Macro

Iran shoots down chinese drone, hits bahrain cloud center

Iran's military actions suggest regime stability, impacting market perceptions and reducing the likelihood of imminent political collapse.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Israeli attack on tehran IRGC headquarters impacts Iran markets

The Israeli strike heightens geopolitical tensions, influencing market perceptions of US military involvement and Iranian regime stability.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran’s top advisor warns US on Strait of Hormuz, ceasefire odds drop

Geopolitical tensions and market volatility rise as diplomatic solutions appear elusive, impacting global trade and energy security.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Gulf countries push for normal relations with Iran

Gulf states' diplomatic efforts with Iran could stabilize the region, reducing regime collapse risks and influencing ceasefire prospects.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Latest

Iran drafts hormuz protocol with Oman amid ongoing conflict

Apr. 2, 2026

Iran drafts hormuz protocol with Oman amid ongoing conflict

The Iran-Oman protocol may signal diplomatic progress, potentially influencing regional stability and market confidence in ceasefire prospects.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Pakistan uncovers israeli plot against iranian officials, impacting ceasefire odds

Apr. 2, 2026

Pakistan uncovers israeli plot against iranian officials, impacting ceasefire odds

The revelation strains US-Iran diplomatic efforts, heightening regional tensions and increasing the likelihood of military conflict.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran war escalates with multi-front involvement

Apr. 2, 2026

Iran war escalates with multi-front involvement

The conflict's expansion heightens geopolitical tensions, impacting global markets and complicating diplomatic resolutions.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Rosatom calls for ceasefire to evacuate bushehr staff amid rising tensions

Apr. 2, 2026

Rosatom calls for ceasefire to evacuate bushehr staff amid rising tensions

Rosatom's ceasefire plea underscores nuclear safety concerns, potentially opening diplomatic channels amid heightened geopolitical tensions.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Trump’s Iran speech signals escalation, dims ceasefire odds

Apr. 2, 2026

Trump’s Iran speech signals escalation, dims ceasefire odds

Trump's speech exacerbates tensions, impacting market confidence and complicating diplomatic efforts for a near-term resolution.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Reactions suggest Iran war escalation, ceasefire odds dip

Apr. 2, 2026

Reactions suggest Iran war escalation, ceasefire odds dip

Escalating tensions and declining ceasefire odds suggest prolonged conflict, impacting regional stability and global diplomatic efforts.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran IRGC unit commander killed amid US-Israeli campaign

Apr. 2, 2026

Iran IRGC unit commander killed amid US-Israeli campaign

The commander's death intensifies pressure on Iran's regime, highlighting vulnerabilities and potential for future instability.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran’s parliament speaker claims 7 million fighters ready, ceasefire odds drop

Apr. 2, 2026

Iran’s parliament speaker claims 7 million fighters ready, ceasefire odds drop

Escalating tensions and rhetoric reduce ceasefire prospects, complicating diplomatic efforts and increasing market volatility.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

US-Israel strikes hit Tehran-Karaj bridge, ceasefire odds drop

Apr. 2, 2026

US-Israel strikes hit Tehran-Karaj bridge, ceasefire odds drop

The strike exacerbates regional instability, complicating diplomatic efforts and increasing market volatility amid uncertain ceasefire prospects.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran’s IRGC defies trump’s threats, impacting regime stability odds

Apr. 2, 2026

Iran’s IRGC defies trump’s threats, impacting regime stability odds

The IRGC's defiance signals internal stability, influencing prediction markets and potentially escalating US-Iran tensions.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ