Via brookings.edu
Bitcoin rises 3%, outperforming S&P 500’s 1% decline
Bitcoin posted a rare session of outperformance against US equities, gaining while the S&P 500 slipped on tech-driven profit-taking.
Bitcoin climbed roughly 2.6% during a session where the S&P 500 dropped about 0.5%, producing one of those uncommon trading days where the largest cryptocurrency decisively outpaced the benchmark US equity index. The move brought Bitcoin’s price to the $64,400 to $64,500 range, a level that has become stubbornly familiar for holders who watched it trade near $126,000 less than a year ago.
The divergence was driven largely by profit-taking in tech-heavy stocks, which dragged equities lower while Bitcoin caught a bid.
A tale of two trajectories
After hitting an all-time high near $126,000 in October 2025, the asset has been in a prolonged correction, settling into a trading range in the low-to-mid $60,000s for extended stretches. That’s a drawdown of approximately 50%.
The S&P 500, meanwhile, pushed above the 7,700 level multiple times in 2026, continuing to set new all-time highs even as individual sessions like this one saw modest pullbacks. Over the same period that Bitcoin halved from its peak, US equities broadly marched higher.
The diversification argument gets a data point
Historical analyses have shown that Bitcoin tends to outperform both the S&P 500 and gold in post-shock periods, particularly over subsequent 60-day windows following geopolitical or macroeconomic disruptions.
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Since 2020, Bitcoin has shown substantial outperformance against the S&P 500 in US dollar terms when measured over multi-year horizons. The catch is that this outperformance comes packaged with drawdowns that would test the resolve of even the most committed long-term holder. A 50% decline from peak is not a theoretical risk. It is the current reality.
What the session signals for positioning
The current price range also sits at an interesting psychological level. Trading around $64,400 to $64,500 puts Bitcoin roughly at the midpoint of its 2025 range before the October breakout that carried it to $126,000.
Inflation dynamics and interest rate expectations continue to shape both markets. The S&P 500’s broader strength in 2026, punctuated by sessions like this one where profit-taking creates brief dips, reflects an equity market that remains fundamentally supported by economic conditions.