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1h Bitcoin leads $1.2B weekly inflow into crypto funds amid ETF demand
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
1h Bitcoin leads $1.2B weekly inflow into crypto funds amid ETF demand
▲ Bitcoin price in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 1h)
YES ▲2¢
Best Chinese AI company by april 2026
1 article
Developing
79%
▲2¢
✓ 250m China orders Meta to unwind $2.5B Manus AI acquisition on security grounds
NO ▲1¢
Iranian regime fall
1 article
Developing
8%
▼1¢
1h Tehran loses 18.5M gallons of fuel in tank destruction, governor reports
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
1h US-Israeli strikes on Iran complicate nuclear deal prospects before April 30
Likely NO
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h US-Iran peace talks stall with uranium enrichment unresolved
Likely NO
Iranian demands Trump will agree to
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
1h Iran claims permanent control over Strait of Hormuz under Ayatollah’s orders
Likely NO
Solana price predictions in april
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
✓ 21h AAVE integrates with Solana via Sunrise, boosting DeFi liquidity
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 26 100% FLAT
✓ 21h Bitcoin fork “eCash” to redistribute Satoshi’s 1.1M BTC in 2026
Likely NO
Fed decisions from march to june
1 article
Developing
85%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision in july 2026 84% FLAT
1h Trump delays Iran strikes, easing geopolitical pressure on Fed policy decisions
Likely NO
Trump Iran demands (april)
1 article
Developing
24%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump will agree to in april 3% FLAT
✓ 31h EU firm on Iran sanctions, Trump oil relief odds drop sharply
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in april 2026
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 56% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 16% FLAT
1h Bitcoin erases Hormuz reopening rallies as trader skepticism grows
Likely NO
Warships through the strait of hormuz
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
2h UK warship deployment odds plummet amid King Charles US visit
Likely NO
Military action against Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h Leaked Pentagon email reveals NATO tensions over Spain during Iran conflict
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
· 2h ago
12%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
2h Former Israeli PMs Bennett and Lapid merge parties to challenge Netanyahu
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
· 2h ago
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 16% FLAT
2h 20,000 sailors stranded as conflict shuts Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h ECB survey: firms’ short-term inflation expectations rise sharply
✓ 22h Strait of Hormuz crisis persists, Europe recession fears grow
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entering Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
7%
▼0¢
2h Israel deploys IDF troops, Iron Dome to UAE amid Iran conflict
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Bitcoin sees $1.2B inflows, trading at highest since February
Likely NO
USD.AI and predict.fun FDV launch
1 article
· 2h ago
96%
▼0¢
✓ 82h China blocks Meta’s $2B Manus acquisition, impacts AI market outlook
Likely NO
GPT-5.5 release dates
1 article
Developing
100%
⚡ GPT-5.5 release dates 100% FLAT
1m Musk, Altman trial may impact OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 release timeline
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
Developing
1%
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
✓ 32m Maersk warns of unpredictable security in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap in june
1 article
Developing
94%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company predictions for june 94% FLAT
3m Apple shares fall 1.7% amid US-China trade tensions, Nvidia market cap lead widens
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026 0% FLAT
9m EU energy bill surges $32B amid Iran conflict, inflation pressures persist
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
4 articles
Developing
57%
▼0¢
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 57% FLAT
10m Iranian tankers bypass US blockade, reach India via coastal routes
41m Iran proposes reopening Hormuz if US lifts port blockade
53m Iranian ships defy US blockade, navigate Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
11m Hezbollah refusal to disarm complicates Israel ceasefire prospects
✓ 22h Hezbollah leader vows to keep weapons, complicating ceasefire efforts
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
15m Iran backs Hezbollah, complicating Israel-Lebanon diplomacy prospects
✓ 31h Hezbollah’s call for internal dialogue complicates Israel-Lebanon talks
Likely NO
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 1% FLAT
✓ 218m Germany’s Merz confirms partial mining of Strait of Hormuz, impacting ship transit
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 2% FLAT
20m US-Iran peace deal odds plummet as diplomatic progress stalls
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
1 article
Developing
92%
▼0¢
21m Silver price forecast cut to $78/oz for 2026, $73.1/oz for 2027
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap
1 article
Developing
94%
▼0¢
25m Northland downgrades AMD, highlights Nvidia’s AI dominance
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 2% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
27m US-Iran talks collapse, ceasefire by April 30 unlikely
Likely NO
XRP price in april
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ XRP price in april 0% FLAT
33m Clarity Act stalled in Senate, XRP traders see slim odds for $2.6 April target
Likely NO
Iran surrender of enriched uranium stockpile
1 article
Developing
24%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april 3% FLAT
34m US sanctions Hengli Petrochemical over Iranian oil purchases
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran successfully targets ships by april 30 70% FLAT
35m Iran mines Strait of Hormuz, reroutes global shipping through national waters
2h Philippines warns against deploying crew to Gulf amid Strait of Hormuz risks
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in 2026 4% FLAT
39m Ethereum Foundation sells $33.5M ETH, retains $214.8M amid market skepticism
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
40m Iran conflict impacts Gulf currency strategies as Brent crude tops $120
2h Spain urges immediate ticket purchases as Iran conflict lifts oil prices
✓ 22h Europe accelerates renewables push amid Iran war energy disruption
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
42m Crude oil prices rise amid stalled Iran talks, Strait of Hormuz tensions
✓ 62h Oil prices jump $3 as US-Iran talks fail, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts supply
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO timing
1 article
Developing
92%
▼0¢
⚡ SpaceX IPO deadlines 69% FLAT
43m SpaceX $1.7T valuation questioned, IPO timing uncertain: Reuters
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 2% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 2% FLAT
46m Iran cites $200B damages, deepening US distrust amid nuclear deal talks
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
· 2h ago
7%
▼0¢
2h Iran unveils mural honoring leaders, signals leadership continuity