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Prediction Markets

Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.

US-Iran ceasefire 29% ▼2¢ Largest company by market cap predictions 84% ▼2¢ Ethereum future price predictions 2% ▼1¢ Bitcoin price targets 2% ▼1¢ Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran 8% ▼1¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 6% ▼1¢ Fed decision june and july 3% ▼1¢ MegaETH market cap predictions 99.8% ▲1¢ Gensyn FDV predictions 99.8% ▲1¢ US invasion of Iran 9% ▲1¢ Brazil presidential election 2026 37% ▼1¢ James comey arrest timeline 100% ▼0¢ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 11% ▼0¢ Iranian regime fall 8% ▼0¢ Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026 3% ▼0¢ Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline 4% ▼0¢ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 44% ▼0¢ Iran leadership change 44% ▼0¢ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 21% ▼0¢ Largest company by end of april 100% ▼0¢ Next prime minister of Israel predictions 6% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price predictions in april 100% ▼0¢ Military actions against Iran 14% ▼0¢ XRP price in april 99.8% ▼0¢ Fed rate decisions 99.8% ▼0¢ Kharg island control 0% ▼0¢ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 0% ▼0¢ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 0% ▼0¢ US forces enter Iran 8% ▼0¢ Strait of hormuz traffic 8% ▼0¢ US-Iran ceasefire 29% ▼2¢ Largest company by market cap predictions 84% ▼2¢ Ethereum future price predictions 2% ▼1¢ Bitcoin price targets 2% ▼1¢ Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran 8% ▼1¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 6% ▼1¢ Fed decision june and july 3% ▼1¢ MegaETH market cap predictions 99.8% ▲1¢ Gensyn FDV predictions 99.8% ▲1¢ US invasion of Iran 9% ▲1¢ Brazil presidential election 2026 37% ▼1¢ James comey arrest timeline 100% ▼0¢ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 11% ▼0¢ Iranian regime fall 8% ▼0¢ Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026 3% ▼0¢ Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline 4% ▼0¢ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 44% ▼0¢ Iran leadership change 44% ▼0¢ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 21% ▼0¢ Largest company by end of april 100% ▼0¢ Next prime minister of Israel predictions 6% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price predictions in april 100% ▼0¢ Military actions against Iran 14% ▼0¢ XRP price in april 99.8% ▼0¢ Fed rate decisions 99.8% ▼0¢ Kharg island control 0% ▼0¢ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 0% ▼0¢ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 0% ▼0¢ US forces enter Iran 8% ▼0¢ Strait of hormuz traffic 8% ▼0¢
AJEnglish3h

Iran threatens to close Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions

▼ US-Iran ceasefire
29% (was 31%, ▼2¢ in 3h)
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting: 31% FLAT
NO ▲2¢ US-Iran ceasefire 1 article · 3h ago
29% ▼2¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 31% FLAT
N▲2
AJEnglish3h
Iran threatens to close Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
NO ▲2¢ Largest company by market cap predictions 1 article · 4h ago
84% ▼2¢
N▲2
Wallstengine4h
Amazon eyes AI hardware sales as Nvidia market cap odds shift
NO ▲1¢ Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran 2 articles Developing
8% ▼1¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
N▲1
Press TV1h
Mass rallies in Iran show support for leadership on Imam Reza anniversary
N↑
MarioNawfal4h
Iran holds pro-government rallies amid regime stability concerns
NO ▲1¢ Ethereum future price predictions 1 article · 4h ago
2% ▼1¢
N▲1
TFTC21Business✓ 24h
Tether proposes merger of XXI, Strike, Elektron Energy into public entity
NO ▲1¢ Brazil presidential election 2026 1 article · 4h ago
37% ▼1¢
N▲1
Business4h
Brazil Senate rejects Lula’s Supreme Court nominee, impacting 2026 election strategy
YES ▲1¢ US invasion of Iran 1 article · 5h ago
9% ▲1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 32% FLAT
Y▲1
Reuters5h
Trump discusses new Iran proposal with national security aides
NO ▲1¢ Fed decision june and july 1 article · 5h ago
3% ▼1¢
⚡ Fed rate decisions 0% FLAT
N▲1
Cointelegraph5h
Fed rate hike probability for 2027 rises amid geopolitical tensions
NO ▲1¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 1 article · 5h ago
6% ▼1¢
N▲1
MarioNawfal5h
Ukrainian drones strike Russian oil refinery in Orenburg Oblast
YES ▲1¢ Gensyn FDV predictions 1 article · 5h ago
99.8% ▲1¢
Y▲1
CoinbaseMarkets5h
Gensyn AI token debuts on Coinbase, market skeptical of $600M valuation
Likely NO US forces enter Iran 1 article Developing
8% ▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
Y↑
Press TV12m
Iranian jet bombs US base in Kuwait, challenges air defense systems
Likely NO Iranian regime fall 1 article Developing
8% ▼0¢
Y↑
Middle East Eye53m
Iranian rial hits record low amid US naval blockade intercepting oil shipments
Likely NO Kharg island control 1 article Developing
0% ▼0¢
⚡ Military actions against Iran 0% FLAT
Y↑
FirstSquawk1h
CENTCOM plans targeted strikes on Iran amid military escalation talks
Likely NO Iran's enriched uranium surrender 1 article Developing
21% ▼0¢
N↑
MarioNawfalIranIntl_En✓ 21h
Iran refuses to surrender enriched uranium by April 2026 deadline
Likely NO Iran leadership change 1 article · 3h ago
44% ▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 44% FLAT
Y↑
WSJReutersAJEnglishYnetnews✓ 43h
Trump orders extended Iran blockade to force nuclear concessions
Likely NO Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 1 article · 3h ago
11% ▼0¢
N↑
MarioNawfal3h
Putin meets Iran’s FM, complicating US-Iran diplomatic prospects
Likely NO Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 1 article · 5h ago
0% ▼0¢
N↑
Tenet_research5h
Trump urges Netanyahu to limit Lebanon strikes as ceasefire falters
Likely NO James comey arrest timeline 1 article · 6h ago
100% ▼0¢
Y↑
BBCWorldBBCNewsFox News (homepage)✓ 36h
James Comey indictment prompts arrest speculation amid market certainty
Likely NO Next prime minister of Israel predictions 1 article · 6h ago
6% ▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
N↑
Jerusalem Post6h
Bennett unveils plan to replace Netanyahu with new alliance by June 30