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Monero Price Analysis XMR / USD: Power Struggle

Despite the selling pressure, Monero is still fighting.

Monero price analysis July 17

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  • Monero has a bearish short-term trading bias, with the XMR / USD pair performing a major bearish breakout
  • The four-hour time frame shows the presence of a bearish head and shoulders pattern with a $37.00 downside target.
  • The daily time frame shows that a bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern remains valid

Monero / USD Short-term price analysis

Monero has a bearish short-term outlook, with the cryptocurrency tumbling to its lowest trading level since May 2019.

The four-hour time frame shows that a major bearish breakout has now occurred, with XRM/USD bears triggering a head and shoulders pattern into action.

Technical indicators are bearish on the four-hour time frame and continue to issue sell signals.

XMR H4 Chart July 17, powered by TradingView
XMR / USD H4 Chart by TradingView

Pattern Watch

Traders should note that the bearish pattern has a downside projection of around $37.00.

Relative Strength Index

The RSI indicator is also bearish on the four-hour time frame, although it is attempting to correct from oversold territory.

MACD Indicator

The MACD indicator has turned bearish on the four-hour time frame and continues to generate a sell signal.


Monero / USD Medium-term price analysis

Monero retains its bullish medium-term outlook, with the cryptocurrency still trading above its trend defining 200-day moving average.

The daily time frame is showing that a sizeable head and shoulders pattern is also in play, with the $43.00 level the overall target of the bearish pattern.

Technical indicators on the daily time frame are bearish and continue to issue a strong sell signal.

XMR Daily Chart July 17, powered by TradingView
XMR / USD Daily Chart by TradingView

Pattern Watch

Traders should note that an inverted head and shoulders pattern is still present on the daily time frame. The overall downside projection of the bearish pattern currently in play would fail to invalidate the larger bullish pattern.

Relative Strength Index

The RSI indicator has turned bearish on the daily time frame and is now issuing a strong sell signal.

MACD Indicator

The MACD Indicator on the daily time frame is bearish and is currently generating a sell signal.


Conclusion

Monero could start to come under increasing technical selling pressure as the bearish head and shoulders pattern across both time frames unfolds.

The key development to watch will be how far the downside in the XMR / USD pair extends and if bears can invalidate the huge bullish pattern on the daily time frame.

Check out the Monero coin guide for a quick look into the privacy coin.

For a deeper look we published a detailed DARE, part of our SIMETRI research offering.

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