,000 gold target
Likely NO
Military action against Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's visits to pakistan 8% FLAT
✓ 32h Pakistan PM Sharif mediates US-Iran peace amid Trump visit speculation
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
2 articles
· 2h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
2h Missile strikes in Qatar spike costs, impact Nvidia supply chain
✓ 24h Iran Strait closure raises market tensions, Bitcoin faces potential volatility
Likely NO
US recession 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
86%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decisions in june and july 4% FLAT
3h US-Iran tensions heighten economic uncertainty, recession fears grow
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
· 3h ago
0%
▼0¢
3h Strait of Hormuz remains closed despite Iran’s reopening announcement
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors by april 30
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h French Rafale jets intercept Iranian drones targeting UAE bases
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
22%
▼0¢
✓ 53h Trump warns Iran amid Hegseth’s Capitol Hill testimony
Likely NO
Solana price predictions in april
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Circle mints $500M USDC on Solana amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
· 4h ago
8%
▼0¢
4h UAE oil stocks plummet 66% to record lows amid US-Iran conflict
Likely NO
Which party will win the house in 2026?
1 article
· 5h ago
0%
▼0¢
5h DOJ cuts voting rights staff, shifts focus to voter fraud investigations
Likely NO
Military action against Iran by april 30
2 articles
· 5h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire extensions 100% FLAT
5h New IRA bombing raises fears of Iran, Hezbollah militant ties in Northern Ireland
5h Google-Pentagon AI deal boosts confidence in Gemini model quality