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4m US economic confidence hits lowest since Nov 2023 amid trade, Iran tensions
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
4m US economic confidence hits lowest since Nov 2023 amid trade, Iran tensions
▲ Bitcoin price on april 24
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 4m)
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price on april 24
3 articles
Developing
100%
▲100¢
4m ✓ 71h White House hints at potential Bitcoin reserve purchase, market remains steady
2h Analysts forecast gold at $4,916/oz by 2026, below recent peaks
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price in april
1 article
Developing
100%
▲100¢
✓ 247m SEC shifts focus to regulatory clarity for Bitcoin, easing market fears
YES ▲1¢
Richest person on december 31, 2026
2 articles
Developing
92%
▲1¢
54m Musk’s Tesla compensation weakens Ellison’s chances of topping billionaires index
2h Musk wealth to rise $168B as SpaceX hits $800B valuation
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
19%
▲1¢
✓ 21h Iran blames US for Gulf navigation disruptions amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
YES ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap
1 article
· 2h ago
92%
▲1¢
✓ 22h Nvidia market cap surpasses Alphabet by $1T amid strong AI hardware demand
YES ▲1¢
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
16%
▲1¢
✓ 32h German chancellor criticizes US strategy in Iran conflict
NO ▲1¢
Warships through the strait of hormuz
1 article
· 2h ago
19%
▼1¢
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 1% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 20% FLAT
2h UN session highlights threats to Strait of Hormuz, UK warship deployment unlikely
NO ▲1¢
Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation
1 article
· 2h ago
91%
▼1¢
2h Senate Banking Committee to vote on Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair April 29
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran diplomatic meetings 58% FLAT
5m Trump skeptical of Iran’s Strait of Hormuz proposal: WSJ
Likely NO
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
8m Bank of Japan likely to maintain rates amid Iran conflict concerns
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in april 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 58% FLAT
9m Trump doubts Iran proposal, Strait of Hormuz blockade remains, oil prices steady
Likely NO
GPT-5.5 release dates
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ GPT-5.5 release timing 100% FLAT
⚡ GPT-5.5 release dates 100% FLAT
13m OpenAI releases GPT-5.5, outperforming GPT-5.4 for paid ChatGPT users
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
24m Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon kill four, escalating conflict with Hezbollah
Likely NO
Iran military action
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
28m Iran condemns US seizure of oil tankers, maritime tensions rise
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
32m Trump administration refunds $885M to firms abandoning offshore wind projects
55m WTI crude oil surges 44% amid Iran war, traders skeptical of record highs
1h US and Iran near deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz without restrictions
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
37m Budget airlines seek $2.5B from Trump admin amid rising fuel costs due to US-Iran tensions
2h Iran-US tensions fail to boost crude oil all-time high odds by April 30
Likely NO
Trump insult prediction market
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's public insults 100% FLAT
41m Trump criticizes Kimmel after White House Correspondents’ Dinner parody
2h Trump demands Iran reopen Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday deadline
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% FLAT
48m US spot Bitcoin ETFs acquire 18,991 BTC in five days, outpacing new supply
2h Crypto funds see $1.2B inflow, Bitcoin hits $155B AUM
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal
2 articles
Developing
59%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 57% FLAT
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 57% FLAT
✓ 251m US accuses Iran of holding global economy hostage with Hormuz blockade at UN
2h UK opposes US blockade of Iranian ports, complicating resolution timeline
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's tenure 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
53m Israeli opposition forms ‘Together’ alliance to challenge Netanyahu
Likely YES
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
4 articles
Developing
16%
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
just now Trump doubts Iran’s nuclear intentions, dims hope for June US-Iran talks
59m Russia hosts Iran’s FM in St. Petersburg for US-Iran talks discussion
✓ 62h US warns against Iranian airline ties, sanctions risk looms
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 31h Western Union to launch Solana-based stablecoin next month
Likely NO
Anthropic IPO market cap predictions
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Google employees urge CEO to block Pentagon AI use in open letter
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran diplomatic meetings 60% FLAT
1h Pakistan urges diplomacy at UN amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
2h Trump ends Pakistan talks, US-Iran ceasefire collapse seen as inevitable
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h Trump extends Israel-Lebanon ceasefire by three weeks
2h IDF limits gatherings in northern Israel amid rising Hezbollah attacks
Likely NO
US escorts through hormuz
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 58% FLAT
1h Iranian tankers evade US blockade, head to Asia with 4M barrels of oil
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran 6% FLAT
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% FLAT
2h Iran protests, economic woes fuel speculation on regime stability
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
2h Iran’s Supreme Council meets as Pahlavi entry speculation grows
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
2h Bitcoin drops below $77,000 amid high-volume sell-offs, $71M liquidations
Likely NO
2026 midterms balance of power
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Trump uses reconciliation to fund ICE, Border Patrol without Democrats
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 1% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
2h Trump weighs military action or talks as US-Iran ceasefire nears end
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
✓ 22h Lebanon-Israel talks set for April 23 in Washington amid public division
Likely NO
Iranian demands Trump agreement
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran nuclear agreement 1% FLAT
2h Trump hints at “gift” on seized ship, escalating US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Largest company by june
1 article
· 2h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap on april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ Largest company by market cap in april 100% FLAT
2h Nvidia and semiconductor stocks hit all-time highs amid AI demand surge
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
1 article
· 2h ago
96%
▼0¢
2h US policy shift promotes crypto innovation, USD.AI FDV tops $300M
Likely NO
Iran successfully targets ships by april 30
1 article
· 2h ago
13%
▼0¢
✓ 52h Iran condemns US tanker seizures as piracy amid rising tensions