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9h Trump discusses new Iran proposal with national security aides
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
9h Trump discusses new Iran proposal with national security aides
▲ US invasion of Iran
10% (was 8%, ▲2¢ in 9h)
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting: 32% FLAT
YES ▲2¢
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 9h ago
10%
▲2¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 32% FLAT
9h 
NO ▲2¢
Fed decision june and july
1 article
· 9h ago
2%
▼2¢
⚡ Fed rate decisions 0% FLAT
9h Fed rate hike probability for 2027 rises amid geopolitical tensions
YES ▲1¢
MegaETH market cap predictions
2 articles
· 4h ago
99.7%
▲1¢
✓ 44h Upbit lists MEGA token with KRW, BTC, USDT trading pairs in South Korea
9h Coinbase supports MegaETH deposits ahead of April 30 token event
NO ▲1¢
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
2 articles
· 5h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
5h Mass rallies in Iran show support for leadership on Imam Reza anniversary
8h Iran holds pro-government rallies amid regime stability concerns
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
· 7h ago
32%
▲1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 31% FLAT
7h Iran threatens to close Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
NO ▲1¢
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
· 7h ago
2%
▼1¢
✓ 27h Tether proposes merger of XXI, Strike, Elektron Energy into public entity
NO ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
1 article
· 8h ago
85%
▼1¢
8h Amazon eyes AI hardware sales as Nvidia market cap odds shift
YES ▲1¢
Brazil presidential election 2026
1 article
· 8h ago
25%
▲1¢
8h Brazil Senate rejects Lula’s Supreme Court nominee, impacting 2026 election strategy
NO ▲1¢
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
· 8h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
✓ 28h Powell: US economy growing at ‘solid pace’ despite Iran war energy shock
✓ 58h US war in Iran costs $25B, impacting Fed rate cut expectations for 2026
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
· 8h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
8h RWA private credit on blockchain surges to $4.5B, Ethereum price outlook steady
9h Bitcoin falls to $75,000 as Fed holds rates steady in divided vote
YES ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 9h ago
8%
▲1¢
9h Ukrainian drones strike Russian oil refinery in Orenburg Oblast
YES ▲1¢
Gensyn FDV predictions
1 article
· 9h ago
99.7%
▲1¢
9h Gensyn AI token debuts on Coinbase, market skeptical of $600M valuation
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
4 articles
· 3h ago
44%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Trump rejects Iran proposal, keeps naval blockade amid nuclear deal stalemate
6h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, tensions rise with US strategy mockery
9h US-Iran talks stall, Hormuz blockade resolution unlikely by May 31
Likely NO
US forces enter Iran
1 article
· 4h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
4h Iranian jet bombs US base in Kuwait, challenges air defense systems
Likely NO
XRP price in april
2 articles
· 4h ago
99.7%
▼0¢
4h Ripple partners with Kbank to boost XRP institutional demand in South Korea
✓ 25h Ripple partners with Kbank to deploy institutional-grade digital asset wallets
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
3 articles
· 4h ago
14%
▼0¢
4h CENTCOM to brief Trump on unprecedented military options against Iran
✓ 25h Iran stockpiling missiles to counter US attacks, says Senator Kennedy
✓ 47h US plans Middle East deployment of Dark Eagle hypersonic missiles against Iran
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
3 articles
· 4h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
4h US Army eyes control of Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
✓ 28h Hormuz shipping traffic trickles as US-Iran tensions escalate
9h UN maritime agency rejects Iran’s toll plan for Strait of Hormuz shipping
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 4h ago
8%
▼0¢
4h Iranian rial hits record low amid US naval blockade intercepting oil shipments
Likely NO
Kharg island control
1 article
· 4h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Military actions against Iran 0% FLAT
4h CENTCOM plans targeted strikes on Iran amid military escalation talks
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 4h ago
21%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Iran refuses to surrender enriched uranium by April 2026 deadline
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
3 articles
· 5h ago
4%
▼0¢
✓ 25h DOJ ends Powell probe, reducing urgency for Warsh confirmation
8h Senate Banking Committee advances Warsh for Fed Chair, Powell’s exit likely
✓ 29h Kevin Warsh clears Senate committee, markets react to potential Fed leadership change
Likely NO
Fed rate decisions
2 articles
· 5h ago
99.7%
▼0¢
5h Bond market sees higher odds of Fed rate hike by year-end amid inflation concerns
5h BlackRock’s Fawcett sees Fed rate cuts unlikely before December
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
5 articles
· 5h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 84% FLAT
5h Nvidia market cap surpasses India’s entire stock market
✓ 46h Samsung profit surges eight-fold on AI demand, beating estimates
6h Samsung Q1 profit beats expectations, starts HBM4 production for Nvidia
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
2 articles
· 6h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 46h Bitmine buys 65,000 ETH worth $147M in 24 hours, signals institutional interest
6h Middle East tensions pressure crypto markets, Bitcoin $94K odds falter
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 6h ago
0%
▼0¢
✓ 116h Iran tensions push oil prices above $120, potential for further increases
✓ 47h Trump reviews US troop levels in Germany amid Iran standoff
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 7h ago
44%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 44% FLAT
✓ 47h Trump orders extended Iran blockade to force nuclear concessions
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 7h ago
11%
▼0¢
7h Putin meets Iran’s FM, complicating US-Iran diplomatic prospects
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 9h ago
0%
▼0¢
9h Trump urges Netanyahu to limit Lebanon strikes as ceasefire falters
Likely NO
James comey arrest timeline
1 article
· 10h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 310h James Comey indictment prompts arrest speculation amid market certainty