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✓ 25h Fitch: Japan’s inflation may lead to further BOJ tightening
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 25h Fitch: Japan’s inflation may lead to further BOJ tightening
▲ Bank of japan decision in april 2026
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 5h)
YES ▲1¢
Trump Iran demands (april)
1 article
Developing
16%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1% FLAT
32m Rubio warns against Iran control of waterways, doubts US agreement by April 30
YES ▲1¢
Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april
1 article
Developing
3%
▲1¢
1h Hakeem Jeffries calls for ‘maximum warfare’ before Trump assassination attempt
YES ▲1¢
Iran leadership change
1 article
Developing
2%
▲1¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi enter Iran 6% FLAT
1h Rumors swirl over Mojtaba Khamenei’s death, Iran leadership change uncertain
YES ▲1¢
Putin meeting with Iranian officials
1 article
· 2h ago
16%
▲1¢
2h Putin confirms strategic partnership with Iran in Saint Petersburg meeting
NO ▲1¢
MegaETH token launch predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
97%
▼1¢
4h MegaETH to launch points system ahead of April 2026 token event
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
Developing
16%
▼0¢
7m US intelligence assesses Iran’s potential response to Trump victory claim
1h Trump misrepresents Merz on Iran nukes, US-Iran deal odds plummet
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
14m US blockade traps 20+ vessels at Chah Bahar, Iran maritime action likely
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
4 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
16m Tehran-Moscow flights resume, signaling de-escalation amid Iran ceasefire
✓ 24h Tehran-Moscow flights resume after US-Israeli strikes suspension
4h US-Iran diplomatic freeze persists, regime change seen as unlikely
Likely NO
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
19m Iran uranium enrichment standoff persists as April 30 deadline looms
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
29m Bitcoin price eyes $82K rally amid stablecoin inflows, $60K dip less likely
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's departure from power 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
1h Herzog’s legal advisor opens plea deal talks in Netanyahu corruption trial
Likely NO
Netanyahu's tenure
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
1h Israel extends state of emergency to May 7 amid Lebanon shelling
✓ 24h Ultra-Orthodox protests in Israel challenge Netanyahu’s coalition stability
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Iran conflict worsens Somalia’s malnutrition crisis, raises food costs
4h Iran allows Japanese supertanker through Strait of Hormuz, easing supply fears
4h Qatar warns Iran against using it as ‘political punching bag’ amid talks
Likely NO
XRP price april 13-19
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Blockchain Association pushes to remove reputation risk from bank supervision
Likely NO
Pharos public sale commitments
1 article
Developing
97%
▼0¢
1h Kyriba integrates USDC, Circle into treasury platform amid stablecoin regulation
Likely NO
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
Developing
75%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 0% FLAT
1h China condemns US sanctions on refineries linked to Iranian crude
Likely NO
Starmer out timing predictions
1 article
Developing
39%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out prediction markets 38% FLAT
✓ 31h UK MPs reject probe into Mandelson claims, shoring up Starmer’s position
Likely NO
ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h ECB raises 2026 inflation forecast amid energy price surge
Likely NO
Bulgarian parliamentary election outcomes
1 article
Developing
97%
▼0¢
1h Rumen Radev’s Progressive Bulgaria wins parliamentary majority
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
20%
▼0¢
1h Iran warns of subsea cable threats in Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
Likely NO
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT
✓ 22h Trump meets security officials as Iran diplomacy stalls
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
· 2h ago
99%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 1 99% FLAT
2h Crypto ETPs attract $1.2B inflows, Bitcoin leads with $932.5M
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
2 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on april 28 100% FLAT
✓ 22h BitMine’s ether holdings surpass 5M after $241.4M purchase
4h Bitcoin chatter rises with endorsements, legislative push; June market tepid
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
2h IDF destroys Hezbollah’s largest tunnel network amid ceasefire stability
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
2h Netanyahu’s stance dims hopes for Israel-Iran peace deal by April 30
Likely NO
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
1 article
· 3h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
3h US confirms partial reopening of Strait of Hormuz, easing oil supply fears
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap in april
1 article
· 3h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
3h Alphabet’s $175B-$185B AI capex plan doubles prior levels amid antitrust scrutiny
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
2 articles
· 3h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 60% FLAT
3h US reviews Iran proposal as Israel-Iran peace talks stall
✓ 34h Tehran’s Hormuz proposal hints at de-escalation amid low US-Iran meeting odds
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Hezbollah claims strike on Israeli tank in south Lebanon amid ceasefire tension
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Russia to recruit 18,500 foreign fighters by 2026, signals prolonged conflict
Likely NO
XRP price in april
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h SEC approves XRP for fast-tracked trust shares, boosting institutional appeal
Likely NO
Iran coup attempt
1 article
· 4h ago
20%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, challenges navigation rights
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h $500M USDC minted on Solana amid stablecoin surge
Likely NO
ECB interest rates in april 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
1%
▼0¢
4h Iran conflict threatens over half of Middle East urea production
Likely NO
Claude 5 release dates
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Anthropic withholds Claude Mythos, sparking AI community debate
Likely NO
US-Iran peace deal
1 article
· 4h ago
1%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Iran to submit revised peace proposal amid cautious market response
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
2 articles
· 4h ago
2%
▼0¢
4h Ukraine strikes Russian oil refinery, cutting output by 300K-400K barrels per day
4h Oil executives meet US officials as Strait of Hormuz tensions rise
Likely NO
Stablecoins depeg before 2027
1 article
· 4h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Crypto hack predictions for 2023 100% FLAT
4h Tether freezes $344M USDT amid KelpDAO exploit fallout, USDC depeg odds steady
Likely NO
Next UK prime minister in 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
39%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out prediction markets 38% FLAT
4h Christopher Harborne donates £24M to Reform UK, boosting financial clout