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45m Ethereum SuperTrend flips buy, but $3,000 target remains unlikely by April 26
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
45m Ethereum SuperTrend flips buy, but $3,000 target remains unlikely by April 26
▲ Ethereum price hit in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 45m)
NO ▲3¢
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
Developing
7%
▼3¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 10% FLAT
1h Trump’s uranium seizure plan dims prospects for Iran nuclear deal by April 30
NO ▲3¢
Crude oil price predictions by end of june
1 article
Developing
7%
▼3¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 10% FLAT
1h US Navy blockade of Hormuz boosts US energy exports amid oil supply disruption
NO ▲2¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼2¢
⚡ Who will meet with Iran by april 30 2% FLAT
23m Iranian foreign minister meets Pakistan’s army chief in Islamabad for peace talks
✓ 61h Iranian foreign minister leaves Pakistan without US meeting
YES ▲2¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
Developing
8%
▲2¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 6% FLAT
1h Iran sticks with mediated talks, rejects direct US negotiations
1h Iranian, US officials head to Pakistan amid potential diplomatic talks
NO ▲1¢
Warships through the strait of hormuz
2 articles
Developing
61%
▼1¢
38m Sanctioned ships pass through Strait of Hormuz despite US blockade
✓ 22h Macron pushes to reopen Strait of Hormuz amid energy shortage warnings
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
1 article
Developing
8%
▲1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 7% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates 0% FLAT
✓ 543m Iran-Pakistan talks end without progress, US-Iran meeting unlikely by April 26
YES ▲1¢
Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation
1 article
Developing
85%
▲1¢
1h Kevin Warsh’s Fed chair nomination advances as Powell investigation ends
NO ▲1¢
Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april
1 article
Developing
6%
▼1¢
1h Iran accuses US, Israel of inciting unrest, dims hopes for sanction relief
NO ▲1¢
Next UK prime minister in 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
48%
▼1¢
⚡ Starmer out prediction markets 49% FLAT
2h Reform UK, Greens threaten Labour’s control in London ahead of May 7 elections
NO ▲1¢
US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium
2 articles
· 2h ago
5%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran uranium surrender 5% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 6% FLAT
2h Iran holds 11-ton uranium stockpile, enough for 100 nuclear weapons
2h US-Israeli strikes damage Iran’s nuclear facilities, uranium stockpile intact
NO ▲1¢
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
1 article
· 2h ago
16%
▼1¢
2h Germany to send minesweeper to Mediterranean for Hormuz mission prep
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 6% FLAT
1h Bolton skepticism dims US-Iran peace deal prospects by April 30
Likely NO
Iran coup attempt
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
✓ 21h Iranian officials evacuated from Pakistan under military escort
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
Developing
3%
just now USS Rafael Peralta confronts Iranian vessel amid US naval blockade
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
4 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
5m Israeli airstrikes hit southern Lebanon, raising 2026 ceasefire questions
1h Israeli forces kill over 15 Hezbollah members in southern Lebanon amid tensions
1h Hezbollah releases combat footage amid ceasefire violations with Israel
Likely NO
Countries conducting military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 100% FLAT
6m Iran diplomat’s return to Islamabad may reignite US-Iran ceasefire talks
Likely NO
Next CEO of apple
2 articles
Developing
93%
▼0¢
11m John Ternus confirmed as Apple’s next CEO, focusing on hardware strategy
1h John Ternus confirmed as Apple’s next CEO, succeeding Tim Cook
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
12m Analyst: Bitcoin falling to $40,000 would be ‘near-unprecedented’ event
Likely NO
Largest company predictions for june
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by june 92% FLAT
35m AMD market cap surpasses $500B for first time
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
58m US oil exports rise amid Israel-Iran conflict, shifting global supply patterns
1h Oil investors exit at record pace with $900M outflows in April
1h Tanker ETF surges 600% amid US-Iran conflict and rising shipping rates
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
✓ 258m Iran presents demands after Islamabad talks, eyes US ceasefire extension
Likely NO
Trump and putin meeting locations
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h EU targets Russia’s energy, finance in 20th sanctions package
Likely NO
Military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against countries 100% FLAT
1h US bases in Middle East suffered more damage than reported: NBC
Likely NO
Netanyahu's tenure
1 article
Developing
12%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
1h Thousands in Israel choose jail over military service, pressure builds on Netanyahu
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
2 articles
Developing
11%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
1h Yergin warns Strait of Hormuz crisis could be largest energy disruption ever
✓ 22h Strait of Hormuz disruption fails to spike oil demand, traders warn of shakeup
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Iran conflict impacts crude oil contracts amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
Developing
12%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi enter Iran 6% FLAT
⚡ Iran control and regime fall 0% FLAT
1h Ali Larijani assassination shakes Iran leadership markets, uncertainty rises
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
✓ 22h Strait of Hormuz blockade threatens oil supply, market skeptical of price spike
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
2h Macron’s EU defense pledge reinforces NATO, US withdrawal odds drop
Likely NO
Trump insult prediction market
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Who will Trump publicly insult by april 30? 100% FLAT
2h Trump may insult Tucker Carlson by April 30 as prediction markets hold steady
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
5 articles
Developing
100%
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
4m Israeli raid in southern Lebanon tests Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire durability
15m Israel bombs Lebanon amid ceasefire, citing Hezbollah rocket attacks
49m Drone infiltration in Israel’s Galilee amid Hezbollah tensions
Likely NO
Crypto hack predictions for 2023
1 article
· 2h ago
97%
▼0¢
2h Arbitrum freezes $70M in funds linked to North Korea’s Lazarus Group hack
Likely NO
US escorts in hormuz
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
✓ 22h USS George H.W. Bush enters Indian Ocean, three US carriers in Middle East
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap in april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in april 100% FLAT
⚡ Largest company predictions for june 92% FLAT
2h Nvidia leads market cap race as Microsoft, Apple stocks decline