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36m Whale moves $26.1M Solana to Binance, signaling potential sell-off
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
36m Whale moves $26.1M Solana to Binance, signaling potential sell-off
▲ Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 36m)
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price on april 24
1 article
Developing
100%
▲100¢
1h China fixes yuan at strongest level since March, signals economic strength
NO ▲8¢
Strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal
1 article
· 2h ago
67%
▼8¢
2h US naval blockade turns back 38 ships from Iranian ports, tensions persist
YES ▲1¢
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 42% FLAT
1h Mojtaba Khamenei named Iran’s Supreme Leader, stabilizing regime outlook
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
4 articles
Developing
2%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 3% FLAT
1h Iran proposes bypassing leadership disputes on nuclear concessions
1h US-Iran talks stall, Trump signals possible escalation
1h White House firm on Iran nuclear stance as deal odds plummet
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
Developing
16%
▼1¢
⚡ Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april 1% FLAT
✓ 101h Iran proposes plan to reopen Strait of Hormuz, ending naval blockade
✓ 22h US Navy blockade turns back 38 ships from Iranian ports
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions for june 2023
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
11m Brent crude stays above $107 amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
✓ 212m Oil prices climb as US-Iran peace talks stall
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
5 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
13m Trump’s Iran standoff pressures Europe as crude oil market remains skeptical
✓ 22h Iran bypasses US blockade, maintains oil exports amid market stability
✓ 22h Oil surpasses $107 as US-Iran talks stall, Strait of Hormuz remains closed
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
Developing
60%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
✓ 514m Iran offers US deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz, end conflict
20m Iran-Oman partnership signals extended Hormuz blockade amid US tensions
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
16m Satellite images reveal Israeli destruction in southern Lebanon amid ceasefire talks
3h Israel tightens security in north amid rising Hezbollah tensions
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
16m Cross-border fire between Israel and Lebanon threatens fragile ceasefire
2h Hezbollah targets Israeli troops with drone, missile attack amid ceasefire doubts
3h Netanyahu cancels Meron celebration amid renewed fire from Lebanon
Likely NO
Iran uranium surrender
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
20m US-Israeli airstrikes destroy Iran’s Pasteur Institute headquarters
Likely NO
US escorts in hormuz
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ US escorts through hormuz 2% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 16% FLAT
36m US redirects 38 ships amid Iran blockade, escort operations unlikely by April 30
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu leaving office 6% FLAT
1h Bennett and Lapid form Beyachad party to challenge Netanyahu in 2026 elections
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran surrender of enriched uranium stockpile 2% FLAT
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium 2% FLAT
1h Iran leadership split on Trump’s uranium demands, nuclear deal unlikely by April 30
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
1h Islamabad signals progress in US-Iran conflict resolution talks
Likely NO
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
3 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Japan’s 20-year bond yield rises amid tighter monetary policy expectations
2h Japan secures oil supply through 2027 amid Middle East tensions
✓ 22h Bank of Japan likely to hold rates steady amid yen depreciation concerns
Likely NO
Trump China visit
1 article
Developing
77%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump visit China 0% FLAT
⚡ Trump visit to China 0% FLAT
1h China expands economic pressure on US amid Iran conflict
Likely NO
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 16% FLAT
1h US-Iran talks stall as US envoys withdraw from Islamabad negotiations
Likely NO
Crypto hack predictions for 2023
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Lazarus Group exploits ThorChain for $292M rsETH laundering operation
Likely NO
Gulf state military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US escorts commercial ship through hormuz 2% FLAT
1h US Navy deploys three aircraft carriers to Middle East amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on april 16, 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Trump to hold Situation Room meeting on Iran amid Bitcoin price concerns
Likely NO
Next to leave Trump cabinet
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h Assassination attempt at dinner raises Trump Cabinet security concerns
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 62h Bitcoin hits $79,000 amid US-Iran ceasefire, bullish sentiment grows
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
2h Hormuz crisis prompts $24B Iraq trade corridor proposal amid Gulf disruption
Likely NO
Who will Trump publicly insult by april 30?
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's public insults 100% FLAT
✓ 42h Trump criticizes Norah O’Donnell on “60 Minutes” amid prediction market buzz
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on april 24
1 article
· 2h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in april 2026 100% FLAT
2h S&P 500 companies cut 400,000 jobs in 2025, first decline since 2016
Likely NO
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h Iran war timeline uncertain as traders await Trump’s decision
Likely NO
Fed chair confirmation predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 2% FLAT
3h Senator Tillis backs Warsh for Fed Chair as May 15 confirmation odds rise
Likely NO
Trump visit China
1 article
· 3h ago
1%
▼0¢
3h China expands economic pressure tactics amid Trump visit uncertainty
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Crypto hack predictions for 2023 100% FLAT
3h Crypto hacks in April surpass $623M with 4 days remaining
Likely NO
AI model rankings by end of april
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h OpenAI launches GPT-5.5, Polymarket contract certainty
Likely NO
US-Iran peace deal
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
3h Iran’s Qalibaf claims US out of oil options, peace deal odds plummet
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
4h Bitcoin jumps $1K on Binance amid US-Iran conflict tensions
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 4h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
✓ 24h China-backed ceasefire stabilizes Iran amid regime change speculation