Earn with Nexo
25m Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz, Bitcoin steady at $75K amid eased tensions
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
25m Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz, Bitcoin steady at $75K amid eased tensions
▲ Bitcoin price in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 25m)
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price on april 24
1 article
Developing
100%
▲100¢
1h Bitcoin set for best month in a year with $5B USDT liquidity boost
YES ▲12¢
Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation
1 article
Developing
78%
▲12¢
30m Senate Banking Committee to vote on Kevin Warsh’s Fed chair nomination Wednesday
NO ▲2¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027
1 article
· 2h ago
91%
▼2¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
2h Europe braces for prolonged Ukraine war with no ceasefire strategy
NO ▲2¢
US-Iran peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
7%
▼2¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 2% FLAT
✓ 32h US envoys travel to Pakistan for Iran talks amid peace deal speculation
YES ▲2¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
6%
▲2¢
3h EU sanctions to target Russian condensate imports from Yamal LNG by 2027
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
16%
▼1¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 2% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 16% FLAT
20m Turkey considers demining Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran nuclear talks
YES ▲1¢
MegaETH token launch predictions
1 article
Developing
92%
▲1¢
⚡ MegaETH token launch timeline 100% FLAT
54m MegaETH token generation event set for April 30 with Coinbase pre-listing
YES ▲1¢
USD.AI FDV predictions
1 article
Developing
92%
▲1¢
1h AWS integrates x402 protocol for crypto payments in cloud services
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
16%
▼1¢
⚡ Countries sending warships through hormuz 2% FLAT
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 2% FLAT
1h Iran bars Israeli ships from Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates
1 article
· 3h ago
6%
▲1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 5% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 5% FLAT
✓ 63h Iran’s FM in Pakistan for talks as US envoys prepare to arrive
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Countries conducting military action against Iran 1% FLAT
3m US detains Iranian ships amid uncertain Pakistan negotiations
15m Iran resumes Tehran flights after US-Israel strikes, signaling stability
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
5m Israel, Lebanon hold US-mediated talks amid Hezbollah tensions
1h Lebanon to disarm Hezbollah, negotiate with Israel independently of Iran
Likely YES
ECB interest rates in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
0%
⚡ ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026 0% FLAT
2m IMF meetings highlight Ukraine aid, oil tops $100 amid Middle East conflict
3h Middle East conflict impacts ECB rate expectations, Bitcoin price remains stable
Likely NO
Largest company by june
1 article
Developing
99.6%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap on april 30 100% FLAT
9m Nvidia poised to be largest company by market cap amid AI demand, geopolitical ease
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
Developing
11%
▼0¢
⚡ US acquisition of Iranian enriched uranium 11% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 11% FLAT
12m Tether freezes $344M USDT linked to Iran amid sanctions crackdown
48m Iraq rejects Iran’s mediation request in US-Iran talks, impacting market dynamics
Likely NO
Dublin central by-election 2026
1 article
Developing
50%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out prediction markets 50% FLAT
✓ 216m Starmer faces leadership scrutiny after Scotland and Wales election ‘shambles’
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
64%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 64% FLAT
✓ 218m Iran delivers demands to US via Pakistan amid Hormuz blockade tensions
1h US delegation arrives in Islamabad for ceasefire talks with Iran
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
23m Iran tensions impact Bitcoin, crude oil markets amid geopolitical uncertainty
Likely NO
Trump's Iranian demands
1 article
Developing
11%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 11% FLAT
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
24m Trump pushes US firms for Gulf reconstruction amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Iran military action
2 articles
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
✓ 226m Armed groups launch coordinated attacks across Mali, targeting capital and airport
✓ 41h Iran warns of retaliation against US naval blockade amid rising tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions april 20-26 0% FLAT
27m Bitcoin rebounds to $78.7K as US-Iran tensions ease
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
✓ 253m Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon kill 4 civilians, breach ceasefire
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
56m Gulf energy attacks disrupt supply, crude oil market remains stable
2h Strait of Hormuz closure spikes oil prices amid US-Iran conflict
Likely NO
XRP price in april
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h 35M XRP leaves exchanges, potential rally signal
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions april 20-26
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Fed holds rates steady amid rising inflation, US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h VTB Bank predicts Bitcoin to hit $250K, market remains skeptical
Likely NO
Best Chinese AI company by april 2026
2 articles
Developing
72%
▼0¢
1h Trump administration targets Chinese firms exploiting US AI models
3h White House targets AI theft by Chinese firms, impacting Alibaba’s AI prospects
Likely NO
MegaETH market cap after launch
1 article
Developing
92%
▼0¢
⚡ MegaETH token launch 100% FLAT
1h MegaETH token generation event set for month-end amid market anticipation
Likely NO
Peru presidential election first round - 4th place
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Peru presidential election 2026 candidates 3% FLAT
1h Roberto Sánchez mobilizes protests in Peru against 2026 election results
Likely NO
XRP price april 13-19
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Senate gridlock on CLARITY Act dims XRP’s April $2.6 prospects
Likely NO
Next prime minister of slovenia
1 article
· 2h ago
98%
▼0¢
2h Slovenia’s president declines to propose PM candidate amid coalition impasse
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
2h Israeli army warns 58 Lebanese villages amid ongoing military operations
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
2h Ukraine ready for peace talks with Russia in Azerbaijan, awaits Moscow’s response
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
✓ 22h Iran Air resumes Tehran-Mashhad flights after 56-day suspension
Likely NO
Iran military action against countries
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
2h Israeli drone strike kills alleged Hezbollah agent in southern Lebanon
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium
1 article
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
2h Iran positions missile launchers near US forces amid nuclear tensions
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
3h Iran sends first Hajj teams to Medina amid Saudi normalization efforts
Likely NO
Countries sending warships through hormuz
1 article
· 3h ago
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 16% FLAT
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 2% FLAT
✓ 23h Iran seizes two ships, Strait of Hormuz traffic declines
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi enter Iran
1 article
Developing
7%
just now Indonesian UN peacekeeper killed in Lebanon amid ongoing hostilities
Likely NO
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
2 articles
Developing
4%
1m Iran lays mines in Strait of Hormuz again, Trump orders boat destruction
✓ 22h US Navy deploys drones to clear mines in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran blockade