Via coinpedia.org
Charles Schwab crypto research head says Clarity Act not priced into Bitcoin
Only 4% of Bitcoin's recent price action reflects the landmark digital asset bill, suggesting a potential rally when it passes
Jim Ferraioli, the Director of Digital Currencies Research and Strategy at Charles Schwab’s Center for Financial Research, has dropped a number that should make traders sit up straight. According to Ferraioli, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, one of the most consequential pieces of crypto legislation in US history, has contributed only about 4% to Bitcoin’s daily price movements.
The bill that Wall Street is watching
The CLARITY Act, formally known as H.R. 3633, is designed to answer a question that has haunted crypto for years: who’s actually in charge here? The bill draws a line between the SEC and the CFTC, designating assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum as “digital commodities” that fall primarily under CFTC jurisdiction while preserving some regulatory authority for the SEC.
The bill passed the full House in July 2025. It then cleared the Senate Banking Committee with a 15-9 bipartisan vote on May 14, 2026. Full Senate approval is still pending, with negotiations continuing to shape the final language ahead of a critical legislative deadline in August.
Why Schwab’s voice matters here
Charles Schwab manages roughly $13 trillion in client assets. The firm offers direct Bitcoin and Ethereum trading through Schwab Crypto, and its clients hold approximately 20% of all US crypto exchange-traded product assets.
Bitcoin has seen substantial price swings over the past year, surging above $80,000 earlier in 2026 before stabilizing around the $60,000 range at midyear. Those moves have been driven by the usual suspects. The CLARITY Act, apparently, wasn’t one of them.
What this means for investors
If Ferraioli’s 4% figure is accurate, the market is essentially treating a transformative regulatory event as a rounding error. If the bill passes, the repricing could be sharp and fast as institutional participants adjust their models to reflect a clearer regulatory environment. If it stalls, the downside is limited because the market wasn’t counting on it anyway.
The risk is that final Senate negotiations water down the bill to the point where it no longer provides meaningful clarity. Investors should watch the specific language around CFTC and SEC authority divisions as the bill moves toward a full Senate vote.