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4h China condemns US sanctions on refineries linked to Iranian crude
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
4h China condemns US sanctions on refineries linked to Iranian crude
▼ Crude oil price by end of june
72% (was 75%, ▼3¢ in 4h)
⚡ Trump visit to China: 0% FLAT
NO ▲3¢
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
· 4h ago
72%
▼3¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 0% FLAT
4h 
YES ▲2¢
Trump Iran demands (april)
1 article
· 3h ago
17%
▲2¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1% FLAT
3h Rubio warns against Iran control of waterways, doubts US agreement by April 30
NO ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Gulf state military action against Iran 2% FLAT
34m Israel deploys Iron Dome, troops to UAE amid Iran conflict
5h Netanyahu’s stance dims hopes for Israel-Iran peace deal by April 30
YES ▲1¢
Iran successfully targets ships by april 30
1 article
Developing
87%
▲1¢
1h Russian missile strike spills 6,000 tons of sunflower oil into Black Sea
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
3 articles
Developing
17%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 16% FLAT
1h Iran hardliners clash over US nuclear talks as deal hopes fade
2h US intelligence assesses Iran’s potential response to Trump victory claim
4h Trump misrepresents Merz on Iran nukes, US-Iran deal odds plummet
NO ▲1¢
Starmer out timing predictions
2 articles
· 2h ago
66%
▼1¢
✓ 22h UK MPs reject probe into PM Starmer over Mandelson appointment
✓ 34h UK MPs reject probe into Mandelson claims, shoring up Starmer’s position
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
· 3h ago
87%
▲1¢
3h US blockade traps 20+ vessels at Chah Bahar, Iran maritime action likely
YES ▲1¢
Pharos public sale commitments
1 article
· 4h ago
98%
▲1¢
4h Kyriba integrates USDC, Circle into treasury platform amid stablecoin regulation
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
· 4h ago
19%
▼1¢
4h Iran warns of subsea cable threats in Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
17%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 16% FLAT
⚡ Putin meeting with Iranian officials 100% FLAT
6m Iran blames US for failed peace talks during Putin visit
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 30 0% FLAT
15m Iran achieves atomic power status amid US-Israeli tensions
2h US natural gas exports maxed out as Strait of Hormuz closure impacts supply
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
51m Bitmine amasses $13.3B Ethereum treasury, aims for 5% supply control
✓ 24h BitMine’s ether holdings surpass 5M after $241.4M purchase
Likely NO
Iran coup attempt
1 article
Developing
19%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 18% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 60% FLAT
58m Iran proposes military control of Strait of Hormuz, raising tensions
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h IDF strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon, ceasefire credibility strained
2h Contractor linked to Israeli Defense Ministry killed in Lebanon
6h Hezbollah claims strike on Israeli tank in south Lebanon amid ceasefire tension
Likely NO
China annual GDP growth 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h China property prices hit 20-year low, impacting GDP growth forecasts
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions in april
1 article
Developing
92%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in june 92% FLAT
✓ 21h Tech selloff raises AI concerns, Nvidia market cap odds dip
Likely NO
Fed decision in april 2026
1 article
Developing
86%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision in july 2026 86% FLAT
1h Middle East tensions keep central banks cautious on rate cuts amid inflation
Likely NO
Iran military action against countries
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Hezbollah upgrades drones with fiber-optic tech, impacting Israel ceasefire outlook
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
1 article
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
2h Strategy buys 3,273 Bitcoin for $255M amid Strait of Hormuz crisis
Likely NO
Putin meeting with Iranian officials
2 articles
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
2h Putin meets Iranian officials, confirming diplomatic ties without military shift
4h Putin confirms strategic partnership with Iran in Saint Petersburg meeting
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts in 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
43%
▼0¢
2h Fed likely to hold rates steady despite leadership change, oil prices rise
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
3 articles
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
✓ 22h Trump considers Iranian offer to reopen Strait of Hormuz, easing oil tensions
4h Iran conflict worsens Somalia’s malnutrition crisis, raises food costs
6h Iran allows Japanese supertanker through Strait of Hormuz, easing supply fears
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
2 articles
· 2h ago
8%
▼0¢
2h Iran internet blackout hits 60 days, deepens economic disruption
3h Tehran-Moscow flights resume, signaling de-escalation amid Iran ceasefire
Likely NO
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Iran uranium enrichment standoff persists as April 30 deadline looms
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
5%
▼0¢
3h Bitcoin price eyes $82K rally amid stablecoin inflows, $60K dip less likely
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
· 3h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's departure from power 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
3h Herzog’s legal advisor opens plea deal talks in Netanyahu corruption trial
Likely NO
Netanyahu's tenure
1 article
· 3h ago
6%
▼0¢
3h Israel extends state of emergency to May 7 amid Lebanon shelling
Likely NO
XRP price april 13-19
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Blockchain Association pushes to remove reputation risk from bank supervision
Likely NO
Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april
1 article
· 4h ago
2%
▼0¢
4h Hakeem Jeffries calls for ‘maximum warfare’ before Trump assassination attempt
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 4h ago
15%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi enter Iran 6% FLAT
4h Rumors swirl over Mojtaba Khamenei’s death, Iran leadership change uncertain
Likely NO
ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
0%
▼0¢
4h ECB raises 2026 inflation forecast amid energy price surge
Likely NO
Bulgarian parliamentary election outcomes
1 article
· 4h ago
97%
▼0¢
4h Rumen Radev’s Progressive Bulgaria wins parliamentary majority
Likely NO
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
· 4h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT
✓ 24h Trump meets security officials as Iran diplomacy stalls
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
· 4h ago
99%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 1 99% FLAT
4h Crypto ETPs attract $1.2B inflows, Bitcoin leads with $932.5M
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
5h IDF destroys Hezbollah’s largest tunnel network amid ceasefire stability
Likely NO
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
1 article
· 6h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
6h US confirms partial reopening of Strait of Hormuz, easing oil supply fears
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap in april
1 article
· 6h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
6h Alphabet’s $175B-$185B AI capex plan doubles prior levels amid antitrust scrutiny
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
· 6h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 60% FLAT
6h US reviews Iran proposal as Israel-Iran peace talks stall