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8m Bitcoin long-term holders stop panic selling, market stabilizes
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
8m Bitcoin long-term holders stop panic selling, market stabilizes
▲ What price will Bitcoin hit in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 8m)
YES ▲100¢
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
2 articles
Developing
100%
▲100¢
8m 1h BlackRock clients buy $167M in Bitcoin amid US-Iran tensions
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price predictions in april
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▲100¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 24 0% FLAT
2h Bitcoin rally stalls amid Japanese inflation and Iran tensions
YES ▲11¢
Kash patel out by date
1 article
Developing
20%
▲11¢
✓ 21h Trump plans to fire FBI Director Kash Patel amid negative media coverage
NO ▲2¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates
1 article
Developing
11%
▼2¢
1h US-Iran diplomatic meeting possible in coming days: WSJ
YES ▲1¢
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 100% FLAT
2h Iran firm on uranium enrichment demands, agreement unlikely by April 30
YES ▲1¢
Iran surrender enriched uranium
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▲1¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump will agree to in april 7% FLAT
⚡ Iran enriched uranium surrender 2% FLAT
2h Pakistan committed to mediating US-Iran conflict after talks collapse
YES ▲1¢
Iran surrender enriched uranium stockpile
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▲1¢
2h NYC mayor questions $500M daily military spend amid grocery store debate
YES ▲1¢
Trump posts week of april 6, 2023
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
3h Trump cancels Iran trip, impacting Reza Pahlavi entry odds
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
11%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 13% FLAT
1h Iran seeks diplomacy with US via third-party talks in Pakistan, Oman
2h Iran halts US talks until demands met, ceasefire collapse looms
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Empty oil tankers divert to US amid Middle East supply disruptions
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 4% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 3% FLAT
1h Iran signals reduced interest in US talks after failed Pakistan negotiations
2h Trump cancels US delegation trip, dims US-Iran diplomatic meeting prospects
Likely YES
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
Developing
1%
1m US naval forces intercept sanctioned vessel in Arabian Sea, enforcing blockade
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
14m Trump’s frustration with Europe reignites US withdrawal from NATO debate
2h EU explores defense options outside NATO amid US withdrawal concerns
Likely NO
Fed decisions from january to april
1 article
Developing
40%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cuts in 2026 39% FLAT
18m Consumer pessimism on job security doubles, Fed rate cut speculation rises
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
6 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran diplomatic meetings 56% FLAT
✓ 219m Trump urges journalist to leave Pakistan as Iran peace talks stall
✓ 42h Trump cancels envoy trip to Pakistan, impacting US-Iran peace prospects
✓ 22h Trump open to talks with Iran’s new leaders, no ceasefire commitment yet
Likely NO
Trump Iran demands (april)
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
22m Iran’s low-pressure oil fields risk permanent loss amid supply strain
1h US open to Iran uranium enrichment in potential nuclear deal shift
1h US may allow Iran uranium enrichment, impacting Trump negotiation dynamics
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
23m Trump cancels Iran talks, citing regime infighting and confusion
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
2 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
25m Iran conflict drives oil prices, Latin America responds with subsidies, caps
2h Iran war disrupts oil flows, crude hits $90 target by June
Likely NO
Crypto hack predictions for 2023
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
48m Lazarus Group linked to $292M DeFi hack, $13B TVL outflows ensue
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
✓ 356m Israeli airstrikes hit Hezbollah positions in Lebanon amid ceasefire doubts
2h Israel demands Hezbollah respect Lebanon ceasefire amid ongoing violations
✓ 32h Netanyahu orders strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon, ceasefire at risk
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april 3% FLAT
✓ 41h US Navy intercepts sanctioned vessel M/V Sevan in Arabian Sea
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 2% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
1h Trump comments cast doubt on Iran ceasefire continuation
Likely NO
Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation
1 article
Developing
87%
▼0¢
1h DOJ ends Powell probe, clearing path for Warsh’s Fed Chair confirmation
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
2 articles
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
1h Unverified report: Iranian F-5 bombed US base in Kuwait, bypassing defenses
✓ 31h Iran warns US against renewed aggression amid conflict fears
Likely NO
Iran military action by april 30
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Iran delegation returns to Tehran for consultations amid frozen market
Likely NO
Iranian demands Trump agreement
2 articles
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 3% FLAT
2h Trump’s “Anaconda Plan” targets Iran with naval blockade, sanctions
✓ 43h Trump dismisses Iran proposal, dims April sanction relief prospects
Likely NO
Largest company predictions for june
1 article
· 2h ago
99.7%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in april 2026 100% FLAT
2h Nvidia poised to become largest company by market cap amid AI stock surge
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
2h Israeli forces demolish buildings in Khiyam amid frozen ceasefire markets
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire extension
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Trump’s comment on US-Iran ceasefire extension sends market YES
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 100% FLAT
✓ 52h Iran’s foreign minister returns to Pakistan amid active ceasefire diplomacy
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
2h Trump highlights Iranian leadership infighting, raising opposition profile
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price prediction for 2026 4% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price on april 26 0% FLAT
3h Bitcoin, Solana, XRP ETFs see inflows; Ethereum faces $75.9M outflow
Likely NO
Largest company by june
1 article
· 3h ago
93%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap 92% FLAT
3h Nvidia stock hits all-time high amid easing US-China trade tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price in april
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 26 100% FLAT
3h ARK Invest: Bitcoin conviction buyers increase holdings 69% in Q1 despite drop