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1h Bitcoin nears $78K with 4th straight weekly gain amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
1h Bitcoin nears $78K with 4th straight weekly gain amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Bitcoin price predictions in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 1h)
NO ▲1¢
Iranian regime fall
1 article
Developing
2%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
1h Iran seizes two ships near Strait of Hormuz, raising tensions
NO ▲1¢
Who will meet with Iran
1 article
Developing
2%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 2% FLAT
✓ 61h Gunfire at White House dinner disrupts US-Iran diplomacy efforts
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates
1 article
Developing
2%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 2% FLAT
1h US-Iran talks stall, April 24 meeting unlikely as odds plummet
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
93%
▼1¢
2h Fed injects $172B post-QT, Bitcoin $200K odds unchanged
NO ▲1¢
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 3% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 14% FLAT
✓ 43h US cancels envoy travel to Pakistan, shifts strategy from talks to pressure on Iran
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
✓ 23h Iran refuses to restore Strait of Hormuz normalcy amid peace deal doubts
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran regime fall 0% FLAT
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 4% FLAT
9m Oman recognizes Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran’s new Supreme Leader
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting attendance
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
36m Iran uses ceasefire to rebuild military capacity, says senior lawmaker
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entering Iran
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
36m Israel halts plan for regime change in Iran, de-escalates efforts
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
40m Wounded Israeli soldiers moved to Haifa amid ceasefire stability concerns
✓ 33h Israel drops leaflets over Sour, straining Lebanon ceasefire
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
3 articles
Developing
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 53% FLAT
47m Strait of Hormuz remains locked down as Iran holds firm on blockade
1h Iran blocks free shipping in Strait of Hormuz, rejects return to normal
1h Iran warns US, Israel of stronger retaliation amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Ethereum price in 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price hit in 2026 4% FLAT
52m Ethereum Foundation unstakes 17K ETH as it nears 70K milestone
Likely NO
Ethereum price hit in april
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
53m Ethereum Foundation unstakes $48.9M ETH, raising sell-off concerns
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 14% FLAT
54m US and Israeli strikes on Iran halt nuclear deal talks
✓ 41h Iran’s Araqchi meets Oman’s Sultan to discuss US conflict, Hormuz security
✓ 31h Hengli Petrochemical denies Iran trade amid US sanctions tightening
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
58m Iran and Oman discuss regional security, Strait of Hormuz amid US talks speculation
Likely NO
Iran military action against countries
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Israel intercepts drones, strikes southern Lebanon amid ceasefire uncertainty
Likely NO
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
1h US-Israeli attacks cut Iran steel output by 25-30%, impacting military production
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 14% FLAT
✓ 31h Iran, Oman leaders discuss Strait of Hormuz security amid tensions
Likely NO
Kharg island oil terminal attack
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
✓ 21h Israeli airstrikes hit southern Lebanon after evacuation warning
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
4 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h US-Iran ceasefire eases oil price pressure, odds of record high drop
2h US motorists cut fuel consumption as Iran conflict spikes petrol prices
✓ 23h UK, US collaborate on security as King Charles plans US visit amid oil tensions
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h Israeli raid in southern Lebanon causes injuries amid ceasefire period
3h Lebanon frees last Hezbollah detainees on minimal bail amid ceasefire concerns
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure from power
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
✓ 31h Herzog favors plea deal over pardon for Netanyahu amid corruption trial
✓ 43h Israeli president delays Netanyahu pardon, pushes for plea deal
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Japan reroutes oil supply to bypass Strait of Hormuz amid Iranian disruptions
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Gulf state military action against Iran 4% FLAT
1h Israel deploys Iron Dome, troops to UAE amid Iran conflict
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
Developing
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 14% FLAT
1h Strait of Hormuz traffic nearly halted amid Iran-US blockades
Likely NO
Richest person on december 31, 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Tesla vandalism rises as protesters target Musk over government role
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
2h Reports of sexual abuse surge in Iranian prisons amid regime crackdown
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Trump cancels envoy trip, Iran ceasefire talks uncertain
Likely NO
Israel suspension of lebanon offensive
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
2h Israeli military orders evacuation of seven Lebanese towns amid ongoing operations
2h Israel strikes Lebanese infrastructure, withdrawal by April unlikely
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
2h Iran war strains Gulf economies, complicates US-Iran diplomacy
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
3 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
2h Israeli airstrikes hit Burj Qalawayh amid dormant ceasefire markets
✓ 33h Netanyahu orders strikes on Hezbollah after ceasefire violations
3h Israeli attacks in Lebanon kill 2,490 amid ceasefire market certainty
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
2h Lebanese PM challenges Hezbollah, complicates Israel talks
Likely NO
Russia enter rai-oleksandrivka
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia entry into kupiansk-vuzlovyi 100% FLAT
2h Ukrainian forces strike Yaroslavl refinery, Russian logistics targeted
Likely NO
Trump posts week of april 6, 2023
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Trump’s Iran war stance dims hopes for uranium surrender by April 30
Likely NO
Next to leave Trump cabinet
1 article
· 3h ago
14%
▼0¢
✓ 63h Gunman targets Trump officials at White House dinner, raising security concerns
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
3h US-Iran talks stall, odds of Trump meeting drop to near zero by April 30