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✓ 214m Bank of Japan holds rates amid rare split vote, inflation concerns
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 214m Bank of Japan holds rates amid rare split vote, inflation concerns
▲ Bank of japan decision in april 2026
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 14m)
YES ▲100¢
Gold price predictions by end of june
1 article
Developing
100%
▲100¢
52m UK bond yields as oil rises, traders eye gold amid political tensions
YES ▲2¢
Largest company by market cap
2 articles
Developing
30%
▲2¢
1h Majestic Labs AI unveils Prometheus server with 1,000x Nvidia GPU memory capacity
2h Amazon stock hits all-time high, narrows market cap gap with Nvidia
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
3 articles
Developing
14%
▼1¢
⚡ Bank of japan decision in april 2026 0% FLAT
39m South Korea holds rates steady amid Middle East conflict uncertainties
✓ 22h Iran threatens Strait of Hormuz shipping amid nuclear talk delays
✓ 22h Japanese tanker Idemitsu Maru attempts Strait of Hormuz crossing amid ceasefire
NO ▲1¢
Starmer out prediction markets
1 article
Developing
39%
▼1¢
⚡ Starmer out timing predictions 40% FLAT
✓ 31h UK MPs question Barton amid Mandelson vetting scandal, Starmer’s future uncertain
YES ▲1¢
Bulgarian parliamentary election outcomes
1 article
· 2h ago
97%
▲1¢
2h Radev’s Progressive Bulgaria wins election, securing parliamentary majority
Likely NO
Billionaire wealth tax in california 2026
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
6m California’s billionaire tax proposal qualifies for 2026 ballot
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
9m Bitmine stakes $214M in ETH, holds 9.5% of all staked Ethereum
Likely NO
US-Iran peace deal
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 20% FLAT
15m Zarif proposes nuclear curbs for sanctions relief amid US-Iran peace deal talks
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out of power 6% FLAT
16m Qatar offered ICC prosecutor support for pursuing Netanyahu charges
Likely NO
Next leader out before 2027
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
24m Viktor Orban’s resignation offer rejected by Fidesz after election loss
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
3 articles
Developing
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 15% FLAT
28m Qatar opposes using Strait of Hormuz as leverage in Iran-US crisis
1h US Treasury yields, dollar rise as Strait of Hormuz tensions boost oil prices
✓ 21h Trump rejects Iran peace offer, oil prices remain high amid tensions
Likely NO
Fed decisions from march to june
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
30m Fed expected to hold rates steady amid US-Iran tensions, rising oil prices
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 2% FLAT
37m Trump frustrated as Iran talks stall, peace deal by April 30 unlikely
Likely NO
Iran surrender of enriched uranium stockpile
1 article
Developing
23%
▼0¢
44m Iran faces oil storage crisis as Strait of Hormuz blockade tightens
Likely NO
US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
Developing
23%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium surrender 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran surrender enriched uranium stockpile 1% FLAT
✓ 246m Iran holds 1,000 pounds of enriched uranium, complicating US acquisition
Likely NO
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
47m Republicans push to fund Secret Service after third Trump assassination attempt
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 0% FLAT
48m Putin backs Iran in Saint Petersburg meeting, impacting Israel-Iran peace odds
✓ 22h Iran conflict labeled new cold war amid stalled peace prospects
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
54m Mossad chief praises “groundbreaking” operations in Iran amid regime tensions
Likely NO
Crypto hack predictions for 2023
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h North Korea’s Lazarus Group linked to $290M Kelp DAO hack
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
2 articles
Developing
93%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in 2026 4% FLAT
1h AAVE’s DeFi United relief fund secures $303M to cover Kelp DAO exploit losses
✓ 21h BitMNR buys 101,901 ETH for $234M, nearing 5% of Ethereum supply
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1% FLAT
✓ 21h Iran defends at UN as Trump reviews war-ending proposal without nuclear deal
Likely NO
Trump Iran demands (april)
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 0% FLAT
⚡ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april 2% FLAT
✓ 21h Iran oil storage strains under US blockade, exports halved amid crisis
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1% FLAT
1h US-Iran nuclear deal talks stall despite back-channel diplomacy
Likely NO
Russia entry into kupiansk-vuzlovyi
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Ukraine strikes Russian Black Sea oil infrastructure, impacting crude markets
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
⚡ Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran 6% FLAT
1h Iran’s hardliners consolidate power despite economic challenges
Likely NO
Nobel peace prize winner 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h FIFA awards Peace Prize to Trump, boosting Nobel Peace Prize candidacy
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
Developing
57%
▼0¢
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 56% FLAT
1h Trump’s maximum pressure on Iran fails to yield concessions, standoff persists
✓ 22h Trump reviews Iranian proposal to reopen Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h First LNG shipment since Iran war exits Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's Iranian demands 2% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1% FLAT
1h US-Iran nuclear deal talks stall, Treasury yields climb
2h Iran thanks Pakistan for facilitating US-Iran diplomatic talks
Likely NO
USD.AI and predict.fun FDV launch
2 articles
· 2h ago
93%
▼0¢
✓ 22h OpenAI misses targets, SoftBank and Oracle shares decline
2h China blocks Meta’s $2B Manus deal, escalating US-China AI race
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 0% FLAT
2h Iran conflict impacts China’s economy, car sales and factories suffer
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Israeli air strikes target Hezbollah positions north of Litani River in Lebanon
Likely NO
Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 20% FLAT
⚡ Iran surrender enriched uranium 1% FLAT
2h Iran calls US talks futile, pushes for rearmament over diplomacy
Likely NO
Trump insult prediction market
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 32h Trump demands ABC fire Kimmel over Melania comments
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 20% FLAT
✓ 32h Iran to share defense capabilities with SCO, complicating US nuclear talks
Likely NO
Next prime minister of Israel
1 article
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu leaving office 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
2h Lapid secures key mandates in Together Party, boosting post-election leverage
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
2h Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire, diplomatic talks, Trump endorsement all YES
✓ 22h IDF dismantles 1,000 Hezbollah positions, seizes weapons in southern Lebanon
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap in april
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
2h UK warship deployment to Strait of Hormuz remains unlikely amid tense standoff