Earn with Nexo
6h Powell defends Fed autonomy amid political pressure for rate cuts
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
6h Powell defends Fed autonomy amid political pressure for rate cuts
▲ Fed decision april and june
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 6h)
⚡ Fed rate decisions: 0% FLAT
YES ▲100¢
Fed decision april and june
1 article
· 6h ago
100%
▲100¢
⚡ Fed rate decisions 0% FLAT
6h 
NO ▲2¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
2 articles
· 2h ago
84%
▼2¢
2h Amazon eyes AI hardware sales as Nvidia market cap odds shift
5h Amazon stock drops 6% despite Q1 earnings beat; Nvidia eyes top market cap spot
NO ▲1¢
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼1¢
✓ 22h Tether proposes merger of XXI, Strike, Elektron Energy into public entity
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
· 3h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
3h RWA private credit on blockchain surges to $4.5B, Ethereum price outlook steady
4h Bitcoin falls to $75,000 as Fed holds rates steady in divided vote
YES ▲1¢
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 32% FLAT
3h Trump discusses new Iran proposal with national security aides
NO ▲1¢
Fed decision june and july
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Fed rate decisions 0% FLAT
4h Fed rate hike probability for 2027 rises amid geopolitical tensions
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
6%
▼1¢
4h Ukrainian drones strike Russian oil refinery in Orenburg Oblast
Likely NO
XRP price in april
1 article
Developing
99%
▼0¢
18m Ripple partners with Kbank to deploy institutional-grade digital asset wallets
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
3 articles
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
22m Mass rallies in Iran show support for leadership on Imam Reza anniversary
2h Iran holds pro-government rallies amid regime stability concerns
6h Iran threatens retaliation for Khamenei’s killing amid leadership instability
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
7 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 84% FLAT
29m Nvidia market cap surpasses India’s entire stock market
✓ 31h Samsung profit surges eight-fold on AI demand, beating estimates
1h Samsung Q1 profit beats expectations, starts HBM4 production for Nvidia
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 255m Bitmine buys 65,000 ETH worth $147M in 24 hours, signals institutional interest
1h Middle East tensions pressure crypto markets, Bitcoin $94K odds falter
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Iran tensions push oil prices above $120, potential for further increases
✓ 42h Trump reviews US troop levels in Germany amid Iran standoff
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
4 articles
Developing
44%
▼0¢
1h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, tensions rise with US strategy mockery
3h US-Iran talks stall, Hormuz blockade resolution unlikely by May 31
4h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, threatens action if provoked
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
✓ 21h US plans Middle East deployment of Dark Eagle hypersonic missiles against Iran
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
31%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 31% FLAT
1h Iran threatens to close Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
6h Iran offers combat insights to SCO allies, impacting US-Iran ceasefire outlook
6h Turkey eyes demining role in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran-US peace talks
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 2h ago
44%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 44% FLAT
✓ 32h Trump orders extended Iran blockade to force nuclear concessions
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
2 articles
· 2h ago
11%
▼0¢
2h Putin meets Iran’s FM, complicating US-Iran diplomatic prospects
✓ 26h Trump discusses Ukraine ceasefire with Putin in phone call
Likely NO
Brazil presidential election 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
2h Brazil Senate rejects Lula’s Supreme Court nominee, impacting 2026 election strategy
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
✓ 23h Powell: US economy growing at ‘solid pace’ despite Iran war energy shock
✓ 53h US war in Iran costs $25B, impacting Fed rate cut expectations for 2026
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
· 3h ago
44%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Hormuz shipping traffic trickles as US-Iran tensions escalate
3h UN maritime agency rejects Iran’s toll plan for Strait of Hormuz shipping
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
3 articles
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
3h Senate Banking Committee advances Warsh for Fed Chair, Powell’s exit likely
✓ 24h Kevin Warsh clears Senate committee, markets react to potential Fed leadership change
✓ 35h Powell to remain Fed governor despite Trump’s ‘unprecedented’ criticism
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 3h ago
0%
▼0¢
3h Trump urges Netanyahu to limit Lebanon strikes as ceasefire falters
Likely NO
MegaETH market cap predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
99%
▼0¢
4h Coinbase supports MegaETH deposits ahead of April 30 token event
Likely NO
Gensyn FDV predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
99%
▼0¢
4h Gensyn AI token debuts on Coinbase, market skeptical of $600M valuation
Likely NO
James comey arrest timeline
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 34h James Comey indictment prompts arrest speculation amid market certainty
Likely NO
Next prime minister of Israel predictions
1 article
· 5h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
5h Bennett unveils plan to replace Netanyahu with new alliance by June 30
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 1
1 article
· 5h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
5h Eurozone confidence hits low as Bitcoin market remains steady above $68K
Likely NO
Fed rate decisions
1 article
· 6h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
6h Fed rate hike odds rise amid memory shortage, energy disruptions