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✓ 247m Bitcoin surges past $77,000 as Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 247m Bitcoin surges past $77,000 as Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz
▲ Solana price predictions in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 47m)
YES ▲100¢
Ethereum price hit in april
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▲100¢
2h Ethereum SuperTrend flips buy, but $3,000 target remains unlikely by April 26
YES ▲4¢
Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation
1 article
· 2h ago
88%
▲4¢
2h Kevin Warsh’s Fed chair nomination advances as Powell investigation ends
NO ▲2¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
17%
▼2¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 17% FLAT
✓ 241m Iran’s foreign minister in Oman for US-Iran talks mediation
NO ▲2¢
Countries conducting military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
3%
▼2¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h Iran diplomat’s return to Islamabad may reignite US-Iran ceasefire talks
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal
1 article
Developing
14%
▼1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 15% FLAT
32m Iran condemns US blockade of ports as ‘collective punishment’
NO ▲1¢
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
Developing
17%
▼1¢
55m Somali pirates resume hijacking oil tankers, impacting crude oil market
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire extension
1 article
Developing
4%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 4% FLAT
✓ 101h Trump withdraws US envoys from Iran talks, calls negotiations a waste
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 11% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 4% FLAT
✓ 201h Trump cancels Pakistan visit, impacting US-Iran peace talks
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
Developing
4%
▲1¢
1h USS Rafael Peralta confronts Iranian vessel amid US naval blockade
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Who will meet with Iran by april 30 2% FLAT
2h Iranian foreign minister meets Pakistan’s army chief in Islamabad for peace talks
YES ▲1¢
Netanyahu's tenure
1 article
· 3h ago
13%
▲1¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
3h Thousands in Israel choose jail over military service, pressure builds on Netanyahu
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
9m Hezbollah launches drones at Israeli forces, IDF strikes back in Lebanon
1h Israeli airstrikes hit southern Lebanon, raising 2026 ceasefire questions
Likely NO
Solana price april 13-19
1 article
Developing
97%
▼0¢
13m Solana Foundation issues USDT loan to AAVE amid DeFi liquidity crisis
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
16m Major banks predict Bitcoin could hit $200k by 2026 despite steady market odds
1h Analyst: Bitcoin falling to $40,000 would be ‘near-unprecedented’ event
Likely NO
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
17m Pentagon shake-up impacts Iran conflict resolution markets
1h Trump sends aircraft carrier, 10,000 troops to Middle East amid tensions
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
19m Iran conflict boosts US crude exports to 5.2M barrels per day in April
2h US oil exports rise amid Israel-Iran conflict, shifting global supply patterns
2h Oil investors exit at record pace with $900M outflows in April
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 4% FLAT
20m Bitcoin ETFs buy $223M in Bitcoin, reversing four-month outflow streak
Likely NO
Iran military action against countries
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Military action against Iran 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
25m Iranian F-5 reportedly breaches US air defenses in Kuwait
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's position 6% FLAT
26m Israel’s right-wing figures consider new party to challenge Netanyahu
Likely NO
Iran military action
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
✓ 227m Iran warns US maritime actions risk decisive military response
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
4 articles
Developing
17%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 14% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates 0% FLAT
✓ 534m Iran foreign minister questions US seriousness in diplomacy efforts
✓ 540m Iran’s foreign minister calls Pakistan visit productive, boosting diplomatic hopes
53m US Treasury warns IRGC funneling funds abroad, Trump favors phone diplomacy
Likely NO
Iran peace deals
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
35m Trump cancels Kushner, Witkoff Pakistan trip for Iran peace talks
Likely NO
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran diplomatic meetings 56% FLAT
47m Iran declares control over Hormuz as definitive strategy amid US tensions
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price prediction for 2026 4% FLAT
50m Spot ETH ETF inflows hit $633M, but $10K prediction market remains flat
Likely NO
Warships through the strait of hormuz
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Countries sending warships through hormuz 2% FLAT
57m Iran seizes MSC vessel in Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions
✓ 22h Sanctioned ships pass through Strait of Hormuz despite US blockade
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
✓ 101h Trump cancels Kushner’s Iran meeting, dims diplomatic hopes by April 30
2h Bolton skepticism dims US-Iran peace deal prospects by April 30
Likely NO
Military action against Iran
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ Countries conducting military action against Iran by april 30 1% FLAT
1h Iran resumes Hajj travel to Saudi Arabia, easing regional tensions
3h US bases in Middle East suffered more damage than reported: NBC
Likely NO
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h US dollar share of SWIFT payments rises amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Iran military action by april 30
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
⚡ Military action against Iran 1% FLAT
1h Iranian jets allegedly strike US bases in Kuwait, causing extensive damage
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
4 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
✓ 21h Israeli raid in southern Lebanon tests Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire durability
✓ 31h Israel bombs Lebanon amid ceasefire, citing Hezbollah rocket attacks
2h Drone infiltration in Israel’s Galilee amid Hezbollah tensions
Likely NO
Next CEO of apple
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
1h John Ternus confirmed as Apple’s next CEO, focusing on hardware strategy
Likely NO
Largest company predictions for june
1 article
· 2h ago
93%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by june 92% FLAT
2h AMD market cap surpasses $500B for first time
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Iran presents demands after Islamabad talks, eyes US ceasefire extension
Likely NO
Trump and putin meeting locations
1 article
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
2h EU targets Russia’s energy, finance in 20th sanctions package
Likely NO
Iran coup attempt
1 article
· 2h ago
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
✓ 22h Iranian officials evacuated from Pakistan under military escort