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1h Three Bank of Japan members dissent, yen strengthens amid rate hike push
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
1h Three Bank of Japan members dissent, yen strengthens amid rate hike push
▲ Bank of japan decision in april 2026
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 1h)
YES ▲100¢
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
3 articles
Developing
100%
▲100¢
1h 2h BOJ keeps rates steady amid Iran conflict, traders see slim chance of April 2026 cut
2h Bank of Japan to increase interest rates, rules out April 2026 rate cut
NO ▲2¢
Crypto FDV predictions after launch
1 article
· 2h ago
91%
▼2¢
✓ 22h DeFi United reveals recovery plan for rsETH after $292M Kelp DAO exploit
NO ▲1¢
USD.AI and predict.fun FDV launch
2 articles
Developing
92%
▼1¢
26m OpenAI misses targets, SoftBank and Oracle shares decline
51m China blocks Meta’s $2B Manus deal, escalating US-China AI race
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
Developing
14%
▼1¢
✓ 247m Iran threatens Strait of Hormuz shipping amid nuclear talk delays
✓ 252m Japanese tanker Idemitsu Maru attempts Strait of Hormuz crossing amid ceasefire
YES ▲1¢
Bulgarian parliamentary election outcomes
1 article
Developing
97%
▲1¢
1h Radev’s Progressive Bulgaria wins election, securing parliamentary majority
YES ▲1¢
Starmer out timing predictions
1 article
Developing
40%
▲1¢
⚡ Starmer out prediction markets 38% FLAT
✓ 31h UK PM faces vote on Mandelson inquiry as key figures prepare to testify
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
⚡ Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran 6% FLAT
6m Iran’s hardliners consolidate power despite economic challenges
Likely NO
Nobel peace prize winner 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
7m FIFA awards Peace Prize to Trump, boosting Nobel Peace Prize candidacy
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
Developing
57%
▼0¢
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 56% FLAT
15m Trump’s maximum pressure on Iran fails to yield concessions, standoff persists
✓ 255m Trump reviews Iranian proposal to reopen Strait of Hormuz
✓ 21h Iran media threats on Hormuz cables impact prediction market odds
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
19m First LNG shipment since Iran war exits Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's Iranian demands 2% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1% FLAT
23m US-Iran nuclear deal talks stall, Treasury yields climb
31m Iran thanks Pakistan for facilitating US-Iran diplomatic talks
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
✓ 230m Iran conflict labeled new cold war amid stalled peace prospects
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 0% FLAT
42m Iran conflict impacts China’s economy, car sales and factories suffer
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
45m Israeli air strikes target Hezbollah positions north of Litani River in Lebanon
Likely NO
Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 20% FLAT
⚡ Iran surrender enriched uranium 1% FLAT
46m Iran calls US talks futile, pushes for rearmament over diplomacy
Likely NO
Trump insult prediction market
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 252m Trump demands ABC fire Kimmel over Melania comments
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 20% FLAT
✓ 254m Iran to share defense capabilities with SCO, complicating US nuclear talks
Likely NO
Next prime minister of Israel
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu leaving office 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
58m Lapid secures key mandates in Together Party, boosting post-election leverage
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire, diplomatic talks, Trump endorsement all YES
✓ 21h IDF dismantles 1,000 Hezbollah positions, seizes weapons in southern Lebanon
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap in april
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h UK warship deployment to Strait of Hormuz remains unlikely amid tense standoff
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap
1 article
Developing
92%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by june 92% FLAT
1h Amazon stock hits all-time high, narrows market cap gap with Nvidia
Likely NO
Gulf state military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
1h GCC leaders meet in Jeddah amid regional security threats after Kuwait attacks
Likely NO
ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026
3 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Euro-area inflation expectations rise as energy prices disrupt markets
1h ECB inflation forecast as market doubts rate cut
1h Euro area CPI expectations jump amid energy price shocks
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h BlackRock bets on rising long-term yields with short-term European debt shift
2h US sanctions on Hengli Petrochemical raise Bitcoin stability questions
Likely NO
Trump Iran demands (april)
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 57% FLAT
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 0% FLAT
✓ 21h Iran maintains oil exports despite US blockade of Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
1h Iran oil storage nears capacity as US blockade cuts exports
2h Middle Eastern oil producers seek new routes as Strait of Hormuz remains closed
Likely NO
Trump public insults by april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Attempted attack on Trump at White House Correspondents’ Dinner
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Bitcoin price falls amid weekend leverage liquidations, thin order books
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's departure from power 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu out of power 6% FLAT
✓ 21h Netanyahu trial resumes amid speculation on political future
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% FLAT
1h Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs see $313M outflows, ending nine-day inflow streak
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h Block reveals $2.2B in bitcoin holdings for Q1 2026
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
2 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
1h Iran internet blackout disrupts saffron exports, boosts Afghan competition
2h Trump signals de-escalation with imminent victory declaration over Iran
Likely NO
USD.AI FDV predictions
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
1h Strategy holds 3.9% of Bitcoin supply, aims for 1M BTC by 2026
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% FLAT
2h Strategy buys $255M in Bitcoin at $77,906 per coin
Likely NO
Iranian demands Trump agreement
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Trump rejects Iran proposal, dims April oil sanction relief chances
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
· 2h ago
23%
▼0¢
2h IAEA’s Grossi signals end of global pressure on Iran over uranium stockpile
Likely NO
Who will Trump publicly insult by april 30?
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump public insults by april 2026 100% FLAT
3h Marjorie Taylor Greene condemns Trump’s Iran policy, impacting US farmers