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13m Iran claims unblockable oil exports amid war tensions
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
13m Iran claims unblockable oil exports amid war tensions
▲ Crude oil predictions for june
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 13m)
YES ▲100¢
Crude oil predictions for june
2 articles
Developing
100%
▲100¢
13m 1h Putin reassures Iran, easing Middle East tensions and lowering oil price risks
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price predictions for april 24
1 article
Developing
100%
▲100¢
1h Trump to hold national security meeting on Iran stalemate amid Bitcoin market watch
YES ▲1¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
Developing
57%
▲1¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
✓ 324m Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz to end US war
NO ▲1¢
Gulf state military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
2%
▼1¢
⚡ Countries conducting military action against Iran 0% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
43m Israel deploys Iron Dome, troops to UAE amid Iran tensions
YES ▲1¢
Warships through the strait of hormuz
1 article
Developing
18%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 16% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 57% FLAT
✓ 21h Strait of Hormuz traffic remains near halt amid Iranian restrictions
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
18%
▲1¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
1h Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz amid stalled nuclear talks
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates
1 article
Developing
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Who will meet with Iran 1% FLAT
✓ 41h Trump to hold national security meeting on Iran stalemate
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
Developing
18%
▼0¢
⚡ Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april 1% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 16% FLAT
48m US naval blockade keeps Hormuz shipping traffic minimal amid stalled diplomacy
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
✓ 250m Russian superyacht crosses blockaded Strait of Hormuz amid Iran-US tensions
Likely NO
Starmer out timing predictions
2 articles
Developing
69%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out prediction markets 40% FLAT
✓ 751m MPs to vote on inquiry into Starmer’s handling of Mandelson appointment
1h Keir Starmer faces potential leadership challenge after May 7 elections
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
✓ 351m Strategy buys $255M in Bitcoin, dampens $60K April dip odds
Likely NO
Israel suspension of lebanon offensive
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
56m Israel destroys power, water infrastructure in Lebanese Christian town
Likely NO
Iran surrender enriched uranium
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US acquisition of Iranian enriched uranium 6% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 17% FLAT
59m Trump considers resuming Iran bombing as uranium talks stall
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
1h Solana Company plans $8M stock offering to acquire more SOL
Likely NO
Iran military action by april 30
2 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
1h Iran Air resumes Hajj flights amid Saudi-Iranian normalization efforts
✓ 21h US officials to discuss resuming bombing campaign on Iran
Likely NO
ECB interest rates in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
93%
▼0¢
1h Iran conflict spikes oil prices, pressures ECB for rate cut
✓ 21h EU energy bill up $32B from Iran war, ECB rate cut odds unchanged
Likely NO
Kash patel out by date
1 article
Developing
14%
▼0¢
1h Lawrence Jones questions FBI director on Trump assassination attempts
Likely NO
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 2% FLAT
1h US-Israeli strikes on Iranian health facilities stall peace talks
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h Whale moves 1,704 BTC to Kraken, $100M USDT from Binance to unknown wallet
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Goldman Sachs: Markets seek US-Iran resolution amid Bitcoin stability
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
1h Iran blocks Strait of Hormuz, oil markets show limited reaction
Likely NO
Fed decision in april 2026
1 article
Developing
40%
⚡ Fed rate cuts in 2026 40% FLAT
1m Fed likely to hold rates through 2026 amid strong US economy, inflation pressures
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
3 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 2% FLAT
7m US offers talks to Iran, Tehran considers proposal
29m Iran blames US for failed peace talks during Putin visit
✓ 238m German chancellor criticizes US-Iran talks, peace deal odds plummet
Likely NO
Fed chair confirmation predictions
1 article
Developing
90%
▼0¢
⚡ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 1% FLAT
9m Tillis lifts block on Warsh Fed Chair nomination after DOJ drops Powell probe
Likely NO
Trump's potential visit to China
1 article
Developing
77%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump visit China 0% FLAT
10m Trump’s China visit by May 31 looks unlikely amid tariff tensions
Likely NO
Stablecoins depeg before 2027
1 article
Developing
96%
▼0¢
✓ 311m Circle Ventures buys AAVE tokens amid USDC liquidity crisis
Likely NO
Iran peace deals
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
✓ 215m Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz amid sovereignty talks with Putin
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
19m Lebanon’s Aoun defends Israel talks, accuses Hezbollah of prolonging conflict
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high predictions
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% FLAT
20m Spot Bitcoin ETFs surpass $102B AUM amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on april 24
1 article
Developing
96%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price hit in april 0% FLAT
21m Bitcoin closes two consecutive negative quarters, traders see no further drop
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
22m Shell’s $14B Canadian shale deal marks largest acquisition in a decade
Likely NO
Crypto FDV predictions after launch
1 article
Developing
96%
▼0¢
⚡ USD.AI and predict.fun FDV launch 96% FLAT
26m USD.AI poised for $300M FDV post-launch as Hermes agent tops GitHub stars
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
27m Bitmine amasses $13.3B treasury with 5.08M ETH, aims for 5% supply
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
✓ 233m IDF strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon, drone explodes near Israeli troops
✓ 21h Israel strikes Hezbollah targets in Lebanon, testing ceasefire’s strength
1h Israeli army destroys homes in southern Lebanon amid military escalation
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
34m Trillion Energy warns oil price surge is structural, cites supply route risks
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
Developing
18%
▼0¢
35m Bab el-Mandeb Strait remains open despite earlier closure threats
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
35m President Herzog pushes plea deal, no pardon for Netanyahu
41m Netanyahu faces potential arrest in Hungary under ICC warrant
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO in 2026
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
39m Iranian drone strike hits Kurdish groups, breaking ceasefire near Sulaimaniyah
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 17% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
44m Thailand criticizes US for lack of help in Iran conflict fallout
Likely NO
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
Developing
17%
1m Trump meets with national security team on stalled Iran talks
Likely NO
Ethereum price on april 24
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
✓ 31h Tom Lee, Bitmine amass over 5M Ethereum, hit “Alchemy of 5%” target