Macro

Iran’s parliament speaker claims 7 million fighters ready, ceasefire odds drop

Escalating tensions and rhetoric reduce ceasefire prospects, complicating diplomatic efforts and increasing market volatility.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

US-Israel strikes hit Tehran-Karaj bridge, ceasefire odds drop

The strike exacerbates regional instability, complicating diplomatic efforts and increasing market volatility amid uncertain ceasefire prospects.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran’s IRGC defies trump’s threats, impacting regime stability odds

The IRGC's defiance signals internal stability, influencing prediction markets and potentially escalating US-Iran tensions.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran attacks gulf aluminum sites, escalating US-linked conflict

Iran's economic target shift heightens conflict risks, complicating diplomatic efforts and increasing uncertainty of US military involvement.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Latest

Iran invites global powers to negotiate Strait of Hormuz transit

Apr. 2, 2026

Iran invites global powers to negotiate Strait of Hormuz transit

Iran's diplomatic outreach may signal potential de-escalation, impacting market confidence and altering geopolitical dynamics in the region.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Macron pushes for trust to reopen Strait of Hormuz, impacting ceasefire odds

Apr. 2, 2026

Macron pushes for trust to reopen Strait of Hormuz, impacting ceasefire odds

Macron's diplomatic efforts could shift geopolitical dynamics, potentially reducing military tensions and influencing global energy markets.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran’s foreign minister targeted in assassination attempt, wife killed

Apr. 2, 2026

Iran’s foreign minister targeted in assassination attempt, wife killed

The assassination attempt underscores Iran's political instability, yet market skepticism persists without clear signs of regime collapse.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran’s army chief warns of ‘total destruction’ for ground invasion

Apr. 2, 2026

Iran’s army chief warns of ‘total destruction’ for ground invasion

Iran's warning impacts market sentiment, highlighting geopolitical tensions and uncertainty, potentially affecting diplomatic and military strategies.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Egyptian foreign minister to meet Putin over Iran conflict

Apr. 2, 2026

Egyptian foreign minister to meet Putin over Iran conflict

Egypt's diplomatic engagement with Russia could significantly influence ceasefire prospects, impacting geopolitical stability and market dynamics.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran’s IRGC vows retaliation against U.S., escalating tensions

Apr. 2, 2026

Iran’s IRGC vows retaliation against U.S., escalating tensions

The IRGC's threat heightens geopolitical risks, impacting economic stability and complicating diplomatic efforts for a U.S.-Iran ceasefire.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Kremlin offers to mediate Iran war, calls NATO hostile

Apr. 2, 2026

Kremlin offers to mediate Iran war, calls NATO hostile

Russia's mediation offer highlights its strategic aim to influence global diplomacy while maintaining a non-escalatory stance.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran’s internet blackout and military escalation signal regime instability

Apr. 2, 2026

Iran’s internet blackout and military escalation signal regime instability

Iran's internet blackout and military actions may heighten unrest, but traders see regime control persisting, impacting market confidence.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Col. macgregor on costly Iran invasion decreases ceasefire odds

Apr. 2, 2026

Col. macgregor on costly Iran invasion decreases ceasefire odds

The declining ceasefire odds highlight the complexities of diplomatic resolution and the potential for prolonged conflict escalation.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran demands reparations, complicating ceasefire prospects

Apr. 2, 2026

Iran demands reparations, complicating ceasefire prospects

Iran's reparations demand and Hezbollah's actions deepen diplomatic deadlock, reducing ceasefire prospects and impacting market confidence.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ