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23m Bitcoin nears $78K with 4th straight weekly gain amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
23m Bitcoin nears $78K with 4th straight weekly gain amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Bitcoin price predictions in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 23m)
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▲100¢
3h Bitcoin futures see $600M in long liquidations, highest since February
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
93%
▼1¢
1h Fed injects $172B post-QT, Bitcoin $200K odds unchanged
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼1¢
2h Macron backs Trump after armed attack as US-Iran talks stall
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
0%
▼1¢
✓ 23h Zelensky urges end to Russian nuclear threats on Chornobyl anniversary
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
· 4h ago
2%
▲1¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
✓ 24h Trump cancels envoy trip, Iran talks stall as diplomatic market collapses
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
Developing
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 14% FLAT
16m Strait of Hormuz traffic nearly halted amid Iran-US blockades
Likely NO
Richest person on december 31, 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
21m Tesla vandalism rises as protesters target Musk over government role
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 55% FLAT
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
21m Iran warns US, Israel of stronger retaliation amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
30m Reports of sexual abuse surge in Iranian prisons amid regime crackdown
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
31m Trump cancels envoy trip, Iran ceasefire talks uncertain
5h Iran’s foreign minister to visit Pakistan before Moscow talks
Likely NO
Israel suspension of lebanon offensive
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
34m Israeli military orders evacuation of seven Lebanese towns amid ongoing operations
1h Israel strikes Lebanese infrastructure, withdrawal by April unlikely
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
41m Iran war strains Gulf economies, complicates US-Iran diplomacy
4h US considers nuclear option as Iran tensions escalate
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
4 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
41m Israeli airstrikes hit Burj Qalawayh amid dormant ceasefire markets
✓ 31h Netanyahu orders strikes on Hezbollah after ceasefire violations
1h Israeli attacks in Lebanon kill 2,490 amid ceasefire market certainty
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
45m Lebanese PM challenges Hezbollah, complicates Israel talks
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h US motorists cut fuel consumption as Iran conflict spikes petrol prices
✓ 21h UK, US collaborate on security as King Charles plans US visit amid oil tensions
1h Iran arrests four linked to Kerman shooting amid oil market tensions
Likely NO
Russia enter rai-oleksandrivka
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia entry into kupiansk-vuzlovyi 100% FLAT
1h Ukrainian forces strike Yaroslavl refinery, Russian logistics targeted
Likely NO
Trump posts week of april 6, 2023
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Trump’s Iran war stance dims hopes for uranium surrender by April 30
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
1h Lebanon frees last Hezbollah detainees on minimal bail amid ceasefire concerns
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure from power
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
✓ 41h Israeli president delays Netanyahu pardon, pushes for plea deal
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
✓ 21h Israel drops leaflets over Sour, straining Lebanon ceasefire
Likely NO
Next to leave Trump cabinet
2 articles
Developing
14%
▼0¢
✓ 61h Gunman targets Trump officials at White House dinner, raising security concerns
✓ 93h Gunman opens fire at White House Correspondents’ Dinner, Trump evacuated
Likely NO
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 3% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 14% FLAT
✓ 41h US cancels envoy travel to Pakistan, shifts strategy from talks to pressure on Iran
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
2 articles
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
2h US-Iran talks stall, odds of Trump meeting drop to near zero by April 30
✓ 24h Iran refuses US talks under pressure, nuclear deal deadlock persists
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
✓ 22h Iran refuses to restore Strait of Hormuz normalcy amid peace deal doubts
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran regime fall 0% FLAT
2h Iranian lawmaker suggests preemptive strikes against US possible
Likely NO
Iran coup attempt
1 article
· 2h ago
14%
▼0¢
2h Iran airs footage from seized vessel in Strait of Hormuz escalation
Likely NO
Anthropic IPO market cap predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
97%
▼0¢
2h US Treasury meets bank CEOs over Anthropic’s Mythos cybersecurity risks
Likely NO
Iran control and regime fall
1 article
· 3h ago
13%
▼0¢
3h Israel’s haredi draft crisis threatens Netanyahu’s coalition stability
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
2 articles
· 3h ago
5%
▼0¢
3h Bitcoin nears $80K, $2.2B in short positions at risk of liquidation
5h Bitcoin unlikely to dip to $60,000 in April, market shows
Likely NO
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
2 articles
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump will agree to in april 7% FLAT
3h Iran rejects demands on Strait of Hormuz, uranium enrichment halt
4h Tehran-Washington talks stall, casting doubt on Iran uranium deal by April 30
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
· 3h ago
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 14% FLAT
3h 600 ships stranded in Strait of Hormuz, disrupting regional trade
Likely NO
Iran's uranium stockpile surrender
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 3% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
✓ 23h Oman mediates US-Iran talks, no breakthrough on uranium stockpile surrender
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
4h US crude exports hit record 5.2M barrels amid Iran conflict
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location
1 article
· 5h ago
14%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates 0% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
5h Iran prioritizes regional alliances over US talks, dims hope for near-term meeting
Likely NO
Ethereum price hit in april
1 article
· 5h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in 2026 4% FLAT
✓ 35h Ethereum Foundation unstakes $48.9M in ETH, raising selling pressure concerns
Likely NO
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
· 5h ago
1%
▼0¢
5h Iran war disrupts oil supply, crude hits $90 by June draws interest
Likely NO
Starmer out timing predictions
1 article
· 5h ago
47%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out prediction markets 46% FLAT
✓ 25h Starmer’s Labour Party projected to lose seats in May 7 UK elections