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Ethereum Price Analysis ETH / USD: False Hope

ETH risks falling under the $200 level.

ETH technical analysis August 12

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  • Ethereum has a bearish short-term bias, with the ETH / USD pair still trading below its 200-period moving average on the four-hour time frame
  • The four-hour time frame shows that price has moved back inside a triangle pattern after a false bullish breakout
  • The daily time frame shows that the ETH / USD pair is trading below the neckline of a head and shoulders pattern

Ethereum / USD Short-term price analysis

Ethereum has a bearish short-term trading bias, with the cryptocurrency still trading below its 200-period moving average on the four-hour time frame.

The four-hour time frame shows that the ETH / USD pair has moved back inside a neutral triangle pattern, following a false upside breakout towards the $240.00 level.

Technical indicators on the four-hour time frame currently have a slight bullish bias.

ETH H4 Chart August 12 by TradingView
ETH / USD H4 Chart by TradingView

Pattern Watch

Traders should note that a bearish breakout from the triangle pattern could prompt a decline towards the $170.00 level.

Relative Strength Index

The RSI indicator on the four-hour time frame has a bullish bias and is currently attempting to stabilize above neutral territory.

MACD Indicator

The MACD indicator on the four-hour time frame is rising and is starting to issue a buy signal.


Ethereum / USD Medium-term price analysis

Ethereum has a neutral medium-term trading bias, with the ETH / USD pair consolidating around its trend defining 200-day moving average.

The daily time frame is showing that the ETH / USD pair is trading below the neckline of a bearish head and shoulders pattern, following a failed attempt to break higher.

Key technical resistance on the daily time frame is located at the $240.00 $275.00 levels, while key downside support is found at the $200.00 and $170.00 levels.

Technical indicators on the daily time frame currently have a slight bearish bias.

ETH Daily Chart August 12 by TradingView
ETH / USD Daily Chart by TradingView

Pattern Watch

Traders should be on guard for a strong upside rally towards the $275.00 level to complete the bearish head and shoulders pattern.

Relative Strength Index

The RSI indicator on the daily time frame is bearish and continues to issue a sell signal.

MACD Indicator

The MACD indicator on the daily time frame is turning lower and currently has a slight negative bias.


Conclusion

Ethereum is coming under increasing downside pressure and risks falling below the $200.00 level, following the recent rejection its 200-period moving average on the four-hour time frame.

Overall, bulls quickly need to rally the ETH / USD pair away from the $200.00 level in order to avoid triggering a bearish head and shoulders pattern.

Check out our introductory guide to Ethereum.

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