Macro

Trump rules out US ground troops in Iran, ceasefire odds nudge up

Trump's decision against deploying ground troops in Iran may foster diplomatic efforts, slightly increasing ceasefire prospects by April 30.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Trump suggests using US ground forces to seize iran’s uranium

Trump's proposal risks escalating tensions, impacting market dynamics and reducing near-term ceasefire prospects with Iran.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Trump to announce Iran ceasefire talks amid troop withdrawal discussions

Trump's announcement could shift geopolitical dynamics, impacting market confidence and potentially altering US-Iran relations significantly.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Pakistan steps in as intermediary in US-Iran crisis

Pakistan's mediation role could shift regional dynamics, influencing diplomatic strategies and market perceptions amid US-Iran tensions.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Latest

Trump may announce ground troops needed for iran’s uranium

Apr. 1, 2026

Trump may announce ground troops needed for iran’s uranium

Increased tensions and market volatility highlight geopolitical risks, impacting global stability and economic forecasts.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions

Apr. 1, 2026

Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions

Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz heightens geopolitical risks, impacting global energy markets and complicating diplomatic efforts.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

US delays strikes on iranian energy infrastructure to april 6

Apr. 1, 2026

US delays strikes on iranian energy infrastructure to april 6

The delay in US action suggests a preference for diplomacy, impacting market expectations and highlighting geopolitical uncertainties.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

US and Iran clash over nuclear talks before trump’s address

Apr. 1, 2026

US and Iran clash over nuclear talks before trump’s address

The declining odds of a US-Iran ceasefire highlight the challenges of achieving diplomatic progress amid heightened tensions.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

US-Israeli strike on IRGC site near isfahan lowers ceasefire odds

Apr. 1, 2026

US-Israeli strike on IRGC site near isfahan lowers ceasefire odds

The strike exacerbates geopolitical tensions, diminishing prospects for diplomatic resolutions and prolonging regional instability.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Pezeshkian urges americans to see beyond rhetoric, tensions persist

Apr. 1, 2026

Pezeshkian urges americans to see beyond rhetoric, tensions persist

Pezeshkian's call for understanding highlights the complexity of US-Iran relations, with skepticism hindering immediate diplomatic progress.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran missile hits bahrain near US 5th fleet

Apr. 1, 2026

Iran missile hits bahrain near US 5th fleet

The missile strike underscores heightened geopolitical tensions, impacting market perceptions of U.S.-Iran conflict escalation and regime stability.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Pentagon boosts A-10 fleet near Iran, signaling possible escalation

Apr. 1, 2026

Pentagon boosts A-10 fleet near Iran, signaling possible escalation

Increased A-10 presence near Iran may heighten regional tensions, impacting geopolitical stability and influencing global market dynamics.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Tehran demands guaranteed ceasefire to end war permanently

Apr. 1, 2026

Tehran demands guaranteed ceasefire to end war permanently

Tehran's ceasefire demand suggests potential diplomatic progress, impacting market confidence and reducing regime collapse odds, yet remains speculative.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Trump considers NATO withdrawal amid Iran war pressure

Apr. 1, 2026

Trump considers NATO withdrawal amid Iran war pressure

Trump's NATO withdrawal consideration could destabilize alliances, impacting global security dynamics and reducing diplomatic resolution chances.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ