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✓ 21h Iran to charge ships in rial at Strait of Hormuz, complicating transit
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 21h Iran to charge ships in rial at Strait of Hormuz, complicating transit
▼ Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
18% (was 21%, ▼3¢ in 1h)
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic: 20% FLAT
NO ▲3¢
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
1 article
Developing
18%
▼3¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 20% FLAT
✓ 21h 
NO ▲2¢
Warships through the strait of hormuz
1 article
Developing
18%
▼2¢
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 1% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 20% FLAT
1h UN session highlights threats to Strait of Hormuz, UK warship deployment unlikely
YES ▲1¢
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
Developing
16%
▲1¢
✓ 248m German chancellor criticizes US strategy in Iran conflict
NO ▲1¢
Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation
1 article
Developing
91%
▼1¢
1h Senate Banking Committee to vote on Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair April 29
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027
1 article
Developing
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 2026 5% FLAT
1h Ukraine disrupts Russian-linked network planning EU attacks
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran 6% FLAT
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% FLAT
21m Iran protests, economic woes fuel speculation on regime stability
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
✓ 252m Lebanon-Israel talks set for April 23 in Washington amid public division
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% FLAT
54m Crypto funds see $1.2B inflow, Bitcoin hits $155B AUM
2h FBI director’s pro-Bitcoin remarks at Bitcoin 2026 signal supportive policy
Likely NO
Iranian demands Trump agreement
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran nuclear agreement 1% FLAT
55m Trump hints at “gift” on seized ship, escalating US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 58% FLAT
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 1% FLAT
56m UK opposes US blockade of Iranian ports, complicating resolution timeline
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h IDF limits gatherings in northern Israel amid rising Hezbollah attacks
1h Israel’s top general warns of potential multi-front conflict by 2026
1h Israel warns Hezbollah amid ongoing ceasefire market stalemate
Likely YES
Bitcoin price on april 24
2 articles
Developing
5%
3m White House hints at potential Bitcoin reserve purchase, market remains steady
1h Analysts forecast gold at $4,916/oz by 2026, below recent peaks
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
25m Iran-US tensions fail to boost crude oil all-time high odds by April 30
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
25m Trump ends Pakistan talks, US-Iran ceasefire collapse seen as inevitable
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's Iranian demands 3% FLAT
✓ 629m US warns against Iranian airline ties, sanctions risk looms
46m Trump discusses new Iran proposal with security aides, impacting diplomatic odds
Likely NO
Trump insult prediction market
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
35m Trump demands Iran reopen Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday deadline
1h UK’s Starmer hints at military action in Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
✓ 31h Trump calls for Kimmel’s firing, prediction markets see insult as certain
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap
1 article
Developing
91%
▼0¢
✓ 237m Nvidia market cap surpasses Alphabet by $1T amid strong AI hardware demand
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
42m Iran’s Supreme Council meets as Pahlavi entry speculation grows
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
42m Bitcoin drops below $77,000 amid high-volume sell-offs, $71M liquidations
Likely NO
2026 midterms balance of power
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
44m Trump uses reconciliation to fund ICE, Border Patrol without Democrats
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
2 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 1% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
47m Trump weighs military action or talks as US-Iran ceasefire nears end
✓ 21h Iran prioritizes Strait of Hormuz reopening over nuclear talks
Likely NO
Largest company by june
2 articles
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap on april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ Largest company by market cap in april 100% FLAT
1h Nvidia and semiconductor stocks hit all-time highs amid AI demand surge
✓ 22h Nvidia stock hits record high, semiconductor sector sees 19th session of gains
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
1 article
Developing
96%
▼0¢
1h US policy shift promotes crypto innovation, USD.AI FDV tops $300M
Likely NO
Iran successfully targets ships by april 30
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
✓ 51h Iran condemns US tanker seizures as piracy amid rising tensions
Likely NO
Richest person on december 31, 2026
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
1h Musk wealth to rise $168B as SpaceX hits $800B valuation
Likely NO
Largest company predictions for june
1 article
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in april 2026 100% FLAT
✓ 21h Nvidia becomes largest company with $5.2T market cap
Likely NO
Ethereum price on april 25
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on april 24 100% FLAT
✓ 21h BitMine acquires 101,000 ETH amid $6.5B in unrealized losses
Likely NO
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 58% FLAT
1h Iran turns to Russia as US-Iran talks stall, meeting with Putin
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
1h California oil reserves dwindle, fueling West Coast price pressure
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
3 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
1h Rep. Begich revives bitcoin reserve bill to codify Trump order
✓ 21h US declared ‘crypto capital of the world’ by CFTC chair Mike Selig
2h Bitcoin dips below $77K amid US-Iran tensions, market cap down 1.8%
Likely NO
Starmer out timing predictions
1 article
Developing
69%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out prediction markets 39% FLAT
1h Speaker Hoyle’s Commons vote move adds pressure on UK PM Starmer
Likely NO
Best Chinese AI company by april 2026
1 article
Developing
83%
▼0¢
1h China asserts independence in AI race, eyes 15% market jump by April 2026
Likely NO
XRP price april 13-19
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Senator Lummis sets May markup for CLARITY Act at Bitcoin 2026
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
2h Israeli airstrikes hit eastern Lebanon, complicating ceasefire with Hezbollah
Likely NO
China invasion of taiwan
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
2h US Marine Corps F-35B launches from USS Tripoli amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
93%
▼0¢
2h $70M in assets bridged to Solana in past week amid low prediction market odds
Likely NO
Netanyahu out of power
1 article
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
2h Israel’s attorney-general challenges justice minister’s judicial plan
Likely NO
Ethereum price prediction for 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in 2026 4% FLAT
2h Ethereum price prediction market shows no change despite ETF inflows
Likely NO
Iran military action by april 30
1 article
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran 6% FLAT
2h Iran shifts focus to internal threats amid protest fears, military strike unlikely