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New hampshire Senate election 2026

Chris Pappas leads John E. Sununu in New Hampshire Senate race poll

New York Times Politics · just now ago
YES 85% 0¢ since publish
Chris Pappas leads John E. Sununu in New Hampshire Senate race poll
Photo: Andrew Patrick Photo / Pexels

The New York Times has released a new poll assessing the New Hampshire Senate race, featuring Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu. The poll highlights Pappas’ lead in the contest to succeed retiring Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen. Previous polls had suggested a competitive race, with Pappas leading by varying margins. The race has been classified as a “toss-up” by the Cook Political Report, indicating heightened competition. Recent activity on prediction platforms reflects this competitive landscape, with the Democrats currently favored to win the seat.

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Key Takeaways

  • The new poll appears to support a scenario where Chris Pappas maintains a lead over John E. Sununu.
  • Market pricing suggests participants view the Democrats’ chances as favorable, with YES odds at 85%.
  • The classification of the race as a “toss-up” indicates that both parties have viable paths to victory.

What to Watch

Observers should monitor upcoming debates and campaign developments as potential influencers of voter sentiment. Changes in national political dynamics or major campaign missteps could impact the race’s outcome. Continued polling, particularly from reputable sources, will be crucial in assessing the trajectory of the candidates’ support as the election approaches.

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Term Structure
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
will-the-democrats-win-the-new-hampshire-senate-race-in-2026 85% View market →
will-the-republicans-win-the-new-hampshire-senate-race-in-2026 14.5% View market →

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