BlackRock’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF added $81 million and its ETHA Ethereum ETF brought in $30.51 million. The Bitcoin $100,000 by December 31, 2026 market is at 38% YES, up from 34% a week ago.
Market reaction
The $100,000 Bitcoin target market moved to 38% YES alongside the BlackRock inflows. The $150,000 market sits at 11% YES. Ethereum’s market for staying above $1,800 on April 13 is at 100% YES. The Ethereum $4,000 in April market has no specific odds available, but traders are reading BlackRock’s ETHA inflows as directionally positive for higher Ethereum price thresholds.
Why it matters
These inflows arrived after a period when geopolitical tensions had slowed institutional buying. The Bitcoin $100,000 market trades $2,274 in actual USDC daily, and it takes $8,640 to move the price 5 percentage points, which means the market has enough depth to resist thin-volume swings. Ethereum prediction markets currently show no active trading volume but track the same inflow data.
BlackRock’s position as the largest asset manager gives its ETF flows outsized weight in how prediction market traders price Bitcoin and Ethereum targets. A YES share on Bitcoin reaching $100,000 at 38¢ pays $1 if it resolves, a 2.63x return.
What to watch
Further BlackRock inflow reports, SEC regulatory decisions on ETF approvals, and whether daily USDC volume on the $100,000 Bitcoin market increases from its current $2,274 level. New ETF approvals or a sustained run of inflows above $50 million per day would likely push the $100,000 market higher.
