Trump calls Candace Owens “extremely low IQ,” traders eye Carlson insult

President Trump has escalated his feud with Candace Owens by calling her an “extremely low IQ individual.” The market for Trump publicly insulting Tucker Carlson by April 30 sits at 100% YES.

Trump’s attack on Owens, once a vocal Trump supporter, has traders treating a public insult toward Carlson as a foregone conclusion. All sub-markets for Trump publicly insulting Tucker Carlson by April 30 are at 100% YES. The Owens feud fits a pattern of Trump turning on former allies, which is why traders see Carlson as a likely target.

With six days remaining, the market shows no movement from 100%. Trump’s recent attacks on former supporters are the main driver. No trading volume has been reported, consistent with a market where the outcome is already priced as certain.

At 100% YES, this market offers no payout opportunity. The real question is what Trump’s willingness to publicly attack figures from his own circle means for political relationships going forward. Traders speculating on Trump’s behavior may find more value in adjacent markets where outcomes are less settled.

Watch Trump’s upcoming public appearances and social media posts. Any mention of Carlson, Megyn Kelly, or Viktor Orbán could confirm or complicate the picture.

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