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Tesla and spacex merger announcement

Elon Musk increases SpaceX stake, valued at $908B

WallstengineUnusual_whalesKalshi · 41d ago · ✓ 3 sources
YES 19% ▲1¢ since publish
Dec 31 Updated 3min ago
Elon Musk increases SpaceX stake, valued at $908B
https://www.space.com/space-exploration/launches-spacecraft/starship-in-space-see-amazing-photos-from-spacex-megarockets-flight-9-test-mission

Elon Musk has disclosed that he owns over 6.4 billion shares of SpaceX, representing a 48.4% stake in the company, according to a new SEC filing. The valuation of this stake is approximately $908 billion, a figure that reflects SpaceX’s substantial market appreciation since its IPO in June 2026. At the time of the IPO, SpaceX was valued at $1.77 trillion, but recent activity suggests its current valuation may have surged past $2 trillion. This disclosure updates Musk’s previously reported 42% equity stake, highlighting an increase in his ownership share.

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Key Takeaways

  • Musk’s disclosure appears to indicate a strengthened alignment with SpaceX, potentially fueling speculation about further integration with Tesla.
  • Current pricing suggests participants see a possibility of a Tesla-SpaceX merger announcement, with current odds at 17.5% for a decision by December 31.
  • The new ownership figures reflect SpaceX’s considerable market growth, supporting scenarios where the company continues to expand its influence in the aerospace sector.

What to Watch

Observers will be monitoring any formal communications from Tesla or SpaceX regarding merger discussions. Market participants may interpret a rise in merger-related announcements or SEC filings as supportive of a YES outcome in the merger market. Additionally, statements from Musk or official company channels denying merger plans could alter the current outlook, which presently reflects a 17.5% chance of a merger announcement by year-end.

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Term Structure
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
December 31 18.5% +1¢ $8 View market →
September 30 0.7% -4.5¢ $2K View market →
Updated 3min ago

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