Macro

Market sees rising odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 at 86% YES

Rising market odds of US intervention in Iran suggest heightened geopolitical tensions, impacting global stability and economic forecasts.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

F-15E Strike Eagle shot down over Iran raises odds of US ground troops entering

The incident escalates tensions, potentially leading to increased U.S. military involvement and impacting geopolitical stability and markets.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran rejects US ceasefire demands, odds for April 7 drop to 1.1%

Iran's rejection of US ceasefire demands underscores the challenges in achieving a swift diplomatic resolution, impacting market confidence.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Trump signs executive order for 100% tariffs on patented drugs to boost US production

The executive order may strain US-EU trade relations, potentially impacting global markets and economic conditions through retaliatory measures.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Latest

BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF sees $52B in assets, signals bullish trend for Bitcoin

Apr. 3, 2026

BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF sees $52B in assets, signals bullish trend for Bitcoin

Institutional adoption via BlackRock's ETF could drive Bitcoin's mainstream acceptance, influencing future price stability and growth.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Trump: US jet downing won’t affect Iran negotiations, ceasefire odds drop

Apr. 3, 2026

Trump: US jet downing won’t affect Iran negotiations, ceasefire odds drop

Trump's diplomatic focus may stabilize long-term US-Iran ceasefire odds, but immediate progress remains uncertain amid market caution.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Qatar skips Iran-US ceasefire talks, lowering April 7 odds to 1% YES

Apr. 3, 2026

Qatar skips Iran-US ceasefire talks, lowering April 7 odds to 1% YES

Qatar's absence from talks undermines diplomatic efforts, reducing ceasefire prospects and highlighting the fragility of regional peace.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Schwab to launch spot Bitcoin and Ether trading in H1 2026, boosting bullish sentiment

Apr. 3, 2026

Schwab to launch spot Bitcoin and Ether trading in H1 2026, boosting bullish sentiment

Schwab's crypto trading launch may legitimize digital assets, spurring institutional adoption and potentially driving Bitcoin prices higher.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran rejects US proposal for 48-hour ceasefire, odds of resolution plummet

Apr. 3, 2026

Iran rejects US proposal for 48-hour ceasefire, odds of resolution plummet

Iran's rejection of the ceasefire proposal exacerbates geopolitical tensions, diminishing hopes for swift diplomatic resolutions.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran’s former foreign minister proposes nuclear deal amid low ceasefire odds

Apr. 3, 2026

Iran’s former foreign minister proposes nuclear deal amid low ceasefire odds

The proposal's lack of official backing highlights the challenges in achieving diplomatic progress amid market skepticism and geopolitical tensions.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran’s ex-foreign minister proposes nuclear limits for sanctions relief and ceasefire

Apr. 3, 2026

Iran’s ex-foreign minister proposes nuclear limits for sanctions relief and ceasefire

The proposal's limited impact highlights the challenges of achieving diplomatic breakthroughs without official backing, affecting market confidence.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran rejects US ceasefire proposal, odds drop to 1% for April 7 resolution

Apr. 3, 2026

Iran rejects US ceasefire proposal, odds drop to 1% for April 7 resolution

Iran's rejection and Qatar's stance highlight geopolitical complexities, reducing short-term resolution prospects and impacting market stability.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet as tensions rise over Strait of Hormuz

Apr. 3, 2026

US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet as tensions rise over Strait of Hormuz

Rising tensions in the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt global oil markets and necessitate urgent diplomatic interventions.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran skips US talks, ending ceasefire negotiations and lowering market optimism

Apr. 3, 2026

Iran skips US talks, ending ceasefire negotiations and lowering market optimism

Iran's absence from talks signals prolonged tensions, diminishing hopes for near-term diplomacy and impacting market confidence.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ