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18h Amazon eyes AI hardware sales as Nvidia market cap odds shift
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
18h Amazon eyes AI hardware sales as Nvidia market cap odds shift
▼ Largest company by market cap predictions
71% (was 96%, ▼25¢ in 18h)
NO ▲24¢
Largest company by end of april
5 articles
· 16h ago
71%
▼24¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 84% FLAT
✓ 216h Nvidia market cap surpasses India’s entire stock market
✓ 517h Samsung profit surges eight-fold on AI demand, beating estimates
17h Samsung Q1 profit beats expectations, starts HBM4 production for Nvidia
YES ▲3¢
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
· 17h ago
34%
▲3¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 31% FLAT
17h Iran threatens to close Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
NO ▲3¢
Brazil presidential election 2026
1 article
· 18h ago
21%
▼3¢
18h Brazil Senate rejects Lula’s Supreme Court nominee, impacting 2026 election strategy
NO ▲2¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
4 articles
· 14h ago
42%
▼2¢
✓ 414h Trump rejects Iran proposal, keeps naval blockade amid nuclear deal stalemate
17h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, tensions rise with US strategy mockery
19h US-Iran talks stall, Hormuz blockade resolution unlikely by May 31
NO ▲2¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
3 articles
· 15h ago
2%
▼2¢
✓ 815h DOJ ends Powell probe, reducing urgency for Warsh confirmation
✓ 219h Senate Banking Committee advances Warsh for Fed Chair, Powell’s exit likely
✓ 219h Kevin Warsh clears Senate committee, markets react to potential Fed leadership change
NO ▲2¢
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 17h ago
42%
▼2¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 44% FLAT
✓ 417h Trump orders extended Iran blockade to force nuclear concessions
YES ▲2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 17h ago
13%
▲2¢
17h Putin meets Iran’s FM, complicating US-Iran diplomatic prospects
YES ▲1¢
US forces enter Iran
1 article
· 14h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
14h Iranian jet bombs US base in Kuwait, challenges air defense systems
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
3 articles
· 14h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
14h US Army eyes control of Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
✓ 219h Hormuz shipping traffic trickles as US-Iran tensions escalate
19h UN maritime agency rejects Iran’s toll plan for Strait of Hormuz shipping
YES ▲1¢
MegaETH market cap predictions
2 articles
· 15h ago
100%
▲1¢
TW✓ 1415h Upbit lists MEGA token with KRW, BTC, USDT trading pairs in South Korea
19h Coinbase supports MegaETH deposits ahead of April 30 token event
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 15h ago
20%
▼1¢
✓ 215h Iran refuses to surrender enriched uranium by April 2026 deadline
NO ▲1¢
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
2 articles
· 16h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
16h Mass rallies in Iran show support for leadership on Imam Reza anniversary
18h Iran holds pro-government rallies amid regime stability concerns
YES ▲1¢
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
· 18h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
✓ 218h Powell: US economy growing at ‘solid pace’ despite Iran war energy shock
✓ 619h US war in Iran costs $25B, impacting Fed rate cut expectations for 2026
YES ▲1¢
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 19h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 32% FLAT
19h Trump discusses new Iran proposal with national security aides
YES ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 20h ago
8%
▲1¢
20h Ukrainian drones strike Russian oil refinery in Orenburg Oblast
YES ▲1¢
Gensyn FDV predictions
1 article
· 20h ago
100%
▲1¢
20h Gensyn AI token debuts on Coinbase, market skeptical of $600M valuation
Likely NO
XRP price in april
2 articles
· 14h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
14h Ripple partners with Kbank to boost XRP institutional demand in South Korea
✓ 216h Ripple partners with Kbank to deploy institutional-grade digital asset wallets
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
3 articles
· 14h ago
6%
▼0¢
14h CENTCOM to brief Trump on unprecedented military options against Iran
✓ 215h Iran stockpiling missiles to counter US attacks, says Senator Kennedy
✓ 417h US plans Middle East deployment of Dark Eagle hypersonic missiles against Iran
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 15h ago
8%
▼0¢
✓ 215h Iranian rial hits record low amid US naval blockade intercepting oil shipments
Likely NO
Kharg island control
1 article
· 15h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Military actions against Iran 0% FLAT
15h CENTCOM plans targeted strikes on Iran amid military escalation talks
Likely NO
Fed rate decisions
2 articles
· 15h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
15h Bond market sees higher odds of Fed rate hike by year-end amid inflation concerns
15h BlackRock’s Fawcett sees Fed rate cuts unlikely before December
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
2 articles
· 16h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 416h Bitmine buys 65,000 ETH worth $147M in 24 hours, signals institutional interest
16h Middle East tensions pressure crypto markets, Bitcoin $94K odds falter
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 16h ago
0%
▼0¢
✓ 1516h Iran tensions push oil prices above $120, potential for further increases
✓ 418h Trump reviews US troop levels in Germany amid Iran standoff
Likely NO
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
· 18h ago
4%
▼0¢
✓ 218h Tether proposes merger of XXI, Strike, Elektron Energy into public entity
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
· 19h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
19h RWA private credit on blockchain surges to $4.5B, Ethereum price outlook steady
20h Bitcoin falls to $75,000 as Fed holds rates steady in divided vote
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 19h ago
0%
▼0¢
19h Trump urges Netanyahu to limit Lebanon strikes as ceasefire falters
Likely NO
Fed decision june and july
1 article
· 19h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate decisions 0% FLAT
19h Fed rate hike probability for 2027 rises amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
James comey arrest timeline
1 article
· 20h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 320h James Comey indictment prompts arrest speculation amid market certainty