Hyperscaler off-balance sheet obligations hit $3 trillion as AI spending spree accelerates
Via datacenterknowledge.com
The tech giants building the AI future are financing it with a mountain of hidden debt that dwarfs what shows up in their SEC filings
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) price
Full chart and statsLoading chart…
- Last close
- $531
- Close-to-close change
- −0.2%
- Market cap
- $3.9T (shares as of 2026-10-22)
- P/E (trailing)
- 27.7 (EPS to 2026-09-30)
- Annual revenue
- $331.8B USD (FY ended 2026-06-30) 10-K
- Annual revenue growth
- +17.8% (FY ended 2026-06-30 vs FY ended 2025-06-30) 10-K
- Annual net income
- 133,749,000,000 USD (FY ended 2026-06-30, attributable to the company) 10-K
- Annual operating margin
- 46.8% (FY ended 2026-06-30)
- Forward P/E
- Unavailable: no dated forecast source
Gloria daily close for session Oct 27, 2026. Market cap and trailing P/E use this close with the SEC share total and trailing diluted earnings, each dated next to its figure. Annual revenue, revenue growth, net income and margin show their own fiscal period and link the 10-K. Current context may postdate this article.
Microsoft Corporation and its peers
| Company | Price | Market cap | P/E (trailing) | Forward P/E | Annual revenue (USD) | Annual revenue growth | Annual net income (USD) | Operating margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
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$531 | $3.9T | 27.7 | Unavailable | $331.8BFY ended 2026-06-30 · 10-K | +17.8%FY ended 2026-06-30 vs 2025-06-30 · 10-K | 133,749,000,000FY ended 2026-06-30, attributable to the company · 10-K | 46.8%FY ended 2026-06-30 |
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$199 | $477.5B | 169.9 | Unavailable | $4.5BFY ended 2025-12-31 · 10-K | +56.2%FY ended 2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31 · 10-K | 1,625,033,000FY ended 2025-12-31, attributable to the company · 10-K | 31.6%FY ended 2025-12-31 |
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$131 | $394.7B | 20.5 | Unavailable | $67.4BFY ended 2026-05-31 · 10-K | +17.3%FY ended 2026-05-31 vs 2025-05-31 · 10-K | 17,087,000,000FY ended 2026-05-31, attributable to the company · 10-K | 30.6%FY ended 2026-05-31 |
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$268 | $274.4B | Not meaningfulLoss, diluted EPS −0.45 to 2026-07-31 · SEC filing | Unavailable | $4.8BFY ended 2026-01-31 · 10-K | +21.7%FY ended 2026-01-31 vs 2025-01-31 · 10-K | −162,502,000FY ended 2026-01-31, attributable to the company · 10-K | −6.1%FY ended 2026-01-31 |
Missing figures stay unavailable. Forward P/E requires a dated source. Annual revenue, revenue growth, net income and margin come from each company's own 10-K, in US dollars, and each row shows that fiscal year. Revenue growth compares the fiscal year with the prior year stated in the same 10-K. Net income is the full year amount attributable to the company, or available to common stockholders where the filing states only that, or consolidated net income. Each row names its basis. Trailing P/E reads "Not meaningful" when the dated trailing diluted EPS is a loss or zero. An operating margin appears only when the filing states both the operating income and the revenue for the same year.
Sources: SEC filings, Gloria daily closes and CoinGecko. Oldest record refresh: Oct 27, 2026, 10:37 PM EDT. Refresh is not a price or filing date. Each row shows its price date and its annual fiscal period. Peers use industry code and company size, or editorial selection. Market cap multiplies that row price by the company share total the latest SEC filing states for every share class together. Trailing P/E divides it by trailing diluted earnings from SEC filings. Rolled earnings per share are approximate because share counts can change between periods. Both appear only when the SEC data carries its date, so they are estimates at one price date, not synchronized filing valuations. Not investment advice.
Token vs underlying stock
Current comparison for MSFT. Historical observations may postdate this article.
MSFTx token unit vs MSFT share · USD
+6.9% over displayed period
● MSFTx token┄ MSFT stock: $531.33
Source: CoinGecko + Gloria · Retrieved Oct 28, 21:51 UTC · Delayed
Methodology and data
Split-adjusted regular-session stock closes from the existing Gloria shared history, paired only with an observed token price within 45 minutes of 16:00 New York time. Up to 60 matched sessions. No interpolation or missing-date fill. Weekends and known early closes are omitted. Token units are not adjusted for issuer multipliers or dividend treatment. This compares quoted prices, not fair value, executable premiums or arbitrage returns. Solid line: token. Dashed line: stock. Exact quote times and values appear below. Historical observations. Retrieval refers to the token source. Token quote times use UTC. The fixed cohort shows its oldest member fetch.
| Date (UTC) | Token (USD) | Stock close (USD) | Token quote (UTC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | 499.08 | 492.81 | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| 2026-08-05 | 484.73 | 487.46 | 2026-08-05 20:00 |
| 2026-08-06 | 498.48 | 499.86 | 2026-08-06 20:00 |
| 2026-08-07 | 501.35 | 499.99 | 2026-08-07 20:00 |
| 2026-08-10 | 507.81 | 506.06 | 2026-08-10 20:00 |
| 2026-08-11 | 503.83 | 503.81 | 2026-08-11 20:00 |
| 2026-08-12 | 493.50 | 492.43 | 2026-08-12 20:00 |
| 2026-08-13 | 494.66 | 496.88 | 2026-08-13 20:00 |
| 2026-08-14 | 496.96 | 495.40 | 2026-08-14 20:00 |
| 2026-08-17 | 481.91 | 480.35 | 2026-08-17 20:00 |
| 2026-08-18 | 482.93 | 481.63 | 2026-08-18 20:00 |
| 2026-08-19 | 484.48 | 484.31 | 2026-08-19 20:00 |
| 2026-08-20 | 482.95 | 481.15 | 2026-08-20 20:00 |
| 2026-08-21 | 485.28 | 483.24 | 2026-08-21 20:00 |
| 2026-08-24 | 489.80 | 487.31 | 2026-08-24 20:00 |
| 2026-08-25 | 491.36 | 491.71 | 2026-08-25 20:00 |
| 2026-08-26 | 498.86 | 496.37 | 2026-08-26 20:00 |
| 2026-08-27 | 506.15 | 505.06 | 2026-08-27 20:00 |
| 2026-08-28 | 514.87 | 513.53 | 2026-08-28 20:00 |
| 2026-08-31 | 510.07 | 507.29 | 2026-08-31 20:00 |
| 2026-09-01 | 503.61 | 501.02 | 2026-09-01 20:00 |
| 2026-09-02 | 497.76 | 496.82 | 2026-09-02 20:00 |
| 2026-09-03 | 512.63 | 510.12 | 2026-09-03 20:00 |
| 2026-09-04 | 500.58 | 499.70 | 2026-09-04 20:00 |
| 2026-09-08 | 493.27 | 493.95 | 2026-09-08 20:00 |
| 2026-09-09 | 491.69 | 491.65 | 2026-09-09 20:00 |
| 2026-09-10 | 493.07 | 492.44 | 2026-09-10 20:00 |
| 2026-09-11 | 498.52 | 495.63 | 2026-09-11 20:00 |
| 2026-09-14 | 508.54 | 505.41 | 2026-09-14 20:00 |
| 2026-09-15 | 498.86 | 497.12 | 2026-09-15 20:00 |
| 2026-09-16 | 494.48 | 490.30 | 2026-09-16 20:00 |
| 2026-09-17 | 500.28 | 497.75 | 2026-09-17 20:00 |
| 2026-09-18 | 496.33 | 493.78 | 2026-09-18 20:00 |
| 2026-09-21 | 503.22 | 501.61 | 2026-09-21 20:00 |
| 2026-09-22 | 501.25 | 498.00 | 2026-09-22 20:00 |
| 2026-09-23 | 503.06 | 500.59 | 2026-09-23 20:00 |
| 2026-09-24 | 501.07 | 497.93 | 2026-09-24 20:00 |
| 2026-09-25 | 518.98 | 516.17 | 2026-09-25 20:00 |
| 2026-09-28 | 511.70 | 509.22 | 2026-09-28 20:00 |
| 2026-09-29 | 512.06 | 508.96 | 2026-09-29 20:00 |
| 2026-09-30 | 515.27 | 512.90 | 2026-09-30 20:00 |
| 2026-10-01 | 516.84 | 512.80 | 2026-10-01 20:00 |
| 2026-10-02 | 519.95 | 517.53 | 2026-10-02 20:00 |
| 2026-10-05 | 527.35 | 525.18 | 2026-10-05 20:00 |
| 2026-10-06 | 532.35 | 529.30 | 2026-10-06 20:00 |
| 2026-10-07 | 532.01 | 529.76 | 2026-10-07 20:00 |
| 2026-10-08 | 525.93 | 522.61 | 2026-10-08 20:00 |
| 2026-10-09 | 537.45 | 535.07 | 2026-10-09 20:00 |
| 2026-10-12 | 543.48 | 541.15 | 2026-10-12 20:00 |
| 2026-10-13 | 546.06 | 543.45 | 2026-10-13 20:00 |
| 2026-10-14 | 535.70 | 533.69 | 2026-10-14 20:00 |
| 2026-10-15 | 542.43 | 539.44 | 2026-10-15 20:00 |
| 2026-10-16 | 531.87 | 529.05 | 2026-10-16 20:00 |
| 2026-10-19 | 535.69 | 533.52 | 2026-10-19 20:00 |
| 2026-10-20 | 535.30 | 531.87 | 2026-10-20 20:00 |
| 2026-10-21 | 535.87 | 532.95 | 2026-10-21 20:00 |
| 2026-10-22 | 524.11 | 521.08 | 2026-10-22 20:00 |
| 2026-10-23 | 525.75 | 524.51 | 2026-10-23 20:00 |
| 2026-10-26 | 534.07 | 532.60 | 2026-10-26 20:00 |
| 2026-10-27 | 533.36 | 531.33 | 2026-10-27 20:00 |
Stock history: Gloria · Retrieved Oct 28, 00:31 UTC. Token history: CoinGecko MSFTx.
Quoted token and share units can have different rights, multipliers and dividend treatment. This is not an executable premium or arbitrage signal.
CNBC’s Sara Eisen reported that hyperscaler off-balance sheet obligations have now reached $3 trillion, a figure that should make anyone holding big tech stocks pause and do some math. The number captures the staggering scale of financial commitments that Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Oracle have quietly accumulated as they race to build the AI infrastructure of tomorrow.
The hidden debt machine powering AI
A Moody’s analysis from February 2026 estimated that hyperscalers collectively held approximately $662 billion in lease commitments that had yet to be recognized on their balance sheets. Total undiscounted future lease commitments reached $969 billion according to the same analysis.
A separate Nikkei Asia report from July 2026 pegged the combined hidden obligations of five major tech giants at $1.65 trillion. That figure, which includes both leases and purchase commitments, exceeded their disclosed on-balance-sheet debt of roughly $1.35 trillion. The debt you can’t easily see is larger than the debt you can.
Microsoft announced a roughly $100 billion AI Infrastructure Partnership structured as a special purpose vehicle in 2024, utilizing dedicated debt facilities.
Where the money comes from
Global AI data center capital expenditure is projected to exceed $3 trillion over the next several years. According to the analysis, roughly half of that funding is expected to come from operating cash flow. The other half will be sourced through debt instruments and off-balance sheet vehicles.
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Moody’s has already flagged potential risks tied to credit quality and debt transparency. If these obligations start migrating onto balance sheets, either because leases commence or accounting standards tighten, the financial profiles of these companies could look meaningfully different overnight.
What this means for investors
If $1.65 trillion in hidden obligations exceeds $1.35 trillion in disclosed debt, the true leverage of these companies is roughly double what a casual glance at their balance sheets would suggest.
Credit rating actions are the canary in this particular coal mine. If Moody’s or its peers start adjusting their treatment of off-balance sheet obligations for hyperscalers, it could trigger a cascade of re-evaluations across the sector.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
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