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✓ 23h Fitch: Japan’s inflation may lead to further BOJ tightening
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 23h Fitch: Japan’s inflation may lead to further BOJ tightening
▲ Bank of japan decision in april 2026
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 3h)
YES ▲5¢
MegaETH market cap after launch
1 article
· 4h ago
97%
▲5¢
⚡ MegaETH token launch predictions 100% FLAT
⚡ MegaETH token launch 100% FLAT
4h MegaETH confirms $MEGA token launch for April 30, 2026
YES ▲1¢
Iran leadership change
1 article
Developing
2%
▲1¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi enter Iran 6% FLAT
32m Rumors swirl over Mojtaba Khamenei’s death, Iran leadership change uncertain
NO ▲1¢
MegaETH token launch predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
97%
▼1¢
3h MegaETH to launch points system ahead of April 2026 token event
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
· 4h ago
1%
▼1¢
4h Idemitsu Maru first Japan-linked tanker to cross Hormuz since conflict began
NO ▲1¢
Iran control and regime fall
1 article
· 4h ago
11%
▼1¢
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
4h Gulf leaders meet in Saudi Arabia to address Iranian missile attacks
Likely NO
XRP price april 13-19
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
18m Blockchain Association pushes to remove reputation risk from bank supervision
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
1h IDF destroys Hezbollah’s largest tunnel network amid ceasefire stability
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
1h Netanyahu’s stance dims hopes for Israel-Iran peace deal by April 30
Likely NO
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
2h US confirms partial reopening of Strait of Hormuz, easing oil supply fears
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap in april
1 article
· 2h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
2h Alphabet’s $175B-$185B AI capex plan doubles prior levels amid antitrust scrutiny
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
2 articles
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 60% FLAT
2h US reviews Iran proposal as Israel-Iran peace talks stall
✓ 33h Tehran’s Hormuz proposal hints at de-escalation amid low US-Iran meeting odds
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
3 articles
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
2h Iran allows Japanese supertanker through Strait of Hormuz, easing supply fears
2h Qatar warns Iran against using it as ‘political punching bag’ amid talks
✓ 74h UAE to exit OPEC on May 1, crude oil could hit $90 by June
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
Developing
15%
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ Who will meet with Iran 1% FLAT
1m Trump misrepresents Merz on Iran nukes, US-Iran deal odds plummet
4h Germany’s Merz criticizes US handling of Iran talks, fueling European frustration
Likely NO
Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
26m Hakeem Jeffries calls for ‘maximum warfare’ before Trump assassination attempt
Likely NO
Pharos public sale commitments
1 article
Developing
97%
▼0¢
31m Kyriba integrates USDC, Circle into treasury platform amid stablecoin regulation
Likely NO
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
Developing
75%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 0% FLAT
34m China condemns US sanctions on refineries linked to Iranian crude
Likely NO
Starmer out timing predictions
1 article
Developing
39%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out prediction markets 38% FLAT
✓ 340m UK MPs reject probe into Mandelson claims, shoring up Starmer’s position
Likely NO
ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
43m ECB raises 2026 inflation forecast amid energy price surge
Likely NO
Bulgarian parliamentary election outcomes
1 article
Developing
97%
▼0¢
44m Rumen Radev’s Progressive Bulgaria wins parliamentary majority
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
Developing
20%
▼0¢
45m Iran warns of subsea cable threats in Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
4h Iran asserts full control over Strait of Hormuz, raising oil flow concerns
Likely NO
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT
✓ 246m Trump meets security officials as Iran diplomacy stalls
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
Developing
99%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 1 99% FLAT
48m Crypto ETPs attract $1.2B inflows, Bitcoin leads with $932.5M
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on april 28 100% FLAT
49m BitMine’s ether holdings surpass 5M after $241.4M purchase
3h Bitcoin chatter rises with endorsements, legislative push; June market tepid
Likely NO
Putin meeting with Iranian officials
1 article
Developing
15%
▼0¢
50m Putin confirms strategic partnership with Iran in Saint Petersburg meeting
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Hezbollah claims strike on Israeli tank in south Lebanon amid ceasefire tension
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Russia to recruit 18,500 foreign fighters by 2026, signals prolonged conflict
Likely NO
XRP price in april
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h SEC approves XRP for fast-tracked trust shares, boosting institutional appeal
Likely NO
Iran coup attempt
1 article
· 2h ago
20%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, challenges navigation rights
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
3 articles
· 3h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi entering Iran 6% FLAT
✓ 23h Tehran-Moscow flights resume after US-Israeli strikes suspension
3h US-Iran diplomatic freeze persists, regime change seen as unlikely
3h Iranian hackers target US service members, Trump officials in cyberattacks
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h $500M USDC minted on Solana amid stablecoin surge
Likely NO
ECB interest rates in april 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
1%
▼0¢
3h Iran conflict threatens over half of Middle East urea production
Likely NO
Claude 5 release dates
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Anthropic withholds Claude Mythos, sparking AI community debate
Likely NO
US-Iran peace deal
1 article
· 3h ago
1%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Iran to submit revised peace proposal amid cautious market response
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
2 articles
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
3h Ukraine strikes Russian oil refinery, cutting output by 300K-400K barrels per day
3h Oil executives meet US officials as Strait of Hormuz tensions rise
Likely NO
Stablecoins depeg before 2027
1 article
· 3h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Crypto hack predictions for 2023 100% FLAT
3h Tether freezes $344M USDT amid KelpDAO exploit fallout, USDC depeg odds steady
Likely NO
Netanyahu's tenure
1 article
· 3h ago
6%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Ultra-Orthodox protests in Israel challenge Netanyahu’s coalition stability
Likely NO
Next UK prime minister in 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
39%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out prediction markets 38% FLAT
3h Christopher Harborne donates £24M to Reform UK, boosting financial clout
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h FBI director calls Bitcoin legitimate asset, boosts market sentiment
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in april 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
0%
▼0¢
3h Oil prices climb amid unresolved Strait of Hormuz standoff
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
4h IDF demolishes Bint Jbeil Stadium, Hezbollah symbol in southern Lebanon