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✓ 21h Bank of Japan holds rates amid rare split vote, inflation concerns
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 21h Bank of Japan holds rates amid rare split vote, inflation concerns
▲ Bank of japan decision in april 2026
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 1h)
YES ▲100¢
Gold price predictions by end of june
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▲100¢
2h UK bond yields as oil rises, traders eye gold amid political tensions
NO ▲99¢
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
Developing
1%
▼99¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 100% FLAT
56m Iran conflict disrupts oil markets, boosts electric vehicle sales in March
NO ▲99¢
Crude oil price predictions for june 2023
1 article
Developing
1%
▼99¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 100% FLAT
1h Oil prices rise amid Iran stand-off, WTI Crude hits $160 prediction
NO ▲95¢
Fed decision in june 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼95¢
⚡ Fed rate cuts in 2026 50% FLAT
31m US job growth slows, boosting Fed rate cut bets for June 2026
NO ▲50¢
Richest person on december 31, 2026
1 article
Developing
50%
▼50¢
40m Oil prices jump 3% as US-Iran tensions keep Strait of Hormuz closed
NO ▲49¢
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
Developing
1%
▼49¢
35m US warns firms aiding Iranian airlines amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
NO ▲47¢
Reza pahlavi entering Iran
1 article
Developing
4%
▼47¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 51% FLAT
51m US-Israel strikes on Iran boost regime fall market amid unrest
NO ▲47¢
Iranian regime fall
1 article
Developing
4%
▼47¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran 50% FLAT
58m Iran internet blackout hits two-month mark amid regime instability concerns
NO ▲46¢
WTI crude oil price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼46¢
1h First LNG tanker clears Hormuz, easing crude supply fears
NO ▲36¢
Iran nuclear agreement
1 article
Developing
2%
▼36¢
⚡ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april 50% FLAT
30m IDF targets 1,000 Hezbollah sites as Trump criticizes Iran
NO ▲34¢
Gulf state military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
16%
▼34¢
✓ 61h Saudi Aramco extends LPG delivery suspension after Iranian attacks
NO ▲33¢
US withdrawal from NATO
1 article
Developing
17%
▼33¢
25m NATO may end annual summits as tensions with Trump escalate
NO ▲25¢
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
1 article
Developing
1%
▼25¢
33m Strait of Hormuz ship transits drop to 35 amid US-Iran tensions
NO ▲2¢
Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april
1 article
Developing
1%
▼2¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 51% FLAT
44m Trump set to reject Iran’s offer to reopen Strait of Hormuz without nuclear deal
NO ▲1¢
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
Developing
1%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 50% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
32m Germany’s Merz criticizes Iran for humiliating US amid stalled talks
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 100% FLAT
38m Iran ceasefire eases oil supply fears, Strait of Hormuz reopens
NO ▲1¢
S&P 500 movement on april 16, 2026
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price hit in april 1% FLAT
48m Central banks’ hawkish stance rattles S&P 500, Bitcoin holds steady
1h OpenAI misses targets, triggering semiconductor and AI stock sell-off
NO ▲1¢
Billionaire wealth tax in california 2026
1 article
Developing
69%
▼1¢
1h California’s billionaire tax proposal qualifies for 2026 ballot
NO ▲1¢
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼1¢
2h Republicans push to fund Secret Service after third Trump assassination attempt
YES ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 0% FLAT
2h Putin backs Iran in Saint Petersburg meeting, impacting Israel-Iran peace odds
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
69%
▼1¢
⚡ Ethereum price in 2026 4% FLAT
2h AAVE’s DeFi United relief fund secures $303M to cover Kelp DAO exploit losses
✓ 22h BitMNR buys 101,901 ETH for $234M, nearing 5% of Ethereum supply
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
4 articles
Developing
17%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
9m Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing tensions
✓ 243m Iran to enforce protocols for Strait of Hormuz passage post-war
1h US officials fear prolonged conflict in Strait of Hormuz amid traffic concerns
Likely NO
Bitcoin price in april
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 4% FLAT
12m Bitcoin drops 3% to $76.3K, ending 4-week rally amid oil price surge
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 4% FLAT
14m Gulf state leaders meet in Saudi Arabia to address Iranian drone attacks
Likely NO
Russia enter rai-oleksandrivka
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia entry into kupiansk-vuzlovyi 100% FLAT
⚡ Russia's entry into dovha balka 100% FLAT
15m Ukraine to produce 50,000 ground robots in 2026 war effort against Russia
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
4 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 15% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 68% FLAT
23m Strait of Hormuz remains closed as Trump weighs Iran’s offer
1h Strait of Hormuz closure strands 8M barrels of Saudi oil daily
2h Qatar opposes using Strait of Hormuz as leverage in Iran-US crisis
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
2 articles
Developing
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran coup attempt 48% FLAT
⚡ Reza pahlavi enter Iran 99% FLAT
28m Iranian embassies recruit for ‘sacrificing life’ campaign amid US-Israel conflict
2h Mossad chief praises “groundbreaking” operations in Iran amid regime tensions
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
50m Israeli minister suggests reduced military presence if Hezbollah disarms
1h Hezbollah’s influence complicates Israel-Lebanon talks despite 100% odds
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap in june
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by june 92% FLAT
1h Nvidia stock dips 2.8% as OpenAI misses targets, market cap odds YES
Likely NO
GPT-5.5 release dates
1 article
Developing
96%
▼0¢
✓ 51h OpenAI’s compute costs raise concerns over GPT-5.5 release timeline
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Bitmine stakes $214M in ETH, holds 9.5% of all staked Ethereum
Likely NO
US-Iran peace deal
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 20% FLAT
1h Zarif proposes nuclear curbs for sanctions relief amid US-Iran peace deal talks
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out of power 6% FLAT
1h Qatar offered ICC prosecutor support for pursuing Netanyahu charges
Likely NO
Next leader out before 2027
1 article
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
2h Viktor Orban’s resignation offer rejected by Fidesz after election loss
Likely NO
Fed decisions from march to june
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Fed expected to hold rates steady amid US-Iran tensions, rising oil prices
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 2% FLAT
2h Trump frustrated as Iran talks stall, peace deal by April 30 unlikely
Likely NO
Iran surrender of enriched uranium stockpile
1 article
· 2h ago
23%
▼0¢
2h Iran faces oil storage crisis as Strait of Hormuz blockade tightens
Likely NO
US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
· 2h ago
23%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium surrender 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran surrender enriched uranium stockpile 1% FLAT
✓ 22h Iran holds 1,000 pounds of enriched uranium, complicating US acquisition
Likely NO
Crypto hack predictions for 2023
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h North Korea’s Lazarus Group linked to $290M Kelp DAO hack