Via chathamhouse.org
Mexico considers tougher trade rules for China amid US talks
Mexico is weighing new import restrictions and higher tariffs on Chinese goods as it navigates pressure from Washington over transshipment concerns
Mexico is preparing to ratchet up trade restrictions on selected Chinese products while raising existing import taxes on others, a move that sits squarely at the intersection of North American trade politics and the broader US-China economic standoff.
What Mexico already did, and what comes next
Mexico’s tariff overhaul is already substantial. The increases that kicked in at the start of 2026 cover roughly 1,463 tariff lines, about 12% of Mexico’s entire tariff schedule. Most of the new rates land between 20% and 35%, though some categories reach as high as 50%.
The affected goods span automotive parts, electronics, textiles, steel, and consumer products. In dollar terms, the tariff changes touch approximately $52 billion in annual imports, or 8.6% of Mexico’s total import bill.
The legislation passed Mexico’s Senate with overwhelming support, clearing on a 76-5 vote after President Claudia Sheinbaum proposed the measures in September 2025.
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The US pressure cooker
Washington has long suspected that Chinese manufacturers use Mexico as a backdoor into the US market. The logic is straightforward: ship components or finished goods to Mexico, do minimal processing, then export them northward under the more favorable terms of the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement.
China pushes back
Beijing has not taken the tariff increases quietly. China initiated a trade barrier investigation in September 2025 and formally labeled Mexico’s tariffs as trade barriers in March 2026. The two countries held their first face-to-face meeting on the issue in February 2026, and Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard has confirmed that additional high-level talks with China are planned throughout 2026. Ebrard has framed these discussions as aimed at de-escalating tensions and protecting supply chain stability.