OpenAI IPO timeline ↗

Musk and Altman feud over AI dominance as SpaceX eyes $1.7T IPO

Fortune · 92d ago
YES 4% ▼14¢ since publish
Dec 31 Updated 3min ago
Musk and Altman feud over AI dominance as SpaceX eyes $1.7T IPO
https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2025/02/11/sam-altman-elon-musk-feud-timeline-altman-says-musk-isnt-a-happy-person-after-crazy-openai-offer/

Elon Musk and Sam Altman have reignited their public feud, accusing each other of misleading investors as they vie for dominance in the AI sector. This intensification comes as both SpaceX, under Musk, and OpenAI, led by Altman, aim to secure significant capital to fund their ambitious AI endeavors. The rivalry has drawn attention to the contrasting strategies of the two leaders, with OpenAI recently completing a historic $122 billion funding round, while Musk is preparing for SpaceX’s IPO, projected at a $1.75 trillion valuation. This conflict follows a federal court’s dismissal of Musk’s lawsuit against Altman, further straining relations between the two AI leaders.

Key Takeaways

  • The renewed conflict between Musk and Altman appears to suggest increased uncertainty surrounding OpenAI’s IPO timeline, as reflected in current market pricing.
  • Market activity indicates a decreased likelihood of OpenAI completing its IPO by December 31, 2026, with YES shares priced at around 17.5%, down from 22% a day earlier.
  • The accusations and competitive posturing between SpaceX and OpenAI may indicate broader implications for investor sentiment and strategic decisions in the AI sector.

What to Watch

Observers should monitor any public statements or strategic moves from Elon Musk and Sam Altman, as these could provide further indications of OpenAI’s IPO plans. Developments such as Altman denying immediate IPO intentions or Musk intensifying legal actions could be consistent with a scenario where the IPO is delayed. Additionally, any changes in investor support or regulatory developments related to OpenAI’s market activities could significantly impact market pricing and expectations.

Openai Ipo
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
December 31, 2026 4.2% -13.8¢ $2K View market →
July 31 0.1% — — View market →
September 30 3.4% — — View market →
August 31 1.3% — — View market →
Openai Ipo Closing Market Cap
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
IPO day 0.4% 0.0¢ — View market →
IPO day 0.4% -0.2¢ $291 View market →
IPO day 0.4% -3¢ $264 View market →
IPO day 0.4% -5.5¢ — View market →
IPO day 0.4% -0.7¢ $5 View market →
June 30 2026 1.1% -3.7¢ $300 View market →
January 1 2027 95.2% +15.2¢ $129 View market →
Updated 3min ago