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57m Bitcoin rally stalls amid Japanese inflation and Iran tensions
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
57m Bitcoin rally stalls amid Japanese inflation and Iran tensions
▲ Bitcoin price predictions in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 57m)
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 24: 0% FLAT
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price predictions in april
1 article
Developing
100%
▲100¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 24 0% FLAT
57m 
YES ▲7¢
Russia entry into kupiansk-vuzlovyi
1 article
· 2h ago
99.9%
▲7¢
⚡ Russia enter rai-oleksandrivka 100% FLAT
2h Russian attack on Ukraine kills seven, wounds dozens in Kharkiv region
NO ▲2¢
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
Developing
16%
▼2¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 18% FLAT
⚡ Iranian demands Trump will agree to in april 7% FLAT
1h Iran halts US talks until demands met, ceasefire collapse looms
NO ▲2¢
Kharg island oil terminal attack
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼2¢
⚡ Kharg island control 4% FLAT
⚡ Meetings with Iran by april 30 2% FLAT
2h Yuri supertanker halts in Hormuz amid US naval blockade
NO ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼2¢
2h IRGC declares control of Strait of Hormuz as key strategy in US conflict
YES ▲1¢
Kash patel out by date
1 article
Developing
10%
▲1¢
✓ 221m Trump plans to fire FBI Director Kash Patel amid negative media coverage
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran permanent peace deal
5 articles
Developing
4%
▲1¢
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 56% FLAT
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 7% FLAT
35m Trump cancels envoy trip to Pakistan, impacting US-Iran peace prospects
✓ 21h Trump open to talks with Iran’s new leaders, no ceasefire commitment yet
✓ 21h Trump reveals new Iran offer after canceling Pakistan meeting
YES ▲1¢
US withdrawal from NATO
1 article
Developing
5%
▲1¢
45m EU explores defense options outside NATO amid US withdrawal concerns
YES ▲1¢
Iran surrender enriched uranium
1 article
Developing
3%
▲1¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump will agree to in april 7% FLAT
⚡ Iran enriched uranium surrender 2% FLAT
1h Pakistan committed to mediating US-Iran conflict after talks collapse
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
Developing
4%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 3% FLAT
1h Trump cancels US delegation trip, dims US-Iran diplomatic meeting prospects
2h Iran questions US diplomacy commitment, no meeting likely by June 30
YES ▲1¢
Iran surrender enriched uranium stockpile
1 article
Developing
3%
▲1¢
1h NYC mayor questions $500M daily military spend amid grocery store debate
YES ▲1¢
Trump posts week of april 6, 2023
1 article
Developing
4%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
1h Trump cancels Iran trip, impacting Reza Pahlavi entry odds
YES ▲1¢
Trump insult prediction market
2 articles
· 2h ago
8%
▲1¢
2h Trump rules out ceasefire renewal without Iranian concessions
2h Tucker Carlson criticizes Trump, Polymarket sees 100% chance of Trump insult
Likely NO
Bitcoin price in april
1 article
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 26 100% FLAT
1h ARK Invest: Bitcoin conviction buyers increase holdings 69% in Q1 despite drop
Likely NO
Netanyahu's tenure
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
1h Tel Aviv protests demand Netanyahu resignation amid security failures
2h Funerals held in Gaza for pregnant woman, children killed in Israeli attack
Likely NO
Top AI model by june 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
32%
▼0¢
2h Google unveils new TPU chips to challenge Nvidia in AI hardware race
Likely NO
Karoline leavitt's press briefing statements
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran surrender enriched uranium 2% FLAT
✓ 32h Pakistan offers to mediate in US-Iran conflict amid nuclear tensions
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
· 2h ago
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi entering Iran 6% FLAT
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
2h Israeli Chief of Staff urges US to green-light Iran military action
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
2h Iran FM Araghchi, Pakistan PM Sharif meet to advance US-Iran talks
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
2h Israel army chief advises US on potential Iran conflict restart
Likely NO
US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h US fails to seize Iran’s enriched uranium, complicating negotiations before May 31
Likely NO
Iran nuclear agreement
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran's uranium stockpile surrender 3% FLAT
2h Iranian foreign minister visits Oman amid nuclear talks
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
2 articles
Developing
9%
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
just now Unverified report: Iranian F-5 bombed US base in Kuwait, bypassing defenses
✓ 28m Iran warns US against renewed aggression amid conflict fears
Likely NO
Iran military action by april 30
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
6m Iran delegation returns to Tehran for consultations amid frozen market
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 24 100% FLAT
30m BlackRock clients buy $167M in Bitcoin amid US-Iran tensions
1h Hyperliquid whale shorts Bitcoin, nets $5.8M as price falls to $77,480
Likely NO
Iranian demands Trump agreement
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 3% FLAT
36m Trump’s “Anaconda Plan” targets Iran with naval blockade, sanctions
✓ 41h Trump dismisses Iran proposal, dims April sanction relief prospects
Likely NO
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 100% FLAT
48m Iran firm on uranium enrichment demands, agreement unlikely by April 30
✓ 21h Trump reaffirms US stance against Iran nuclear weapons, market odds plummet
Likely NO
Largest company predictions for june
1 article
Developing
99.7%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in april 2026 100% FLAT
59m Nvidia poised to become largest company by market cap amid AI stock surge
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
59m Israel demands Hezbollah respect Lebanon ceasefire amid ongoing violations
✓ 31h Netanyahu orders strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon, ceasefire at risk
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
1h Israeli forces demolish buildings in Khiyam amid frozen ceasefire markets
2h Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon kill six, threaten Hezbollah ceasefire
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire extension
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Trump’s comment on US-Iran ceasefire extension sends market YES
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Iran war disrupts oil flows, crude hits $90 target by June
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 100% FLAT
✓ 51h Iran’s foreign minister returns to Pakistan amid active ceasefire diplomacy
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
1h Trump highlights Iranian leadership infighting, raising opposition profile
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price prediction for 2026 4% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price on april 26 0% FLAT
1h Bitcoin, Solana, XRP ETFs see inflows; Ethereum faces $75.9M outflow
Likely NO
Largest company by june
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap 92% FLAT
1h Nvidia stock hits all-time high amid easing US-China trade tensions
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
2h Brent crude tops $106 amid US-Iran tensions in Strait of Hormuz