Macro

GCC and UN call for US-Iran ceasefire as market shows skepticism: FT

Trader skepticism highlights the challenges of achieving swift diplomatic resolutions, impacting market confidence and geopolitical stability.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

GCC and UN call for immediate ceasefire in US-Israel-Iran conflict

The low odds of a ceasefire highlight the challenges of diplomatic efforts and the potential for prolonged instability in the region.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Airstrike on Iranian site raises odds of US ground forces entering Iran to 66%

The airstrike's escalation could lead to increased geopolitical tensions, impacting global markets and international diplomatic relations.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran escalates military actions, reducing US-Iran ceasefire odds to 1% by April 7

Iran's military escalation diminishes diplomatic prospects, impacting market confidence and increasing geopolitical tensions in the region.

6 months ago · By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Latest

Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid escalating Iran conflict and missile strikes: FT

Apr. 3, 2026

Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid escalating Iran conflict and missile strikes: FT

Escalating tensions and military actions diminish prospects for peace, necessitating significant diplomatic efforts to alter current trajectories.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Iran boosts defenses as US troop deployment raises odds for ground operations

Apr. 3, 2026

Iran boosts defenses as US troop deployment raises odds for ground operations

Rising tensions and military posturing could destabilize the region, impacting global markets and geopolitical alliances significantly.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Bitfinex backs El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption, eyes on $100K by June 30: FT

Apr. 3, 2026

Bitfinex backs El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption, eyes on $100K by June 30: FT

Bitfinex's support for El Salvador's Bitcoin adoption highlights the need for broader institutional backing and regulatory clarity to drive market impact.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

US-Iran ceasefire odds drop sharply amid airstrikes and threats: 2% for April 7

Apr. 3, 2026

US-Iran ceasefire odds drop sharply amid airstrikes and threats: 2% for April 7

Escalating tensions and market volatility highlight the fragile geopolitical landscape, complicating diplomatic efforts and economic stability.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid US-Israel airstrikes and Iran threats: FT

Apr. 3, 2026

Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid US-Israel airstrikes and Iran threats: FT

Rising tensions and market skepticism highlight the potential for prolonged instability and the need for urgent diplomatic interventions.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

US informs Israel of deadlocked Iran negotiations, ceasefire odds plummet

Apr. 3, 2026

US informs Israel of deadlocked Iran negotiations, ceasefire odds plummet

Stalled US-Iran talks heighten geopolitical tensions, diminishing hopes for a ceasefire and increasing the likelihood of military escalation.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Ceasefire odds drop to 1.8% as Iran continues missile attacks on Israel

Apr. 3, 2026

Ceasefire odds drop to 1.8% as Iran continues missile attacks on Israel

The prolonged conflict and low ceasefire odds suggest escalating regional instability and potential for broader geopolitical tensions.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Ceasefire odds plummet amid ongoing US-Iran tensions and military escalation: FT

Apr. 3, 2026

Ceasefire odds plummet amid ongoing US-Iran tensions and military escalation: FT

The escalating US-Iran tensions and military actions suggest prolonged instability, impacting global markets and diplomatic relations.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Trump weighs sending US special forces to Iran as April 30 odds rise to 66%

Apr. 2, 2026

Trump weighs sending US special forces to Iran as April 30 odds rise to 66%

Potential US ground operations in Iran could escalate conflict dynamics, impacting geopolitical stability and market speculation significantly.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ

Trump weighs sending US special forces to seize Iran’s uranium stockpiles

Apr. 2, 2026

Trump weighs sending US special forces to seize Iran’s uranium stockpiles

Potential US special forces deployment in Iran could escalate tensions, impacting global markets and diplomatic relations significantly.

By ESTEFANO GOMEZ