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Claude 5 release timing

Anthropic releases Claude Opus 4.7, resolving April 16 market YES

VentureBeat · just now ago
YES 100% 0¢ since publish

Anthropic released Claude Opus 4.7 on April 16. The market for Claude 4.7 being released by April 16 now sits at 100% YES, up from 26% just 24 hours ago.

## Market reaction

The Claude 4.7 April 16 market is effectively resolved. Markets for later dates, including April 17, April 19, and April 21, dropped to 0% YES. The Claude 4.7 by May 31 market is now also at 100% YES. That market had already been leaning heavily toward positive resolution, but the official release removes any remaining doubt.

## Why it matters

Trading volume hit $98,787 in actual USDC for the April 16 market. It took just $44 to move the odds by 5 percentage points, which means the market was active but not particularly deep. The largest single movement was a 24-point drop at 3:31 PM as prices rapidly adjusted to the confirmed news.

## What to watch

The market’s attention now shifts to the next potential catalyst: the release of Claude 5. There’s no direct information from this event about Claude 5’s timing, but traders will be watching for signals from Anthropic, particularly from CEO Dario Amodei or President Daniela Amodei. Follow @AnthropicAI for announcements, and watch for updates in their official blog posts or through tech insiders like Rowan Cheung.

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Claude 4pt7 Released On
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
April 17, 2026 0.1% Trade →
April 19, 2026 0.1% Trade →
April 21, 2026 0.1% Trade →
April 16, 2026 99.9% Trade →
April 18, 2026 0.1% Trade →
Claude 4pt7 Released
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
May 31 99.9% Trade →
June 30 99.9% Trade →
April 30 99.9% Trade →
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Claude 4.7 release dates bullish
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