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✓ 211h Tether proposes merger of XXI, Strike, Elektron Energy into public entity
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 211h Tether proposes merger of XXI, Strike, Elektron Energy into public entity
▼ Ethereum future price predictions
1% (was 3%, ▼2¢ in 11h)
NO ▲2¢
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
· 11h ago
1%
▼2¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
11h RWA private credit on blockchain surges to $4.5B, Ethereum price outlook steady
13h Bitcoin falls to $75,000 as Fed holds rates steady in divided vote
YES ▲2¢
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 12h ago
10%
▲2¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 32% FLAT
12h Trump discusses new Iran proposal with national security aides
NO ▲1¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
4 articles
· 6h ago
43%
▼1¢
✓ 36h Trump rejects Iran proposal, keeps naval blockade amid nuclear deal stalemate
10h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, tensions rise with US strategy mockery
12h US-Iran talks stall, Hormuz blockade resolution unlikely by May 31
YES ▲1¢
US forces enter Iran
1 article
· 7h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
7h Iranian jet bombs US base in Kuwait, challenges air defense systems
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
3 articles
· 7h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
7h US Army eyes control of Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
✓ 211h Hormuz shipping traffic trickles as US-Iran tensions escalate
12h UN maritime agency rejects Iran’s toll plan for Strait of Hormuz shipping
YES ▲1¢
MegaETH market cap predictions
2 articles
· 7h ago
100%
▲1¢
✓ 47h Upbit lists MEGA token with KRW, BTC, USDT trading pairs in South Korea
12h Coinbase supports MegaETH deposits ahead of April 30 token event
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 8h ago
20%
▼1¢
✓ 28h Iran refuses to surrender enriched uranium by April 2026 deadline
NO ▲1¢
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
2 articles
· 8h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
8h Mass rallies in Iran show support for leadership on Imam Reza anniversary
11h Iran holds pro-government rallies amid regime stability concerns
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
· 10h ago
32%
▲1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 31% FLAT
10h Iran threatens to close Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
NO ▲1¢
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 10h ago
43%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 44% FLAT
✓ 410h Trump orders extended Iran blockade to force nuclear concessions
NO ▲1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 10h ago
10%
▼1¢
10h Putin meets Iran’s FM, complicating US-Iran diplomatic prospects
NO ▲1¢
Fed decision june and july
1 article
· 12h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Fed rate decisions 0% FLAT
12h Fed rate hike probability for 2027 rises amid geopolitical tensions
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 12h ago
6%
▼1¢
12h Ukrainian drones strike Russian oil refinery in Orenburg Oblast
YES ▲1¢
Gensyn FDV predictions
1 article
· 12h ago
100%
▲1¢
12h Gensyn AI token debuts on Coinbase, market skeptical of $600M valuation
Likely NO
XRP price in april
2 articles
· 7h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
7h Ripple partners with Kbank to boost XRP institutional demand in South Korea
✓ 28h Ripple partners with Kbank to deploy institutional-grade digital asset wallets
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
3 articles
· 7h ago
6%
▼0¢
7h CENTCOM to brief Trump on unprecedented military options against Iran
✓ 28h Iran stockpiling missiles to counter US attacks, says Senator Kennedy
✓ 410h US plans Middle East deployment of Dark Eagle hypersonic missiles against Iran
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 7h ago
8%
▼0¢
7h Iranian rial hits record low amid US naval blockade intercepting oil shipments
Likely NO
Kharg island control
1 article
· 7h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Military actions against Iran 0% FLAT
7h CENTCOM plans targeted strikes on Iran amid military escalation talks
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
3 articles
· 8h ago
4%
▼0¢
✓ 38h DOJ ends Powell probe, reducing urgency for Warsh confirmation
✓ 211h Senate Banking Committee advances Warsh for Fed Chair, Powell’s exit likely
✓ 212h Kevin Warsh clears Senate committee, markets react to potential Fed leadership change
Likely NO
Fed rate decisions
2 articles
· 8h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
8h Bond market sees higher odds of Fed rate hike by year-end amid inflation concerns
8h BlackRock’s Fawcett sees Fed rate cuts unlikely before December
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
5 articles
· 8h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 84% FLAT
✓ 28h Nvidia market cap surpasses India’s entire stock market
✓ 49h Samsung profit surges eight-fold on AI demand, beating estimates
9h Samsung Q1 profit beats expectations, starts HBM4 production for Nvidia
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
2 articles
· 9h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 49h Bitmine buys 65,000 ETH worth $147M in 24 hours, signals institutional interest
9h Middle East tensions pressure crypto markets, Bitcoin $94K odds falter
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 9h ago
0%
▼0¢
✓ 149h Iran tensions push oil prices above $120, potential for further increases
✓ 410h Trump reviews US troop levels in Germany amid Iran standoff
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap predictions
1 article
· 11h ago
86%
▼0¢
11h Amazon eyes AI hardware sales as Nvidia market cap odds shift
Likely NO
Brazil presidential election 2026
1 article
· 11h ago
24%
▼0¢
11h Brazil Senate rejects Lula’s Supreme Court nominee, impacting 2026 election strategy
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
· 11h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
✓ 211h Powell: US economy growing at ‘solid pace’ despite Iran war energy shock
✓ 512h US war in Iran costs $25B, impacting Fed rate cut expectations for 2026
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 12h ago
0%
▼0¢
12h Trump urges Netanyahu to limit Lebanon strikes as ceasefire falters
Likely NO
James comey arrest timeline
1 article
· 13h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 313h James Comey indictment prompts arrest speculation amid market certainty