Prediction Markets

Brent crude tops $108 as US-Iran tensions escalate

NO ▲1¢ Iran successfully targets ships by april 30 1 article · 2h ago

79% ▼1¢

N▲1

Tehran condemns US seizure of Iranian oil tankers as piracy

NO ▲1¢ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 1 article · 4h ago

91% ▼1¢

N▲1

4h

GOP senators doubt Hegseth’s leadership amid Pentagon turmoil

NO ▲1¢ Crude oil price predictions for june 2023 1 article · 4h ago

0% ▼1¢

N▲1

✓ 24h

Brent crude nears $110 as US-Iran talks stall

Likely NO Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 2 articles Developing

5% ▼0¢

⚡ Bitcoin all time high predictions 3% FLAT

Y↑

6m

Bybit sees $593M in short liquidations as Bitcoin swings between $74K-$78K

N↑

1,139 Bitcoin worth $87.9M transferred to Kraken, hinting at potential sell-off

Likely NO Iran peace deals 1 article Developing

1% ▼0¢

⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT

N↑

10m

Trump skeptical of Iran peace proposal, traders doubt April 30 deal

Likely NO Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 1 article Developing

100% ▼0¢

⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT

N↑

12m

Halutzei HaBashan activists cross into Syria, Lebanon, straining Israel ties

Likely NO US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 6 articles Developing

1% ▼0¢

⚡ US-Iran peace deal 1% FLAT

⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT

Y↑

14m

Iran hardliners stall US peace talks, diplomatic progress falters

Y↑

18m

US warns businesses on Iranian airlines, sanctions possible

N↑

21m

White House rejects press negotiations with Iran, blocking near-term talks

Y▲2

Iran’s foreign trade contracts sharply amid US-Israel conflict

N↑

UK warns Iran against economic disruption amid US-Israeli tensions

Y↑

✓ 34h

US rejects Iran proposal, nuclear deal by April 30 unlikely

Likely NO US-Iran ceasefire end 1 article Developing

1% ▼0¢

⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT

N↑

36m

Trump doubts Iran deal as uranium enrichment talks stall

Likely NO Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 1 article Developing

100% ▼0¢

⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT

⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT

N↑

48m

IDF strikes over 20 Hezbollah targets in Lebanon amid ceasefire conditions

Likely NO Gulf state military action against Iran 1 article Developing

2% ▼0¢

N↑

50m

Kuwait to reopen airspace April 26, airlines resume flights after Iran war closure

Likely NO Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 2 articles Developing

100% ▼0¢

⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT

Y↑

Lebanese president condemns Hezbollah, pushes for Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire

N↑

Israel-Hezbollah conflict persists despite ceasefire market certainty

Likely NO Crypto FDV predictions after launch 1 article Developing

96% ▼0¢

N↑

✓ 21h

OpenAI misses targets, raising doubts on GPT-5.5 release timeline

Likely NO Bank of japan decision in april 2026 8 articles Developing

0% ▼0¢

N↑

✓ 31h

Yen gains as BOJ holds rates steady despite policy split

Y↑

✓ 21h

Iran turns to abandoned oil storage as US blockade cuts exports

Y↑

Bank of Japan projects economic slowdown for fiscal 2026 amid Middle East tensions

Y↑

Bank of Japan flags economic risks, traders eye potential policy shifts

N↑

BOJ inflation goals met, rate cut unlikely amid rising price risks

N↑

✓ 52h

Bank of Japan likely to hold rates amid inflation concerns

Y↑

Japan’s 40-year bond yield falls amid BOJ rate cut speculation

Y↑

✓ 34h

Japan signals potential forex intervention amid yen weakness and oil price impact

Likely NO Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran 1 article Developing

4% ▼0¢

⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 4% FLAT

⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT

N↑

Iranians rally in Tehran amid US-Israel-Iran tensions

Likely NO Iran military action against countries 1 article Developing

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

Ukrainian drone strikes ignite fire at Russia’s Tuapse oil refinery

Likely NO Bitcoin price predictions in april 2 articles Developing

96% ▼0¢

Y↑

Rep. Begich revives Bitcoin reserve bill as American Reserves Modernization Act

Y▲100

First LNG shipment through Hormuz signals possible Middle East de-escalation

Likely NO US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1 article Developing

1% ▼0¢

⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 25% FLAT

⚡ Iran's enriched uranium 1% FLAT

N↑

✓ 21h

US and Iran clash at UN over Tehran’s nuclear non-proliferation role

Likely NO What price will Bitcoin hit in april 2 articles · 2h ago

5% ▼0¢

⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT

N↑

✓ 22h

Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin to hit $125K by December amid war spending, deregulation

N↑

BlackRock’s Larry Fink predicts Bitcoin could hit $500K–$700K

Likely NO Fed rate cuts in 2026 1 article · 2h ago

39% ▼0¢

⚡ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 1% FLAT

N↑

Kevin Warsh Fed chair nomination faces Senate resistance, mid-May resolution likely

Likely NO Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 2 articles · 2h ago

1% ▼0¢

⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT

N↑

✓ 62h

Trump unlikely to accept Iran proposal, casting doubt on Hormuz blockade talks

N↑

✓ 32h

Iran strengthens Russia ties, complicating US-Iran nuclear deal talks

Likely NO Largest company by market cap 1 article · 2h ago

99.9% ▼0¢

⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions for april 2026 100% FLAT

⚡ Largest company predictions for june 92% FLAT

Y↑

✓ 22h

Nvidia surpasses Japan in MSCI ACWI weight, traders unfazed by market odds

Likely NO Ethereum price on april 25 1 article · 2h ago

3% ▼0¢

Y↑

Bitmine becomes largest ETH staker with 3.8M ETH, raising centralization concerns

Likely NO GPT-5.5 release dates 1 article · 3h ago

96% ▼0¢

⚡ GPT-5.5 release timing 100% FLAT

N↑

✓ 63h

OpenAI misses targets, but GPT-5.5 release timeline remains firm

Likely NO Bitcoin all time high by date 1 article · 3h ago

3% ▼0¢

Y↑

Bitcoin reaches new all-time high in 2026 amid IBIT options surge

Likely NO ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026 1 article · 3h ago

0% ▼0¢

N↑

Kazimir hints at possible ECB rate hike amid Iran conflict pressures

Likely NO SpaceX IPO timing 1 article · 3h ago

92% ▼0¢

N↑

Tech stocks hit bear territory as US-Iran tensions rise, Nvidia remains strong

Likely NO Crypto hack predictions for 2023 1 article · 3h ago

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

Lazarus Group linked to 10 crypto protocol exploits in past week

Likely NO Trump's end of military operations against Iran 1 article · 3h ago

8% ▼0¢

⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 16% FLAT

⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT

N↑

US sends third aircraft carrier as Iran talks collapse, diplomatic freeze looms

Likely NO Ethereum price prediction for 2026 1 article · 3h ago

4% ▼0¢

Y↑