Macro

Ceasefire odds between US and Iran plummet amid stalled negotiations

The stalled US-Iran negotiations highlight the fragility of diplomatic efforts, increasing the likelihood of prolonged military tensions.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs face significant outflows as Solana sees minor inflow

The shift towards altcoins like Solana amid Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF outflows suggests evolving investor strategies and market dynamics.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Democratic senators urge Trump to ban Chinese vehicle imports amid trade tensions: FT

A ban on Chinese vehicle imports could escalate trade tensions, prompting EU retaliatory tariffs and impacting global market dynamics.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Goldman Sachs raises US recession odds to 30% by 2026 amid oil shocks

Rising recession odds highlight potential economic instability, impacting consumer spending and labor markets amid persistent energy shocks.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Latest

Jobs report raises doubts about Fed rate cuts, Treasury yields jump: FT

Apr. 3, 2026

Jobs report raises doubts about Fed rate cuts, Treasury yields jump: FT

The uncertain Fed rate cut outlook amid strong job growth and rising yields may prolong market volatility and impact economic forecasts.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

US forces’ entry into Iran by April 30 now seen at 66% probability

Apr. 3, 2026

US forces’ entry into Iran by April 30 now seen at 66% probability

Increased probability of US forces entering Iran could heighten geopolitical tensions and impact global markets and diplomatic relations.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iranian official denies US troop landings, market shifts on April 30 entry

Apr. 3, 2026

Iranian official denies US troop landings, market shifts on April 30 entry

The denial highlights ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, influencing market speculation and suggesting potential for future military escalation.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

F-15E reportedly shot down in Iran, raising speculation of US ground operation

Apr. 3, 2026

F-15E reportedly shot down in Iran, raising speculation of US ground operation

Increased market speculation and volatility suggest potential U.S. military escalation in Iran, impacting geopolitical stability and investor sentiment.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Odds for US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 drop to 1.8% as traders adjust expectations

Apr. 3, 2026

Odds for US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 drop to 1.8% as traders adjust expectations

Market pessimism reflects broader geopolitical instability, impacting investor confidence and highlighting challenges in diplomatic resolutions.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

US adds 178,000 jobs in March, unemployment drops to 4.3%

Apr. 3, 2026

US adds 178,000 jobs in March, unemployment drops to 4.3%

The robust job growth and declining unemployment suggest economic resilience, reducing recession fears and influencing market sentiment.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran’s former diplomat calls for US deal to end conflict as ceasefire markets dip

Apr. 3, 2026

Iran’s former diplomat calls for US deal to end conflict as ceasefire markets dip

The call for US-Iran negotiations highlights potential diplomatic shifts, but market skepticism suggests limited immediate impact.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Kamal Kharazi calls for US-Iran deal as ceasefire odds plummet to 1%

Apr. 3, 2026

Kamal Kharazi calls for US-Iran deal as ceasefire odds plummet to 1%

The declining ceasefire odds highlight the challenges in achieving swift diplomatic resolutions, impacting market confidence and stability.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Trump’s FY2026 budget proposes $73B cut to US nondefense discretionary spending

Apr. 3, 2026

Trump’s FY2026 budget proposes $73B cut to US nondefense discretionary spending

Fiscal tightening from budget cuts may curb economic growth, influencing Fed's rate decisions and increasing market uncertainty.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Gold and silver futures surge on Binance as geopolitical tensions rise

Apr. 3, 2026

Gold and silver futures surge on Binance as geopolitical tensions rise

Rising geopolitical tensions are prompting a shift to traditional safe-haven assets, potentially undermining Bitcoin's appeal and market momentum.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ